Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Miami, FL

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000
FNUS72 KMFL 241236
FWSMFL

SPOT FORECAST FOR FSA6...DAVID  HOGREFE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
836 AM EDT FRI JUL 24 2015

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1000 EDT ON JULY 24.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE, CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
THERE WERE SHOWERS LOCATED TO THE NORTH OF NAPLES AND OVER THE
GULF THIS MORNING...MOVING TO THE EAST SOUTHEAST. IF THE SHOWERS
HOLD TOGETHER...THEY MAY IMPACT THE BURN SITE AROUND 10 AM. THERE
IS A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND STORMS THROUGHOUT THE DAY. WESTERLY
WINDS AROUND 7 MPH ARE FORECAST BY LATE MORNING AND THROUGH THE
AFTERNOON...BUT WINDS MAY BECOME ERRATIC NEAR SHOWERS/STORMS AND
OUTFLOW BOUNDARIES. LIGHT WINDS ARE FORECAST OVERNIGHT. SHOWER AND
STORM CHANCES INCREASE LATE TONIGHT...BECOMING LIKELY BY SATURDAY
MORNING AS MOISTURE INCREASES.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY. SCATTERED SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....MAX 92.
MIN HUMIDITY........MIN 55 PERCENT.
LAL.................3.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS...BECOMING WEST 6 TO 8 MPH IN THE
                    LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1500 FT AGL...INCREASING TO 3800-5000 FT AGL IN
                    THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 7 TO 15 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....13...INCREASING TO 48.
LVORI...............3.
CHANCE OF PCPN......30 PERCENT.

TIME (EDT)      10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM   6 PM   8 PM
SKY (%).........52     63     58     58     51     56
WEATHER COV.....SCTTRD SCTTRD SCTTRD SCTTRD SCTTRD
WEATHER TYPE....RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR NONE
TSTM COV........SCTTRD SCTTRD SCTTRD SCTTRD SCTTRD
TEMP............86     90     92     92     87     84
RH..............70     61     55     56     64     72
20 FT WIND......SW 2   W 5    W 6    W 6    W 5    W 5
20 FT WIND GUST.5      10     10     10     10     10
MIX HGT (FT)....1500   4100   5000   5000   3800   1400
MIXNG WIND......SW 7   W 8    W 12   W 12   W 15   NW 10
DISPERSION IDX..13     23     37     37     48     8
LVORI...........4      2      1      1      1      4
CHC OF PCPN (%).30     30     30     30     30     10
LAL.............3      3      3      3      3      1

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........CONSIDERABLE CLOUDINESS. A CHANCE OF SHOWERS
                    AND THUNDERSTORMS AFTER MIDNIGHT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....MIN 73.
MAX HUMIDITY........MAX 100 PERCENT.
LAL.................1 UNTIL 0200...THEN 3.
WIND (20 FT)........WEST WINDS AROUND 6 MPH EARLY IN THE
                    EVENING...BECOMING LIGHT.
MIXING HEIGHT.......300-1400 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 5 TO 10 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....6.
LVORI...............7.
CHANCE OF PCPN......30 PERCENT.

.SATURDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS
                    LIKELY.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....MAX 89.
MIN HUMIDITY........MIN 60 PERCENT.
LAL.................4.
WIND (20 FT)........WEST WINDS 6 TO 12 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......900 FT AGL...INCREASING TO 2900-4100 FT AGL IN
                    THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 12 TO 17 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....15...INCREASING TO 47 IN THE LATE MORNING AND
                    EARLY AFTERNOON...THEN DECREASING TO 34 LATE IN
                    THE AFTERNOON.
LVORI...............3.
CHANCE OF PCPN......60 PERCENT.

$$
FORECASTER...KENNEDY
REQUESTED BY...DEP
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20150724.FSA6_.01/MFL


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