Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Kansas City/Pleasant Hill, MO

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FNUS73 KEAX 241302
FWSEAX

SPOT FORECAST FOR UNIT 6...USFWS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE KANSAS CITY/PLEASANT HILL MO
702 AM CST TUE FEB 24 2015

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1200 CST ON FEBRUARY 24.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...

DESPITE TEMPERATURES WARMING ABOVE FREEZING TODAY AND
SOUTHWESTERLY WINDS GUSTING UPWARDS TO ABOUT 15 TO 25 MPH
AFFECTING THE AREA... RH VALUES WILL REMAIN ABOVE 40 TO 45
PERCENT. NO PRECIPITATION CHANCES FOR TODAY BUT WILL RETURN BY
TOMORROW.


.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (10-20 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....36 AT IGNITION...MAX 44.
MIN HUMIDITY........55 PERCENT AT IGNITION...MIN 49 PERCENT.
CHC OF WETTING RAIN.0 PERCENT.
20-FOOT WINDS.......WINDS NORTHWEST AT 13 MPH AT
                    IGNITION...OTHERWISE NORTHWEST WINDS 8 TO 13
                    MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH AT IGNITION...MAX 4.
MIXING HEIGHT.......300-2000 FT AGL INCREASING TO 2900 FT AGL AT
                    IGNITION...OTHERWISE 2400-3000 FT AGL LATE IN
                    THE MORNING.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 14 TO 23 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTH 24
                    TO 25 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.

TIME (CST)      12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY (%).........12  13  17  19  21  26
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....
TEMP............36  40  43  44  43  42
RH..............55  51  49  49  50  51
20 FT WIND DIR..NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW
20 FT WIND SPD..13  13  13  13  10  8
20 FT WIND GUST.20  20  20  15  15  10
HAINES INDEX....3   3   3   3   3   3

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (30-40 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING
                    MOSTLY CLOUDY (60-70 PERCENT).
MIN TEMPERATURE.....MIN 23.
MAX HUMIDITY........MAX 86 PERCENT.
CHC OF WETTING RAIN.10 PERCENT.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTH WINDS 5 TO 6 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING
                    BECOMING LIGHT...THEN BECOMING SOUTHEAST 5 TO 6
                    MPH EARLY IN THE MORNING.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1200-3000 FT AGL DECREASING TO 300-700 FT AGL
                    LATE IN THE EVENING.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST 14 TO 23 MPH BECOMING SOUTHEAST 2 TO
                    9 MPH IN THE LATE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT.

TIME (CST)      6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
SKY (%).........28  29  29  29  31  34  36  44  59  67  68  72
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....
TEMP............39  35  33  31  30  29  28  27  26  25  24  24
RH..............57  65  70  73  74  74  74  78  82  85  85  86
20 FT WIND DIR..N   N   NE  NE  NE  E   SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE
20 FT WIND SPD..6   5   3   3   3   3   3   3   3   3   5   6
20 FT WIND GUST.10      5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5       10
HAINES INDEX....3   3   3   3   3   3   3   3   3   3   3   3

.WEDNESDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (80-90 PERCENT). CHANCE OF SNOW
                    EARLY IN THE MORNING. RAIN AND SNOW LIKELY IN
                    THE AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....MAX 36.
MIN HUMIDITY........MIN 63 PERCENT.
CHC OF WETTING RAIN.10 PERCENT INCREASING TO 70 PERCENT.
20-FOOT WINDS.......EAST WINDS 7 TO 13 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........2 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......MISSING.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....

TIME (CST)      6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY (%).........74  78  87  91  92  93  94  94  94  94  95  98
WEATHER COV.....    SCH CHC CHC CHC CHC LKY LKY LKY LKY LKY LKY
WEATHER TYPE....    SN  SN  SN  SN  SN  RN  RN  RN  RN  RN  RN
TEMP............23  23  23  26  28  31  32  34  35  36  36  35
RH..............87  91  92  86  79  74  70  67  66  64  63  63
20 FT WIND DIR..SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  S   SE  SE  SE  E   E
20 FT WIND SPD..7   8   9   10  12  13  13  13  12  10  10  10
20 FT WIND GUST.10  10  15  15  15  15  20  15  15  15  15  15
HAINES INDEX....2   2   2   2   2   2   2   2   2   2   2   2

$$
FORECASTER...WFO EAX
REQUESTED BY...SAM VANOURNEY
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20150224.UNIT6.02/EAX





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