Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Twin Cities, MN

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FNUS73 KMPX 241207
FWSMPX

SPOT FORECAST FOR JI CASE...USFWS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TWIN CITIES/CHANHASSEN MN
707 AM CDT TUE MAY 24 2016

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1030 CDT ON MAY 24.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
THE CLOUDS WILL GRADUALLY CLEAR THIS MORNING...AND THE BURN SITE
IS HEADED FOR A WARM AND OVERALL DRY DAY WITH PARTLY CLOUDY SKIES.
AFTERNOON TEMPERATURES IN THE 80S WILL DRIVE THE HUMIDITY DOWN
INTO THE 30S. A BRIEF...STRAY SHOWER IS NOT COMPLETELY OUT OF THE
QUESTION TODAY...BUT NOT LIKELY EITHER.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY.
TEMPERATURE.........74 AT IGNITION...MAX 83.
RH..................57 PERCENT AT IGNITION...MIN 31 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........WINDS SOUTH AT 4 MPH AT IGNITION...OTHERWISE
                    LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTH 5 TO 6 MPH LATE IN
                    THE MORNING.
HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE AT IGNITION...MAX 6.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR TO GOOD (1500-42900) INCREASING TO
                    EXCELLENT (75600-117600) LATE IN THE
                    MORNING...THEN INCREASING TO EXCELLENT
                    (90900-135200) EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON
                    DECREASING TO GOOD (46900-47000) LATE IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......300-1800 FT AGL INCREASING TO 5000 FT AGL LATE
                    IN THE MORNING...THEN INCREASING TO 8200 FT AGL
                    LATE IN THE MORNING INCREASING TO 11300-12700
                    FT AGL EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON DECREASING TO
                    8600 FT AGL DECREASING TO 4400 FT AGL LATE IN
                    THE AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 6 TO 13 MPH.

TIME (CDT)      8 AM   10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM   6 PM
SKY COVER.......PCLDY  MCLEAR MCLEAR MCLEAR MCLEAR PCLDY
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
TSTM COV........
TEMP............63     71     78     81     83     81
RH..............78     57     42     34     31     34
20 FT WIND......S 2    S 2    S 4    S 5    S 5    S 5
20 FT WIND GUST.5      5      5
HAINES INDEX....5      5      5      5      5      6

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY THEN BECOMING MOSTLY CLOUDY.
                    CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS AFTER
                    MIDNIGHT. CHANCE OF PRECIPITATION 40 PERCENT.
TEMPERATURE.........MIN 60.
RH..................MAX 87 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........EAST WINDS 5 TO 7 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS
                    EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS AFTER MIDNIGHT.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (2900-5000).
MIXING HEIGHT.......300 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 14 TO 18 MPH.

.WEDNESDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY
                    IN THE MORNING...THEN CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON. CHANCE OF
                    PRECIPITATION 60 PERCENT.
TEMPERATURE.........MAX 75.
RH..................MIN 65 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHEAST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC
                    WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS.
HAINES INDEX........3 TO 4 OR OR VERY LOW TO OR LOW.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR TO EXCELLENT (4500-64500) INCREASING TO
                    GOOD TO EXCELLENT (57200-107300) LATE IN THE
                    MORNING...THEN INCREASING TO EXCELLENT
                    (71400-128700) EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON
                    DECREASING TO FAIR TO GOOD (26800-56200) LATE
                    IN THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......300-1100 FT AGL INCREASING TO 2400-3700 FT AGL
                    LATE IN THE MORNING...THEN INCREASING TO
                    4300-4900 FT AGL EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON
                    DECREASING TO 1600-2900 FT AGL LATE IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 20 TO 29 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTH 23
                    TO 30 MPH LATE IN THE MORNING...THEN DECREASING
                    TO AROUND 20 MPH LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.

$$
FORECASTER...FRANKS
REQUESTED BY...TROY BOSCHEE
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20160524.JICAS.01/MPX



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