Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Charleston, WV

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554
FNUS71 KRLX 181958
FWSRLX

Spot Forecast for Bartlick...USFS George Washington and Jefferson
 National Forest
National Weather Service Charleston WV
258 PM EST Sat Nov 18 2017

Forecast is based on request time of 1500 EST on November 18.
If conditions become unrepresentative, contact the National Weather
Service.

...WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 AM EST SUNDAY...

.DISCUSSION...
Gusty southerly winds will provide a warm day, with afternoon
temperatures in the upper 50s to lower 60s.

A strong cold front will push through tonight. This will bring
gusty showers and possibly a thunderstorm late this evening. By
Sunday morning, much colder air will be sweeping into the central
Appalachians, changing rain showers to snow showers by Sunday night.
Snow accumulations are not expected.

High pressure will dominate much of next week, with dry, and
seasonably chilly weather, the chilly air reinforced by a midweek
cold front.

.REST OF TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Cloudy (90-100 percent).
CWR.................10 percent.
Chance of pcpn......10 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 64.
Min humidity........47 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Southwest winds 15 to 25 mph with gusts to around
                    40 mph.
Mixing height.......1700-2800 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....South 20 to 22 mph.
Haines Index........2 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.

TIME (EST)      3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........91  93  95
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
CWR.............10  10  10
Chc of pcpn (%).10  10  10
Temp............64  61  60
RH..............57  66  69
20 FT wind dir..SW  SW  SW
20 FT wind spd..15  15  14
20 FT wind gust.40  40  40
Mix hgt (kft)...2.8 2.4 1.7
Transp wind dir.S   S   S
Transp wind spd.22  21  20
Haines index....2   2   2

 .TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Cloudy (95-100 percent). Showers and a slight
                    chance of thunderstorms in the evening, then a
                    chance of showers after midnight.
CWR.................40 percent early this evening, increasing to 100
                    percent by late evening. Then gradually falling to
                    to 30 percent by early Sunday.
Chance of pcpn......100 percent.
Min temperature.....Around 37.
Max humidity........100 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........West winds 12 to 14 mph with isolated gusts to around
                    40 mph. Gusty and erratic winds expected near showers
                    and thunderstorms late in the evening.
Mixing height.......0-1100 ft AGL, increasing to 2300-3700 ft AGL
                    after midnight.
Transport winds.....West 15 to 23 mph.
Haines Index........2 to 3 OR or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.

TIME (EST)      6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
Sky (%).........98  99  99  100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 99
Weather cov.....CHC LKY DEF DEF DEF DEF CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC
Weather type....RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW
Tstm cov........            SCH SCH
CWR.............40  60  90  90  100 100 50  40  50  50  30  30
Chc of pcpn (%).40  60  90  90  100 100 50  40  50  50  30  30
Temp............60  59  57  57  56  58  43  42  40  39  39  38
RH..............72  75  80  83  86  75  100 100 100 100 94  95
20 FT wind dir..SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  W   W   W   W   W   W   W
20 FT wind spd..14  13  13  12  13  12  12  12  14  13  12  12
20 FT wind gust.40  40  40  40  40  36  35  25  24  22  20  18
Mix hgt (kft)...0.9 0.3 0.1 0.1 0.2 1.1 2.3 3.3 3.6 3.5 3.5 3.7
Transp wind dir.S   S   S   SW  SW  SW  W   W   W   W   W   W
Transp wind spd.17  16  15  15  16  18  21  23  22  21  20  20
Haines index....3   3   3   3   3   3   2   2   2   2   2   2

.SUNDAY...

Sky/weather.........Cloudy (90-100 percent). A slight chance of
                    rain showers early in the morning.
CWR.................20 percent.
Chance of pcpn......20 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 40.
Min humidity........70 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........West winds 8 to 12 mph. Gusts up to 23 mph.
Mixing height.......3900-4400 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....West 16 to 21 mph.
Haines Index........2 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.

TIME (EST)      6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........96  94  94  94  94  93  90  89  90  93  95  94
Weather cov.....SCH     SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH
Weather type....RW      RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW
Tstm cov........
CWR.............20  10  20  20  20  20  20  20  20  20  20  20
Chc of pcpn (%).20  10  20  20  20  20  20  20  20  20  20  20
Temp............38  38  38  38  38  38  39  39  39  38  37  37
RH..............93  89  85  82  79  79  73  70  70  70  70  70
20 FT wind dir..W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W
20 FT wind spd..12  10  10  10  10  10  10  10  9   9   9   8
20 FT wind gust.18  18  18  18  18  18  18  18  16  16  16  12
Mix hgt (kft)...3.9 4.1 4.1 4.1 4.1 4.1 4.2 4.3 4.3 4.4 4.3 3.9
Transp wind dir.W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W
Transp wind spd.21  21  20  18  17  16  16  16  17  17  17  16
Haines index....2   2   2   2   2   2   2   2   2   2   2   2

$$
Forecaster...MZ
Requested by...Terry Adams
Type of request...WILDFIRE
.TAG 1718983.0/RLX



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