Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Spokane, WA

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000
FNUS76 KOTX 132007
FWSOTX

SPOT FORECAST FOR 25 MILE CREEK...CWICC
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPOKANE WA
107 PM PDT SUN JUL 13 2014

FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 1233 PDT ON JULY 13.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 AM PDT MONDAY FOR ABUNDANT
LIGHTNING AND DRY FUELS...

.DISCUSSION...
TEMPERATURES SHOT UP QUICKLY THIS MORNING...BUT HIGH CLOUDS WILL
SPREAD OVER THE 25 MILE CREEK WILDFIRE THIS AFTERNOON CAUSING THE
RATE OF HEATING TO SLOW. THE CLOUDS ARE BEING CAUSED BY CLUSTERS
OF THUNDERSTORMS OVER OREGON. THESE STORMS WILL SPREAD NORTHWARD
THIS EVENING BRINGING A CHANCE OF RAIN AND LIGHTNING TO THE FIRE.
THE THREAT OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL LINGER INTO MONDAY
AFTERNOON. STORMS ON MONDAY WILL BECOME INCREASINGLY WET. IF A
STORM CELL HAPPENS TO SET UP OVER THE FIRE...IT COULD PRODUCE A
TENTH TO A QUARTER OF AN INCH OF RAIN QUICKLY...AS WELL AS GUSTY
AND ERATIC WINDS.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........HIGH CIRRUS CLOUDS THIS AFTERNOON.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....1700 FEET...100
                    3700 FEET...92
MIN HUMIDITY........1700 FEET...15 PERCENT.
                    3700 FEET...19 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........UP SLOPE/UP VALLEY 1 TO 4 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......AS HIGH AS 6500 FT AGL THROUGH 1800 PDT.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST 2 TO 5 MPH.
LAL.................1.
HAINES INDEX........3 VERY LOW.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. 40 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS
                    AND THUNDERSTORMS. BEST CHANCES AFTER 2000 PDT.
CWR.................10 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....68 TO 74...WITH WARMEST MIN TEMPS IN THE
                    MID-SLOPE THERMAL BELT BETWEEN 2500-3500 FEET.
MAX HUMIDITY........38-44 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........DOWN SLOPE/DOWN VALLEY 2 TO 5 MPH IN THE
                    EVENING BECOMING NORTHWEST 4 TO 7 MPH
                    OVERNIGHT. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS POSSIBLE
                    NEAR THUNDERSTORMS.
MIXING HEIGHT.......DECREASING TO 200 FT AGL BY 2100 PDT.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 4 TO 7 MPH.
LAL.................3.
HAINES INDEX........3 LOW.

.MONDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY. 40 PERCENT CHANCE SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS.
CWR.................20 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....1700 FEET...95
                    3700 FEET...87
MIN HUMIDITY........1700 FEET...26 PERCENT.
                    3700 FEET...31 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTHWEST WINDS 3 TO 7 MPH IN THE MORNING...
                    BECOMING UP SLOPE/UP VALLEY 1 TO 4 MPH IN THE
                    AFTERNOON. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED
                    NEAR THUNDERSTORMS.
MIXING HEIGHT.......AS HIGH AS 6800 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH OR NORTHWEST 4 TO 8 MPH.
LAL.................3.
HAINES INDEX........3 VERY LOW.

$$
FORECASTER...GK
REQUESTED BY...AARON ROWE
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20140713.25MIL.01/OTX


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