Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Medford, OR

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000
FNUS76 KMFR 201352
FWSMFR

SPOT FORECAST FOR BUTLER SALMON SITE PREP...USFS KNF
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEDFORD OR
652 AM PDT MON OCT 20 2014

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0900 PDT ON OCTOBER 20.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION... A FRONT IS MOVING INLAND ACROSS THE AREA
THIS MORNING AND  WILL SHIFT EAST OF THE AREA BY EARLY AFTERNOON.
BEHIND THE FRONT, SHOWERS WILL MOVE INTO THE AREA DURING THE AFTERNOON
AND EVENING. WINDS WILL BE SOUTHERLY TODAY AND EXPECT A CHANCE OF
GUSTS, MAINLY IN THE AFTERNOON WETTING RAIN IS LIKELY TODAY WITH
A CHANCE OF WETTING RAIN IN SHOWERS THIS EVENING AND TONIGHT.
SOME SCATTERED SHOWERS WILL LINGER TONIGHT INTO TUESDAY BUT ARE
EXPECTED TO BE LIGHT.

THEN A STRONG FRONT IS EXPECTED TO APPROACH THE COAST WEDNESDAY
AND SLOWLY MOVE INLAND OVER THE AREA WEDNESDAY EVENING THROUGH
THURSDAY, BRINGING MORE RAIN AND GUSTY SOUTH WINDS. THIS FRONT MAY
STALL OVER THE AREA, LIFTING OUT FRIDAY AS ANOTHER FRONT ARRIVES.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........RAIN IN THE MORNING...THEN SHOWERS IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 55.
MIN HUMIDITY........65 PERCENT.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....SOUTH 3-5 MPH BECOMING SOUTHWEST IN THE
                     AFTERNOON. GUSTS TO 8 MPH IN THE
                     AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......800-1500 FT AGL INCREASING TO 3000-4000 FT
                    AGL EARLY THIS AFTERNOON.
MIXING WINDS........SOUTHWEST AROUND 15 MPH.
CWR.................100 PERCENT.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. RAIN SHOWERS LIKELY IN THE
                    EVENING...THEN A CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS AFTER
                    MIDNIGHT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 38.
MAX HUMIDITY........95-100 PERCENT.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....SOUTHWEST WINDS 2-5 MPH IN THE EVENING...
                     BECOMING VARIABLE 1-3 MPH OVERNIGHT.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2000-3500 FT AGL DECREASING TO 500-1000 FT AGL
                    AFTER SUNSET.
MIXING WINDS........SOUTHWEST AROUND 15 MPH...DECREASING TO
                    AROUND 8 MPH AFTER SUNSET.
CWR.................35 PERCENT.

.TUESDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 54.
MIN HUMIDITY........60 PERCENT.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....SOUTH 1-3 MPH IN THE MORNING BECOMING SOUTH TO
                     SOUTHWEST 2-4 MPH IN THE MID TO LATE AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......500-1500 FT AGL IN THE MORNING INCREASING TO
                     3000-4000 FT AGL EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING WINDS........SOUTHWEST AROUND 8 MPH.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.

$$
FORECASTER...CLARSTROM
REQUESTED BY...ERIC GREY
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20141020.BUTLE.01/MFR







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