Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Medford, OR

Home | Current Version | Previous Version | Text Only | Print | Product List | Glossary On
Versions: 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31 32 33 34 35 36 37 38 39 40 41 42 43 44 45 46 47 48 49 50
000
FNUS76 KMFR 200140
FWSMFR

Spot Forecast for Chetco Bar Fire...USFS
National Weather Service Medford OR
640 PM PDT Thu Oct 19 2017

Forecast is based on request time of 0700 PDT on October 20.
If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather
Service.

.DISCUSSION...
A cool, showery pattern is expected over the area Friday through
Friday evening with moderate south to southwest winds. A warm
front will move through the area Friday night into Saturday with
another period of moderate to perhaps briefly heavy rainfall.
Heaviest rain with this front looks like it will occur 1am-10am
Saturday with peak rainfall rates of around 0.25-0.40"/hour.
Another period of moderate to strong southerly winds (slightly
east of due south) will accompany the rainfall with gusts up at
the higher terrain of around 40 mph. Some lighter rain will
persist Saturday afternoon through Sunday, but with much lower
precip rates. It will warm up and dry out quickly Monday/Tuesday
next week, and a period of moderate to locally strong east winds
is possible Monday night into Tuesday as RHs fall from high to
moderate values.

*Rain amounts below are 12-hr amounts ending 5am/5pm PDT, except
Sunday, which is a 24-hr amount ending 5 pm PDT.

.FRIDAY...

Sky/weather.........Rain showers. Rainfall: 0.33-0.50".
Max temperature.....50-53.
Min humidity........85-90 percent.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....SSW 5-10 mph. Gusts to 15 mph.
WIND (20 FT)........SSW 8-14 mph. Gusts to 20 mph.
CWR.................100 percent.

.FRIDAY NIGHT...

Sky/weather.........A chance of rain showers in the evening, then
                    rain after midnight. Rainfall: 0.33-0.50".
Min temperature.....44-47.
Max humidity........100 percent.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....SSW 5-10 mph becoming SSE 10-20 mph after midnight.
WIND (20 FT)........SSW 8-14 mph becoming SSE 12-22 mph. Gusts up to
                    35 mph after midnight.
CWR.................70 percent increasing to 100 percent after midnight.

.SATURDAY...

Sky/weather.........Rain, windy. Rainfall: 0.75-1.25".
Max temperature.....55-60.
Min humidity........90-93 percent.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....SSE becoming S 10-20 mph. Gusts to 25 mph.
WIND (20 FT)........South 12-25 mph with gusts to around 40 mph.
CWR.................100 percent.

.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.SUNDAY...
Rain. Lows in the lower 50s. Highs 56 to 66. South winds 6 to
16 mph. 24-rainfall ending 5 pm Sunday: 0.33-0.50".
.MONDAY...
Partly cloudy. A chance of showers. Areas of fog. Lows in the
lower 50s. Highs 64 to 74. Northeast winds 5 to 6 mph.
.TUESDAY...
Mostly clear. Areas of fog. Lows 52 to 58. Highs in the mid to
upper 70s. Northeast winds 5 to 9 mph.

$$
Forecaster...SPILDE
Requested by...Rich Reneau
Type of request...WILDFIRE
.TAG 1716895.13/MFR



USA.gov is the U.S. government's official web portal to all federal, state and local government web resources and services.