Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Austin/San Antonio, TX

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FNUS74 KEWX 231412
FWSEWX

SPOT FORECAST FOR KERR WMA...TEXAS PARKS AND WILDLIFE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AUSTIN/SAN ANTONIO TX
812 AM CST MON JAN 23 2017

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0900 CST ON JANUARY 23.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
CLEAR SKIES AND COOL THE REST OF THIS MORNING WITH TEMPERATURES REACHING
THE MID 60S BY NOON TODAY. LIGHT SOUTHWEST WINDS WILL PERSIST THROUGH THE
MORNING HOURS WITH WIND SHIFTING TO THE SOUTH IN THE AFTERNOON AND
AVERAGING 5 TO 10 MPH. MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY ARE FORECAST TO OCCUR
FROM 2 TO 4 PM THIS AFTERNOON WITH VALUES RANGING FROM 22 TO 25 PERCENT.
AFTER 6 PM THIS AFTERNOON RH ARE FORECAST TO INCREASE TO 30 PERCENT AND
HIGHER.


.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (0-5 PERCENT).
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
LAL.................NO TSTMS.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 75.
MIN HUMIDITY........21 PERCENT.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTH 5 TO 8 MPH IN THE
                    LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTH 5 TO 8 MPH IN THE
                    LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......100-2000 FT AGL INCREASING TO 800-2700 FT AGL
                    IN THE AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 5 TO 13 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTH LATE IN
                    THE AFTERNOON.
HAINES INDEX........4 TO 5 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH TO OR MODERATE POTENTIAL
                    FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.

TIME (CST)      9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY (%).........0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   3
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....
TSTM COV........
CWR.............0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
LAL.............1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1
TEMP............42  50  58  64  70  73  75  74  72
RH..............62  48  37  31  26  23  21  23  25
20 FT WIND DIR..SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  S
20 FT WIND SPD..3   5   6   7   8   8   8   8   7
20 FT WIND GUST.5           10  15  15  15  15  10
EYE LVL WND DIR.SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  S
EYE LVL WND SPD.2   3   4   4   5   5   5   5   4
EYE LVL WND GST.5           10  15  15  15  15  10
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.1 0.7 2.0 2.6 2.7 2.7 2.7 2.1 0.8
TRANSP WIND DIR.W   W   W   W   SW  SW  SW  S   S
TRANSP WIND SPD.13  15  17  18  17  15  13  10  8
HAINES INDEX....5   5   5   5   5   5   5   4   4

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR (5-15 PERCENT).
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
LAL.................NO TSTMS.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 48.
MAX HUMIDITY........73 PERCENT.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 8 MPH.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 8 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......100-200 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 7 TO 16 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.

.TUESDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (5-15 PERCENT).
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
LAL.................NO TSTMS.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 77.
MIN HUMIDITY........24 PERCENT.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....WEST WINDS 6 TO 8 MPH.
WIND (20 FT)........WEST WINDS 6 TO 8 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......200-2000 FT AGL INCREASING TO 2500-3300 FT AGL
                    EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON, THEN DECREASING TO 1000
                    FT AGL LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 8 TO 17 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........4 TO 5 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH TO OR MODERATE POTENTIAL
                    FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.

$$
FORECASTER...17
REQUESTED BY...RYAN REITZ
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 1700667.0/EWX
.EMAIL RYAN.REITZ@TPWD.TEXAS.GOV


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