Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Miami, FL

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901
FNUS72 KMFL 301403
FWSMFL

SPOT FORECAST FOR LONG PINE KEY...EVERGLADES NATIONAL PARK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
1003 AM EDT SAT APR 30 2016

FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 0900  ON APRIL 30.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE, CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...

FOR THE SHORT TERM FORECAST...HIGH PRESSURE AT THE UPPER LEVELS AND AT THE SURFACE
WILL DOMINATE ACROSS THE REGION THROUGH THE WEEKEND WITH NO PRECIPITATION FORECAST
ALTHOUGH AN OCCASIONAL LIGHT STRAY SHOWER AT THE BURN SITE MAY BE POSSIBLE.
MAINLY EASTERLY SURFACE WINDS ARE FORECAST ACROSS THE BURN SITE THROUGH THE WEEKEND
WITH THE NORMAL DIURNAL VARIATIONS EXPECTED.

FOR THE LONGER TERM FORECAST...EARLY NEXT WEEK THE UPPER LEVEL RIDGE WILL START TO
ERODE AND SOME MOISTURE WILL RETURN TO THE REGION WITH A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
A SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS THE BURN SITE. BY MID-WEEK THE GLOBAL MODEL
SOLUTIONS HAVE SOME UNCERTAINTY IN THE FORECAST CONCERNING A COLD FRONT ENTERING
THE SOUTHEAST AND POSSIBLY THE FLORIDA PENINSULA...BUT IN GENERAL AN INCREASE
IN REGIONAL CHANCES OF SHOWERS/THUNDERSTORMS IS FORECAST WEDNESDAY AND THURSDAY.

.TODAY...

LVORI...............3.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....MAX 86.
LAL.................1.
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY.
DISPERSION INDEX....9...INCREASING TO 23 EARLY...THEN INCREASING TO
                    40 LATE IN THE MORNING...INCREASING TO 46
                    EARLY...DECREASING TO 37.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST 3 TO 9 MPH...INCREASING TO 13 TO 15 MPH IN
                    THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......500-1900 FT AGL...INCREASING TO 2300-3300 FT
                    AGL IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS...BECOMING EAST 6 TO 10 MPH.
CHANCE OF PCPN......0 PERCENT.
MIN HUMIDITY........MIN 53 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS...BECOMING EAST 6 TO 10 MPH.

TIME ()      9 AM   11 AM  1 PM   3 PM   5 PM   7 PM
SKY (%).........15     15     15     4      3      3
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
TSTM COV........
TEMP............76     81     84     85     85     81
RH..............82     66     58     55     55     66
20 FT WIND......E 5    E 6    E 8    E 7    E 6    E 6
20 FT WIND GUST.10     15     15     15     15     15
MIX HGT (FT)....1200   2700   3100   3300   3100   2300
MIXNG WIND......E 8    E 13   E 15   E 14   E 13   E 13
DISPERSION IDX..13     37     49     46     42     34
LVORI...........4      1      1      1      1      3
CHC OF PCPN (%).0      0      0      0      0      0
LAL.............1      1      1      1      1      1

.TONIGHT...

LVORI...............5.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....MIN 71.
LAL.................1.
SKY/WEATHER.........CLEAR...THEN BECOMING PARTLY CLOUDY.
DISPERSION INDEX....6.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST 6 TO 13 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......400-1800 FT AGL.
WIND (20 FT)........EAST WINDS 5 TO 8 MPH UNTIL JUST AFTER
                    MIDNIGHT...BECOMING LIGHT...THEN BECOMING EAST
                    AROUND 5 MPH EARLY IN THE MORNING.
CHANCE OF PCPN......10 PERCENT.
MAX HUMIDITY........MAX 93 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........EAST WINDS 5 TO 8 MPH UNTIL JUST AFTER
                    MIDNIGHT...BECOMING LIGHT...THEN BECOMING EAST
                    AROUND 5 MPH EARLY IN THE MORNING.

.SUNDAY...

LVORI...............3.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....MAX 85.
LAL.................1.
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY.
DISPERSION INDEX....8...INCREASING TO 19 EARLY IN THE
                    MORNING...THEN INCREASING TO 37
                    EARLY...INCREASING TO 46 IN THE LATE MORNING
                    AND AFTERNOON...DECREASING TO 40.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST 8 TO 14 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......800-2600 FT AGL...INCREASING TO 2500-3800 FT
                    AGL IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.
WIND (20 FT)........EAST WINDS 5 TO 9 MPH.
CHANCE OF PCPN......10 PERCENT.
MIN HUMIDITY........MIN 61 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........EAST WINDS 5 TO 9 MPH.

$$
FORECASTER...DIEHL
REQUESTED BY...JORDAN COLLIER
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 1600662.0/MFL



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