Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Chicago, IL

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000
FNUS73 KLOT 191319
FWSLOT

SPOT FORECAST FOR MIDEWIN RX UNITS...USFS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHICAGO IL
819 AM CDT SAT APR 19 2014

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1000 CDT ON APRIL 19.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
WINDS WILL TURN OUT OF THE SOUTHEAST TODAY AS LOW PRESSURE TRACKS INTO
SOUTHERN MANITOBA. WARM AND DRY CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED THROUGH THE DAY...
WITH MIN RH FALLING TO NEAR 30 PERCENT THIS AFTERNOON.


.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY.
TEMPERATURE.........AROUND 52 AT IGNITION...MAX NEAR 68.
RH..................46 PERCENT AT IGNITION...MIN 29 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........WINDS EAST AROUND 8 MPH AT IGNITION...OTHERWISE
                    SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH.
CHANCE OF PCPN......0 PERCENT.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1500 FT AGL AT IGNITION...INCREASING TO 3500 FT
                    AGL LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 9 TO 15 MPH.
MIXING TEMP 1700FT..59.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR /14500 KNOT-FT/ AT IGNITION. MAX...FAIR
                    /45000 KNOT-FT/.

TIME (CDT)      10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM 6PM
SKY (%).........14  14  13  13  14  15  16  17  18
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....
TEMP............52  57  60  63  66  67  67  67  65
RH..............46  40  36  34  30  29  29  29  33
20FT WIND DIR...110 120 130 130 140 150 150 150 150
20FT SPEED(MPH).8   8   9   9   9   8   7   6   6
20FT SPEED(KT)..7   7   8   8   8   7   6   5   5
20FT GUST(MPH)..13  13  13  13  14  15  15  15  14
20FT GUST(KT)...11  11  11  11  12  13  13  13  12
MIX HGT (KFT)...1.5 1.5 2.0 2.5 3.0 3.0 3.5 3.0 2.0
TRANSP WIND DIR.110 110 130 130 140 150 150 150 160
TRANSP WIND SPD.13  13  13  13  14  14  15  15  14
CWR.............0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
VRATE KT-FT/100015  18  24  30  36  39  45  39  23

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR.
TEMPERATURE.........MIN 46.
RH..................MAX 76 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
CHANCE OF PCPN......0 PERCENT.
MIXING HEIGHT.......500 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 14 TO 17 MPH.
MIXING TEMP 1700FT..MISSING.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR TO POOR (0-3500 KNOT-FT).

TIME (CDT)      7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM 6AM
SKY (%).........19  20  20  21  22  22  23  24  24  25  26  26
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....
TEMP............62  60  57  55  54  53  52  50  48  46  46  46
RH..............38  42  47  53  54  59  61  66  71  76  73  76
20FT WIND DIR...150 150 150 150 150 150 150 160 160 160 160 170
20FT SPEED(MPH).5   5   6   6   6   6   6   6   5   5   5   5
20FT SPEED(KT)..4   4   5   6   6   5   5   5   4   4   4   4
20FT GUST(MPH)..13  13  13  13  13  12  12  10  9   9   9   9
20FT GUST(KT)...11  11  11  11  11  10  10  9   8   8   8   8
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5
TRANSP WIND DIR.160 160 160 160 170 170 170 180 190 190 200 200
TRANSP WIND SPD.14  15  15  15  16  17  17  17  16  15  14  14
CWR.............0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
VRATE KT-FT/10003   0   1   4   4   4   4   4   4   4   3   2

.SUNDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY THEN BECOMING PARTLY CLOUDY.
TEMPERATURE.........MAX 74.
RH..................MIN 35 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
CHANCE OF PCPN......0 PERCENT.
MIXING HEIGHT.......500-1500 FT AGL INCREASING TO 2500-3500 FT AGL
                    LATE IN THE MORNING...THEN INCREASING TO
                    3500-5000 FT AGL IN THE AFTERNOON DECREASING TO
                    2000 FT AGL LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 12 TO 15 MPH.
MIXING TEMP 1700FT..69.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR TO GOOD (3000-61000 KNOT-FT).

TIME (CDT)      7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM 6PM
SKY (%).........27  29  31  33  35  36  38  41  44  47  50  53
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....
TEMP............48  53  58  63  66  69  71  73  73  73  73  71
RH..............71  61  55  50  48  45  42  38  35  35  35  39
20FT WIND DIR...170 180 190 190 190 200 200 200 200 200 200 190
20FT SPEED(MPH).6   6   7   7   6   6   6   6   6   6   6   5
20FT SPEED(KT)..5   6   6   6   6   6   5   5   6   6   5   4
20FT GUST(MPH)..10  12  13  14  14  14  14  15  16  16  15  13
20FT GUST(KT)...9   10  11  12  12  12  12  13  14  14  13  11
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.5 0.5 1.0 1.5 2.5 3.5 4.5 4.5 5.0 5.0 3.5 2.0
TRANSP WIND DIR.200 210 210 210 210 210 210 210 200 200 200 210
TRANSP WIND SPD.13  13  14  14  13  12  12  12  13  14  15  15
CWR.............0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
VRATE KT-FT/10003   6   11  18  27  35  43  54  61  61  48  28

$$
FORECASTER...BIRK
REQUESTED BY...JERRY HOFFMAN
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20140419.MIDEW.01/LOT






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