Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Spokane, WA

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000
FNUS76 KOTX 290309
FWSOTX

SPOT FORECAST FOR LAST INCH FIRE...ID-CTS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPOKANE WA
809 PM PDT FRI AUG 28 2015

FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 2015 MDT ON AUGUST 28.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...

RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM TO 7 PM PDT
SATURDAY FOR WIND AND LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY FOR NORTH IDAHO.

HIGH WIND WATCH IN EFFECT FOR SATURDAY MORNING THROUGH
SATURDAY EVENING

A STRONG COLD FRONT WILL BE ADVANCING THROUGH THE REGION ON
SATURDAY. FIRST TONIGHT EXPECT CLOUDS AND A FEW SPRINKLES. WINDS
WILL GRADUALLY INCREASE OVERNIGHT AND TURN SOUTHEAST. THERE MAY
BE SOME BRIEF GUSTS IN THE MORNING. HOWEVER WINDS WILL INCREASE TO
A GREATER EXTENT WITH THE COLD FRONT PASSAGE. THE COLD FRONT IS
EXPECTED TO BE PAST AROUND 0900 TO 1200 HOURS...WITH WINDS SHIFTING
FROM SOUTHEAST TO WEST-SOUTHWEST AND PERHAPS EVEN CHANNELING IN
FROM THE WEST-NORTHWEST LATER IN THE AFTERNOON TO EVENING...FOLLOWING
THE TERRAIN. THIS WILL CARRY SPEEDS AROUND WITH IT THE POTENTIAL
FOR WIND GUST NEAR 40 MPH. HOWEVER LOCALIZED GUSTS NEAR 50 MPH
AT NOT OUT OF THE QUESTION NEAR THE RIDGETOPS. THIS FRONT WILL ALSO
COME WITH A CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS AND A SLIGHT CHANCE OF
THUNDERSTORMS. A BOUNDARY WILL LINGER IN THE REGION THROUGH THE
NIGHT WITH A THREAT OF SHOWERS. THE SLIGHT THREAT OF THUNDERSTORMS
WANES WITH THE SUNSET. THE OVERALL THREAT OF WETTING RAIN IS ONLY
20 TO 30 PERCENT...BUT SHOULD A THUNDERSTORM MOVE OVER THE TOP OF
THE FIRE A HEAVY DOWNPOUR IS POSSIBLE.  A SECONDARY FRONT PUSHES
BY SUNDAY WITH A SOMEWHAT BETTER CHANCE OF PRECIPITATION. IT WILL
KEEP THINGS A BIT BREEZY FOR SUNDAY AFTERNOON TOO...BUT OVERALL
SPEEDS WILL BE LESS THAN SATURDAY. /J. COTE`


.REST OF TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY. AREAS OF SMOKE. CHANCE OF SPRINKLES.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....60.
MAX HUMIDITY........50 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........VARIABLE 2 TO 5 MPH IN THE EVENING BECOMING
                    SOUTHEAST 6 TO 9 MPH OVERNIGHT.
MIXING HEIGHT.......600 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 5 TO 9 MPH.
LAL.................1.
HAINES INDEX........4 LOW.

.SATURDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. PATCHY SMOKE IN THE MORNING.
                    CHANCE OF SHOWERS WITH A SLIGHT CHANCE OF
                    THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON.
CWR.................25 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....74.
MIN HUMIDITY........35 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHEAST WINDS 7 TO 11 MPH IN THE MORNING
                    INCREASING TO WEST-SOUTHWEST 16 TO 25 MPH WITH
                    GUSTS TO AROUND 40 MPH. WINDS ARE EXPECTED
                    TO SHIFT DIRECTION AND INCREASE STARTING
                    BETWEEN 1000-1200 HOURS
                    GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR
                    THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......NEAR SURFACE...BECOMING 4500 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 16 TO 20 MPH.
LAL.................2.
HAINES INDEX........4 LOW.

.SATURDAY NIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS
                    IN THE EVENING. CHANCE OF SHOWERS THROUGH THE
                    NIGHT. PATCHY SMOKE OVERNIGHT.
CWR.................30 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....46.
MAX HUMIDITY........75 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........WEST-NORTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH WITH GUSTS TO
                    25 MPH IN THE EVENING...DECREASING TO 3 TO 7 MPH
                    OVERNIGHT. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR
                    THUNDERSTORMS IN THE EVENING.
MIXING HEIGHT.......4500 FT AGL...BECOMING NEAR SURFACE AFTER 9 PM
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 8 TO 12 MPH.
LAL.................2.
HAINES INDEX........2 VERY LOW.

.SUNDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. PATCHY SMOKE IN THE MORNING.
                    SHOWERS LIKELY IN THE MORNING...THEN CHANCE OF
                    SHOWERS AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS IN
                    THE AFTERNOON.
CWR.................40 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....55.
MIN HUMIDITY........59 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS 6 TO 10 MPH. GUSTS TO 23 MPH
                    IN THE AFTERNOON. GUSTY AND ERRATIC
                    WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......NEAR SURFACE EARLY IN THE MORNING...BECOMING
                    2400 FT AGL AFTER 11 AM.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 9 TO 13 MPH.
LAL.................2.
HAINES INDEX........2 VERY LOW.

$$
FORECASTER...JC
REQUESTED BY...JOE MINTS - PSC2
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20150828.LASTI.02/OTX


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