Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Mobile, AL

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000
FNUS74 KMOB 242325
FWSMOB

SPOT FORECAST FOR JEFF FRIEND FIRE...U.S. FISH AND WILDLIFE SERVICE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE AL
625 PM CDT SUN MAY 24 2015

FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 1743 CDT ON MAY 24.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL
WEATHER SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...THE SAME TYPE OF WEATHER PATTERN WILL OCCUR OVER
THE WILDFIRE AREA THROUGH MIDWEEK. HOWEVER...EXPECT NUMEROUS
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS EARLIER IN THE DAY...MAINLY FROM LATE
TONIGHT THROUGH 2 PM MONDAY...WITH THE BEST CHANCE OF OCCASIONAL
LIGHTNING OCCURRING MONDAY MORNING. THE RAIN WILL THEN TAPER OFF
IN THE AFTERNOON. EXPECT ABOUT TWO-TENTHS OF AN INCH OF RAIN FROM
MIDNIGHT TONIGHT THROUGH MONDAY MORNING AND ABOUT ONE-HALF TO ONE
INCH OF RAIN MONDAY MORNING.

FOG POTENTIAL AND OTHER REMARKS...NO FOG.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (55-65 PERCENT). SCATTERED
                    THUNDERSTORMS AND SHOWERS.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 75.
MAX HUMIDITY........96 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHEAST WINDS 13 TO 17 MPH SHIFTING TO THE
                    EAST-SOUTHEAST AROUND 11 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT.
                    GUSTY WINDS FROM THE SOUTH TO 25 MPH EXPECTED
                    NEAR THUNDERSTORMS LATE TONIGHT.
MIXING HEIGHT.......4400 FT AGL DECREASING TO 1800 FT AGL AFTER
                    MIDNIGHT INCREASING TO 2100 FT AGL LATE TONIGHT.
MIXING WINDS........SOUTHEAST 21 TO 25 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....66 DECREASING TO 30.
LVORI...............3 INCREASING TO 4 IN THE EVENING...THEN
                    INCREASING TO 5 AFTER MIDNIGHT DECREASING TO 4
                    LATE IN THE NIGHT.
STABILITY CLASS.....D.

TIME (CDT)      6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
SKY (%)...........52  64  64  64  64  64  64  66  66  66  66  66
WEATHER COV.......SCT SCT SCT SCT SCT SCT SCT CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC
WEATHER TYPE......TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM
TEMP..............80  79  77  77  77  77  77  76  76  75  75  75
RH................82  85  89  89  90  90  92  93  94  94  95  96
20 FT WIND DIR....SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  ESE ESE
20 FT WIND SPD....17  15  15  15  12  12  12  11  11  11  11  11
20 FT WIND GUST...    23  23  23  20  20  20              18  18
MIX HGT (KFT).....4.4 2.7 2.7 2.7 2.2 2.2 2.2 1.8 1.8 1.8 2.1 2.1
MIX HGT (KM)......1.3 0.8 0.8 0.8 0.7 0.7 0.7 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.6 0.6
TRANSP WIND DIR...SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE
TRANSP WIND SPD...22  25  25  25  22  22  22  22  22  22  21  21
TRANS SPD (M/S)...10  11  11  11  10  10  10  10  10  10  9   9
DISPERSION........66  34  34  34  29  29  29  25  25  25  28  28
LVORI.............3   4   4   4   4   4   4   5   5   5   4   4
STABILITY CLASS...D   D   D   D   D   D   D   D   D   D   D   D
CWR...............40  40  40  40  40  40  40  50  50  50  50  50

.MEMORIAL DAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (75-85 PERCENT). THUNDERSTORMS AND
                    SHOWERS LIKELY.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 81.
MIN HUMIDITY........75 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........EAST-SOUTHEAST WINDS 11 TO 14 MPH AND GUSTY.
                    GUSTY WINDS FROM THE SOUTH TO 25 MPH EXPECTED
                    NEAR THUNDERSTORMS...MAINLY MONDAY MORNING.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2100 FT AGL INCREASING TO 3200 FT AGL.
MIXING WINDS........SOUTHEAST 22 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....28 INCREASING TO 54.
LVORI...............4 DECREASING TO 3 IN THE AFTERNOON.
STABILITY CLASS.....D.

TIME (CDT)      6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY (%)...........66  74  74  74  74  74  74  95  95  95  95  95
WEATHER COV.......CHC LKY LKY LKY LKY LKY LKY LKY LKY LKY LKY LKY
WEATHER TYPE......TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM
TEMP..............75  75  76  77  78  79  80  80  81  81  80  80
RH................96  96  93  89  87  84  81  79  76  75  75  76
20 FT WIND DIR....ESE ESE ESE ESE SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  ESE ESE
20 FT WIND SPD....11  11  11  11  14  14  14  14  14  14  8   8
20 FT WIND GUST...18              21  21  21  23  23  23
MIX HGT (KFT).....2.1 2.4 2.4 2.4 2.8 2.8 2.8 3.2 3.2 3.2 3.0 3.0
MIX HGT (KM)......0.6 0.7 0.7 0.7 0.9 0.9 0.9 1.0 1.0 1.0 0.9 0.9
TRANSP WIND DIR...SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE
TRANSP WIND SPD...21  21  21  21  22  22  22  22  22  22  22  22
TRANS SPD (M/S)...9   9   9   9   10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10
DISPERSION........28  44  44  44  50  50  50  54  54  54  52  52
LVORI.............4   4   4   4   4   4   4   3   3   3   3   3
STABILITY CLASS...D   D   D   D   D   D   D   D   D   D   D   D
CWR...............50  60  60  60  60  60  60  60  60  60  60  60

$$
FORECASTER...22
REQUESTED BY...JOSH HAVIRD
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20150524.JEFFF.02/MOB



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