Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Riverton, WY

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FNUS75 KRIW 281439
FWSRIW

SPOT FORECAST FOR SCAB CREEK...BLM RSD
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RIVERTON WY
839 AM MDT MON JUL 28 2014

FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 0810 MDT ON JULY 28.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...

A BANK OF CLOUDS AND MOISTURE CURRENTLY OVER UTAH AND IDAHO WILL
CONTINUE TO STREAM INTO WESTERN AND CENTRAL WYOMING THIS MORNING.
THIS MOISTURE WILL IMPACT THE FIRE DURING THE LATE MORNING
HOURS...WITH INCREASING CLOUD COVER. SHOWERS AND ISOLATED
THUNDERSTORMS ARE ANTICIPATED TO INITIATE DURING THE EARLY
AFTERNOON HOURS...AND PERSIST THROUGH THE EVENING HOURS. GUSTY
WIND...LIGHTNING...AND PERIODS OF HEAVY RAIN ARE THE MAIN THREATS
ASSOCIATED WITH STORM ACTIVITY TODAY. MOISTURE WILL REMAIN ANCHORED
OVER THE AREA WITH RAIN SHOWERS POSSIBLE THROUGH THE OVERNIGHT
HOURS. THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY WILL WEAKEN WITH THE LOSS OF DAYLIGHT
THIS EVENING...AND RETURN BY TUESDAY AFTERNOON. TUESDAY AND
WEDNESDAY WILL BE ENHANCED VERSIONS OF TODAY WITH MORE MOISTURE ACROSS
THE AREA. EXPECT AN INCREASE IN THE LIKELIHOOD AND COVERAGE OF
STORM ACTIVITY OVER THE FIRE.

...THUNDERSTORMS IMPLY STRONG GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS...
...HAINES INDEX IS HIGH LEVEL HAINES BOTH DAY AND NIGHT...

FORECASTER...BRANHAM

.TODAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (45-55 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING
                    MOSTLY CLOUDY (60-70 PERCENT) BY 1100. ISOLATED
                    SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS BY 1200 WITH COVERAGE
                    INCREASING TO SCATTERED BY 1500.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....73-76.
MIN HUMIDITY........22-26 PERCENT.
20 FOOT WINDS.......UPSLOPE/UPVALLEY 5-9 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC
                    WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS.
RIDGE TOP WINDS.....LIGHT AND VARIABLE LESS THAN 5 MPH...THEN
                    BECOMING SOUTHWEST 10-15 MPH BY 1300.
LAL.................1 UNTIL 1200...THEN 3.
CHC OF WETTING RAIN.4 PERCENT.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......3900-4900 FT AGL INCREASING TO 7800-8600 FT AGL
                    IN THE AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....LIGHT AND VARIABLE LESS THAN 7 MPH...BECOMING
                   SOUTHWEST 9-13 MPH BY 1300.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR TO FAIR (28600-58000 KNOT-FT).

.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80 PERCENT). SCATTERED
                    SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS THROUGH 2200. ISOLATED
                    RAIN SHOWERS THEN EXPECTED THROUGH THE OVERNIGHT
                    HOURS.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....49-52.
MAX HUMIDITY........67-70 PERCENT.
20 FOOT WINDS.......DOWNSLOPE/DOWNVALLEY 4-7 MPH BECOMING NORTHEAST
                    AROUND 8 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 15 MPH BY 0300.
                    GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR
                    THUNDERSTORMS.
RIDGE TOP WINDS.....WEST AROUND 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTH BY
                    2200...THEN SHIFTING TO THE EAST BY 0200.
LAL.................3 UNTIL 2200...THEN 1.
CHC OF WETTING RAIN.4 PERCENT.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......DECREASING TO 4300-5300 FT AGL BY 0200.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 10-15 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTH BY 2200...
                    THEN SHIFTING TO THE EAST BY 0200.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR TO FAIR (35400-54100 KNOT-FT).

.TUESDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (75-85 PERCENT). SCATTERED RAIN
                    SHOWERS THROUGH THE DAY. ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS
                    AFTER 1200.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....64-67.
MIN HUMIDITY........42-45 PERCENT.
20 FOOT WINDS.......NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND 12 MPH BY 0600 BECOMING
                    UPSLOPE/UPVALLEY 5-9 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 17 MPH.
                    GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR
                    THUNDERSTORMS.
RIDGE TOP WINDS.....NORTHEAST AROUND 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTH
                    BY 1000...THEN SHIFTING TO THE SOUTH BY 1200...AND
                    THEN SHIFTING TO THE EAST BY 1600.
LAL.................1 UNTIL 1200...THEN 3.
CHC OF WETTING RAIN.56 PERCENT.
HAINES INDEX........2 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......3100-4100 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST AROUND 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTH
                    AROUND 13 MPH BY 1000...THEN SHIFTING TO THE
                    SOUTH AROUND 14 MPH BY 1300...THEN SHIFTING TO
                    THE EAST AROUND 18 MPH BY 1600.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR TO FAIR (17300-41800 KNOT-FT).

.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SCATTERED SHOWERS AND ISOLATED
THUNDERSTORMS IN THE EVENING...THEN SCATTERED SHOWERS AFTER
MIDNIGHT. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. WINDS GENERALLY LESS THAN
10 MPH.

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S. WINDS GENERALLY LESS
THAN 10 MPH.

.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S. WINDS GENERALLY LESS
THAN 10 MPH.

.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY WITH CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S. WINDS GENERALLY LESS
THAN 10 MPH.

$$

FORECASTER...BRANHAM
REQUESTED BY...SCAB CREEK IC
REASON FOR REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20140728.SCABC.01/RIW







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