Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Oklahoma City, OK

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000
FNUS74 KOUN 131322
FWSOUN

SPOT FORECAST FOR POLLOCK...BIA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORMAN OK
822 AM CDT SUN APR 13 2014

FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 0758 CDT ON APRIL 13.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
STRONG WINDS...HUMIDITY 10 TO 20 PERCENT... AND VERY WARM
TEMPERATURES WILL RESULT IN CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS FOR
PARTS OF SOUTHWEST OKLAHOMA AND WESTERN NORTH TEXAS THIS AFTERNOON
AND EARLY EVENING. A STRONG COLD FRONT WILL MOVE THROUGH THE REGION
TODAY AND TONIGHT. THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE...MAINLY OVER PARTS
CENTRAL AND EASTERN OKLAHOMA. STRONG NORTH WINDS WILL PREVAIL BEHIND
THE FRONT FROM THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH TONIGHT. LIGHT PRECIPITATION WILL
BE POSSIBLE TONIGHT AND EARLY MONDAY...MAINLY ACROSS PARTS OF NORTHWEST
OKLAHOMA. FREEZING TEMPERATURES ARE EXPECTED IN NORTHWEST OKLAHOMA
MONDAY MORNING. A FROST/FREEZE WILL BE POSSIBLE ACROSS MOST OF THE
AREA TUESDAY MORNING. DRY WEATHER AND WARMER TEMPERATURES ARE EXPECTED
TUESDAY AND WEDNESDAY WITH A CHANCE OF RAIN THURSDAY AS ANOTHER
FRONT MOVES THROUGH THE REGION.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (50-70 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF
                    SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE MORNING...THEN
                    CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 84.
MIN HUMIDITY........28 PERCENT.
20-FOOT WINDS.......BREEZY. SOUTHWEST WINDS 17 TO 23 MPH WITH GUSTS
                    TO AROUND 35 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTHWEST 21
                    TO 25 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 40 MPH EARLY IN
                    THE AFTERNOON. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED
                    NEAR THUNDERSTORMS.
MIXING HEIGHT.......300-1800 FT AGL INCREASING TO 2800-3600 FT AGL
                    LATE IN THE MORNING...THEN INCREASING TO 5000
                    FT AGL EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON INCREASING TO
                    9100 FT AGL EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON...
                    DECREASING TO 7400 FT AGL LATE IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 22 TO 28 MPH SHIFTING TO THE
                    NORTHWEST 22 TO 28 MPH EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR TO GOOD (3800-40300 KNOT-FT) INCREASING TO
                    EXCELLENT TO EXCELLENT (72400-105300 KNOT-FT)
                    LATE IN THE MORNING...THEN INCREASING TO
                    EXCELLENT TO EXCELLENT (163300-212800 KNOT-FT)
                    EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON.

TIME (CDT)      8 AM   10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM   6 PM
SKY (%).........MCLDY  MCLDY  MCLDY  CLOUDY MCLDY  MCLDY
WEATHER COV.....S CHC  S CHC  S CHC  CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE
WEATHER TYPE....RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR
TEMP............69     75     80     77     66     60
RH..............59     50     36     37     56     62
20 FT WIND......S 21   S 22   SW 18  W 18   NW 23  N 25
20 FT WIND GUST.30     35     30     30     35     40
MIX HGT (FT)....900    2800   3600   9100   15400  7400
MIX HGT (M).....270    850    1100   2770   4690   2260
TRANSPORT WIND..S 20   S 30   SW 28  SW 21  W 20   NW 35
TRAN WIND (M/S).S 9    S 13   SW 13  SW 9   W 9    NW 16
VRATE KTFT/1000.16     72     87     163    262    223

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (95-100 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN
                    SHOWERS IN THE EVENING...THEN CHANCE OF RAIN
                    AFTER MIDNIGHT. CHANCE OF SNOW EARLY IN THE
                    MORNING.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 34.
MAX HUMIDITY........85 PERCENT.
20-FOOT WINDS.......BREEZY. NORTH WINDS 26 TO 28 MPH WITH GUSTS TO
                    AROUND 45 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1800-3300 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 26 TO 28 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....EXCELLENT TO EXCELLENT (71300-111200 KNOT-FT)
                    INCREASING TO EXCELLENT TO EXCELLENT
                    (126100-131800 KNOT-FT) EARLY IN THE MORNING.

.MONDAY...

MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 46.
MIN HUMIDITY........35 PERCENT.
20-FOOT WINDS.......BREEZY. NORTH WINDS 20 TO 26 MPH. GUSTS UP TO
                    40 MPH DECREASING TO 30 MPH LATE IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....EXCELLENT TO EXCELLENT (118600-166200 KNOT-FT).
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (90-100 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING PARTLY
                    SUNNY (50-60 PERCENT). CHANCE OF RAIN OR SNOW
                    IN THE MORNING.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2900-4800 FT AGL INCREASING TO 5400-6000 FT AGL
                    EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 20 TO 26 MPH.

$$
FORECASTER...GALLANT/RUFF
REQUESTED BY...JACK REED
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20140413.POLLO.01/OUN



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