Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Jackson, KY

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FNUS73 KJKL 051800
FWSJKL

Spot Forecast for Sand Hill...USFS
National Weather Service Jackson, KY
100 PM EST Tue Dec 5 2017

Forecast is based on request time of 1300 EST on December 05.
If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather
Service.

.DISCUSSION...A cold front will cross the wildfire site by 2 pm
with a wind shift from the south-southwest to the west-northwest.
A few wind gusts between 20 and 25 mph will accompany this
frontal passage around 2 pm. Light rain will also taper off
quickly after 2 pm. Winds will remain gusty through the rest of
the afternoon with temperatures dropping quickly into the 40s. The
winds will stay up into the evening hours before going light and
variable late tonight. Lows tonight will fall just below freezing.

.TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Cloudy. Rain showers ending by 4 pm.
Chance of pcpn......100 percent.
LAL.................1.
Temperature.........57 at request...Max 57.
RH..................90 percent at request...Min 86 percent.
Dewpoint............56, then decreasing to 43 late in
                    the afternoon.
Wind (20 ft)........Winds southwest at 6 mph at request...otherwise
                    southwest winds 6 to 8 mph, shifting to west
                    northwest with gusts to around 25 mph.
Transport winds.....West northwest 20 to 25 mph.
Vent Rate...........Fair /26400 knot-ft/ at request. Max...fair
                    /26400 knot-ft/.
LVORI...............3.
ADI.................29 decreasing to 21 late in the afternoon.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth at request...max 4.

TIME (EST)      1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........100 100 100 100 99
Weather cov.....PDS PDS PDS
Weather type....RW  RW  RW
Tstm cov........
Cch of pcpn (%).100 100 100 80  60
LAL.............1   1   1   1   1
Temp............57  55  48  46  43
Dewpoint........56  54  45  42  40
RH..............95  95  90  86  86
20 FT wind dir..SW  SW  WNW WNW WNW
20 FT wind spd..5   9   8   6   5
20 FT wind gust.10  20  18  16  10
Ridge wind dir..SW  SW  WNW WNW WNW
Ridge wind spd..10  10  10  10  10
Transp wind dir.SW  SW  WNW WNW WNW
Transp wind spd.20  25  20  20  20
LVORI...........3   3   3   3   3
ADI.............33  30  26  22  20
Haines index....4   4   3   3   3
VRate kt-ft/100026  24  22  19  17

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy.
Chance of pcpn......10 percent.
LAL.................1.
Temperature.........Min 31.
RH..................Max 91 percent.
Dewpoint............43 decreasing to 26.
Wind (20 ft)........Northwest winds 5 to 6 mph until early morning
                    becoming light.
Transport winds.....Northwest 7 to 15 mph.
Vent Rate...........Fair to good (13200-41200 knot-ft).
LVORI...............4.
ADI.................9 decreasing to 3 late at night.
Haines Index........3 to 4 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth to or low potential for
                    large plume dominated fire growth.

TIME (EST)      6 PM   8 PM   10 PM  MIDNGT 2 AM   4 AM
Sky (%).........99     92     84     71     62     58
Weather cov.....
Weather type....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
Tstm cov........
Cch of pcpn (%).40     20     10     10     10     0
LAL.............1      1      1      1      1      1
Temp............40     39     38     37     34     32
Dewpoint........38     36     32     27     26     25
RH..............83     76     73     67     72     75
20 ft wind......W 5    W 4    NW 4   NW 4   NW 3   W 2
20 ft wind gust.10     5      5      5      5      5
Ridgetop wind...W 10   W 10   NW 10  NW 10  W 5    W 5
Transport wind..W 12   W 12   W 14   NW 15  NW 13  NW 8
LVORI...........4      4      4      3      3      4
ADI.............13     8      9      10     9      5
Haines index....3      3      4      4      4      4
VRate kt-ft/100016     19     29     40     34     17

$$
Forecaster...KAS
Requested by...Brock Campbell
Type of request...WILDFIRE
.TAG 1719641.0/JKL
.EMAIL brockcampbell@fs.fed.us


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