Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Jacksonville, FL

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FNUS72 KJAX 011134
FWSJAX

SPOT FORECAST FOR SAR...DUVAL EOC
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSONVILLE FL
734 AM EDT SAT AUG 1 2015

FORECAST IS BASED ON INCIDENT TIME OF 0729 EDT ON AUGUST 01.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...THE CHANCES FOR SHOWERS AND STORMS WILL INCREASE
THIS MORNING...BECOMING FAIRLY WIDESPREAD BY NOON.

A TROUGH OF LOW PRESSURE WILL PERSIST OVER THE REGION
THROUGH THE WEEKEND...WHICH WILL HELP PROVIDE FOR HIGHER THAN NORMAL
RAINFALL CHANCES. LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL AMOUNTS WITH FREQUENT
LIGHTNING WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH ANY STORMS WHICH DEVELOP. A WEAK RIDGE
OF HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD TOWARD THE MIDDLE PART OF NEXT WEEK...
WHICH WILL RESULT IN A SLIGHT DECREASE IN PRECIPITATION COVERAGE.

FOG POTENTIAL AND OTHER REMARKS...PATCHY LATE NIGHT AND EARLY MORNING
FOG IS POSSIBLE THE NEXT SEVERAL DAYS.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (65-75 PERCENT). SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS IN THE MORNING...THEN SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY IN THE AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 87.
MIN HUMIDITY........65 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS 7 TO 13 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC
                    WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS.
LAL.................2 UNTIL 0800...THEN 3 UNTIL 1000...THEN 4 UNTIL
                    1100...THEN 5 UNTIL 1200...THEN 4.
CHANCE OF PCPN......80 PERCENT.

TIME (EDT)      8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY (%).........60  60  75  75  76  76  76  76  75  75
WEATHER COV.....CHC CHC LKY DEF LKY LKY LKY LKY LKY LKY
WEATHER TYPE....RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW
TSTM COV........CHC CHC LKY DEF LKY LKY LKY LKY LKY LKY
TEMP............77  80  82  84  85  86  87  87  86  85
RH..............87  79  77  72  70  68  65  65  65  67
20 FT WIND DIR..S   S   SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW
20 FT WIND SPD..8   8   9   10  10  12  12  12  13  13
20 FT WIND GUST.15  15  15  15  15  15  15  15  20  20
CHC OF PCPN (%).40  50  60  80  70  70  70  70  70  70

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (60-70 PERCENT). SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY EARLY IN THE
                    EVENING...THEN CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 76.
MAX HUMIDITY........90 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH WINDS 8 TO 13 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC
                    WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS.
LAL.................4 UNTIL 1900...THEN 3.
CHANCE OF PCPN......50 PERCENT.

TIME (EDT)      6 PM   8 PM   10 PM  MIDNGT 2 AM   4 AM
SKY (%).........70     60     60     60     60     60
WEATHER COV.....LIKELY CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE
WEATHER TYPE....RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR
TSTM COV........LIKELY CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE
TEMP............84     81     79     78     77     77
RH..............70     77     82     85     87     87
20 FT WIND......SW 13  S 12   S 10   S 9    S 8    S 8
20 FT WIND GUST.20     15     15     15     15     15
CHC OF PCPN (%).60     50     50     50     50     40

$$
FORECASTER...STRUBLE
REQUESTED BY...GRANT
TYPE OF REQUEST...SAR
.TAG 20150801.SAR__.01/JAX



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