Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Knoxville/Tri Cities, TN

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FNUS74 KMRX 202107
FWSMRX

Spot Forecast for Ledford p burn
National Weather Service Morristown TN
407 PM EST Mon Feb 20 2017

Forecast is based on request time of 1300 EST on February 21.

If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather
Service...at 1-800-697-0075. If possible...please provide feedback
for every spot forecast request.

.DISCUSSION...
UNSEASONABLE WARMTH IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE WITH WEATHER
CONDITIONS TURNING UNSETTLED FOR THE REMAINDER OF THE WORK WEEK.
CLOUDS WILL INCREASE TOMORROW WITH THE NEXT CHANCE OF SHOWERS LATE
TOMORROW INTO EARLY WEDNESDAY. SHOWERS ARE POSSIBLE AGAIN THURSDAY.
A COLD FRONT WILL APPROACH LATE FRIDAY, BRINGING A CHANCE FOR
THUNDERSTORMS FRIDAY NIGHT. MORE SEASONABLE TEMPERATURES WILL FILTER
INTO THE AREA FOR THE WEEKEND.
FNUS74 KMRX 202106
FWSMRX

Spot Forecast for Ledford p burn...NCFS
National Weather Service Morristown TN
406 PM EST Mon Feb 20 2017

Forecast is based on request time of 1300 EST on February 21.

If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather
Service...at 1-800-697-0075. If possible...please provide feedback
for every spot forecast request.

.DISCUSSION...
UNSEASONABLE WARMTH IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE WITH WEATHER
CONDITIONS TURNING UNSETTLED FOR THE REMAINDER OF THE WORK WEEK.
CLOUDS WILL INCREASE TOMORROW WITH THE NEXT CHANCE OF SHOWERS LATE
TOMORROW INTO EARLY WEDNESDAY. SHOWERS ARE POSSIBLE AGAIN THURSDAY.
A COLD FRONT WILL APPROACH LATE FRIDAY, BRINGING A CHANCE FOR
THUNDERSTORMS FRIDAY NIGHT. MORE SEASONABLE TEMPERATURES WILL FILTER
INTO THE AREA FOR THE WEEKEND.

.TUESDAY...

Sky/weather.........Partly sunny then becoming cloudy. Slight
                    chance of rain showers early in the afternoon.
                    Chance of rain showers late in the afternoon.
Temperature.........61 at request...Max 65.
RH..................62 percent at request...Min 60 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Winds southeast at 11 mph at
                    request...otherwise Southeast winds 7 to 12
                    mph.
Mixing height MSL...4800 ft MSL.
Bottom mix hgt AGL..
Top mix hgt AGL.....3239 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southeast around 23 mph.
Dispersion..........63.
Rainfall amount.....0.01 inches.

TIME (EST)      7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM 6PM
Sky (%).........56  60  69  73  73  74  74  80  92  98  98  99
Weather cov.....                        SCH SCH SCH CHC CHC CHC
Weather type....                        RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW
Tstm cov........
Temp............48  49  51  54  56  59  61  62  63  64  64  62
RH..............83  83  83  77  74  67  62  62  60  60  60  65
20 FT wind dir..SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE
20 FT wind spd..7   8   9   10  12  12  12  12  10  9   8   8
20 FT wind gust.15  15  15  20  20  20  20  20  20  15  15  15

.TUESDAY NIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Cloudy. Rain showers likely.
Temperature.........Min 52.
RH..................Max 93 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Southeast winds 5 to 9 mph until early morning
                    becoming light.
Mixing height MSL...
Bottom mix hgt AGL..
Top mix hgt AGL.....
Transport winds.....
Dispersion..........
Rainfall amount.....0.29 inches.

TIME (EST)      7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM 6AM
Sky (%).........99  99  100 100 100 99  99  99  100 100 95  84
Weather cov.....LKY LKY LKY LKY LKY LKY LKY LKY LKY LKY LKY LKY
Weather type....RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW
Tstm cov........
Temp............61  60  59  58  57  56  56  55  55  54  54  53
RH..............67  69  75  77  80  83  83  86  86  90  90  89
20 FT wind dir..SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  E   N
20 FT wind spd..8   8   9   9   8   7   6   5   5   5   3   3
20 FT wind gust.15  15  15  15  15  10  10  10  10  10  5   5

.WEDNESDAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy. Chance of rain showers early in
                    the morning, then slight chance of rain showers
                    in the late morning and early afternoon.
Temperature.........Max 68.
RH..................Min 59 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds.
Mixing height MSL...2700 ft MSL.
Bottom mix hgt AGL..
Top mix hgt AGL.....1139 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Northwest around 6 mph.
Dispersion..........5.
Rainfall amount.....0.05 inches.

TIME (EST)      7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM 6PM
Sky (%).........84  84  84  84  84  84  74  74  74  74  74  74
Weather cov.....CHC CHC CHC CHC SCH SCH SCH SCH
Weather type....RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW
Tstm cov........
Temp............52  52  54  57  59  62  64  65  66  67  66  65
RH..............93  93  90  83  78  72  67  65  63  59  61  60
20 FT wind dir..E   E   E   E   SE  SE  S   S   S   S   S   SE
20 FT wind spd..3   3   2   2   2   2   2   2   2   2   1   1
20 FT wind gust.5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy then becoming mostly cloudy.
Temperature.........Min 51.
RH..................Max 100 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds.
Mixing height MSL...
Bottom mix hgt AGL..
Top mix hgt AGL.....
Transport winds.....
Dispersion..........
Rainfall amount.....0.00 inches.

TIME (EST)      7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM 6AM
Sky (%).........50  50  50  50  50  50  61  61  61  61  61  61
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
Temp............63  61  60  58  57  57  56  55  54  54  53  53
RH..............65  70  72  77  80  80  83  86  90  90  96  96
20 FT wind dir..SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE
20 FT wind spd..1   2   2   3   3   3   3   3   2   2   2   2
20 FT wind gust.        5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5

.THURSDAY...

Sky/weather.........Partly sunny. Slight chance of rain showers in
                    the afternoon.
Temperature.........Max 69.
RH..................Min 61 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds becoming south 5 to 7 mph in the
                    late morning and afternoon.
Mixing height MSL...
Bottom mix hgt AGL..
Top mix hgt AGL.....
Transport winds.....
Dispersion..........
Rainfall amount.....0.01 inches.

TIME (EST)      7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM 6PM
Sky (%).........71  71  71  71  71  71  66  66  66  66  66  66
Weather cov.....                        SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH
Weather type....                        RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW
Tstm cov........
Temp............52  53  56  58  61  64  66  67  68  69  68  66
RH..............100 96  90  83  75  70  65  63  63  61  63  68
20 FT wind dir..E   SE  SE  S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S
20 FT wind spd..2   2   2   3   5   6   7   7   7   7   6   5
20 FT wind gust.5   5   5   5   10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10

$$
Forecaster...Andrew Pritchett
Requested by...District Forester
Type of request...WILDFIRE
.TAG 1702509.0/MRX



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