Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Medford, OR

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000
FNUS76 KMFR 221721
FWSMFR

Spot Forecast for Rattlesnake fire...USFS
National Weather Service Medford OR
1021 AM PDT Tue Aug 22 2017

Forecast is based on request time of 1500 PDT on August 22.
If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather
Service.

.DISCUSSION...
Southwest flow has developed in the mid-levels and will continue to
transport smoke from west side wildfires northeastward today.
Meanwhile, low pressure over southern California will bring
increasing moisture, instability and strong enough trigger for
scattered shower and thunderstorm development from the Siskiyous
and Cascades south and eastward. There`s a chance a few isolated
storms could move into portions of the Rogue and Illinois valley
and eastern Douglas Counties and along the Cascades, but
confidence is low in this due to the combination of smoke and
weaker trigger. Scattered thunderstorms will again be possible
from the Oregon Cascades and Trinity Alps eastward Wednesday,
though the primary concern shifts east of the Cascades.


.TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Sunny in the morning then becoming partly
                    cloudy. Smoke.
Max temperature.....Around 73.
Min humidity........28 percent.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....South winds 2 to 4 mph becoming west winds
                    3 to 6 mph in the afternoon.
WIND (20 FT)........South winds around 5 mph shifting to the west
                    in the afternoon.
Mixing height.......4300-5300 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southwest around 10 mph.
CWR.................0 percent.
LAL.................1.

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy. Areas of smoke through the
                    night. A slight chance of showers and
                    thunderstorms after midnight.
Min temperature.....Around 55.
Max humidity........73 percent.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....Northwest winds 3 to 6 mph early evening becoming
                    south winds 1 to 3 mph. Gusty and erratic winds
                    expected near thunderstorms after midnight.
WIND (20 FT)........West winds around 5 mph in the evening becoming
                    light. Gusty and erratic winds expected near
                    thunderstorms after midnight.
Mixing height.......Decreasing to 300-2000 ft AGL early in the evening.
Transport winds.....Northwest around 5 mph.
CWR.................5 percent.
LAL.................2.

.WEDNESDAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy in the morning then clearing.
                    Areas of smoke.
Max temperature.....Around 75.
Min humidity........40 percent.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....South winds 1 to 3 becoming west 2 to 5 mph in the
                    afternoon.
WIND (20 FT)........Light winds becoming west 5 to 6 mph in the
                    afternoon.
Mixing height.......3700-5200 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southwest around 5 mph.
CWR.................0 percent.
LAL.................1.

$$
Forecaster...NELAIMISCHKIES
Requested by...Nate Crawford
Type of request...WILDFIRE
.TAG 1714702.0/MFR



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