Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Central Illinois

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FNUS73 KILX 181331
FWSILX

Spot Forecast for Chautauqua debris piles...U.S. Fish and Wildlife Service
National Weather Service Lincoln IL
831 AM CDT Tue Jul 18 2017

Forecast is based on ignition time of 0900 CDT on July 18.
If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather
Service.

Please contact our office at (217) 732-4029 if you have questions
or concerns with this forecast.

.DISCUSSION...

.REST OF TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Sunny (10-20 percent).
Chance of pcpn......10 percent.
LAL.................
Max temperature.....Around 90.
Min humidity........57 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........
 Slope/valley.......Light winds.
Mixing height.......1100-2900 ft AGL increasing to 3900-5400 ft AGL
                    in the afternoon.
Transport winds.....Southwest 3 to 5 mph shifting to the northwest
                    2 to 3 mph early in the afternoon, then
                    shifting to the south 1 to 5 mph late in the
                    afternoon.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor to fair (3800-20000 knot-ft).
Smoke dispersal.....Poor to fair (3800-20000 knot-ft).
Haines Index........2 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.

TIME (CDT)      9 AM   11 AM  1 PM   3 PM   5 PM
Sky (%).........15     21     20     16     9
Weather cov.....
Weather type....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
Tstm cov........
Chc of pcpn (%).0      0      0      10     10
LAL.............M      M      M      M      M
Temp............72     80     85     88     88
RH..............81     69     61     57     57
20 ft wind......E 2    S 2    SE 2   SE 2   SE 2
20 ft wind gust.5      5      5      5      5
Mix hgt (ft)....1100   2900   4800   5400   5000
Transport wind..S 3    SW 5   NW 2   SW 1   S 5
Haines index....2      2      2      2      2
VRate kt-ft/10004      10     10     8      20
SDspl kt-ft/10004      10     10     8      20



$$
Forecaster...Barnes
Requested by...Thad Herzberger
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 1712935.0/ILX
.EMAIL emilia_kenow@fws.gov



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