Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Springfield, MO

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066
FNUS73 KSGF 111445
FWSSGF

SPOT FORECAST FOR MULE SHOE CA GLADE...MO DEPT CONSERVATION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
845 AM CST THU FEB 11 2016

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1300 CST ON FEBRUARY 11.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD INTO THE REGION TODAY PROVIDING
AN EASTERLY TO NORTHEASTERLY WIND. AFTER A BRIEF WIND SHIFT TO THE
SOUTHWEST TONIGHT AND EARLY FRIDAY NORTHERLY WINDS WILL RETURN FRIDAY
AS ANOTHER DRY COLD FRONT PUSHES ACROSS THE REGION.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (35-45 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING
                    MOSTLY CLOUDY (65-75 PERCENT).
TEMPERATURE.........36 AT IGNITION...MAX 38.
RH..................47 PERCENT AT IGNITION...MIN 44 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........WINDS EAST AT 6 MPH AT IGNITION...OTHERWISE
                    EAST WINDS 5 TO 7 MPH BECOMING LIGHT.
WIND SHIFT..........
CHANCE OF PCPN......0 PERCENT.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH AT IGNITION...MAX 4.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2200 FT AGL AT IGNITION...OTHERWISE 900-2400 FT
                    AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 9 TO 18 MPH.

TIME (CST)      1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY (%).........43  52  57  62  72
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....
TSTM COV........
TEMP............36  38  38  38  37
RH..............47  44  44  44  48
20 FT WIND DIR..E   E   E   E   E
20 FT WIND SPD..5   4   4   3   3
20 FT WIND GUST.10  10  10  5   5
CHC OF PCPN (%).0   0   0   0   0
HAINES INDEX....3   3   3   3   4

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (60-70 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING
                    PARTLY CLOUDY (35-45 PERCENT).
TEMPERATURE.........MIN 25.
RH..................MAX 88 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS.
WIND SHIFT..........
CHANCE OF PCPN......0 PERCENT.
HAINES INDEX........2 TO 5 OR OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH TO OR MODERATE POTENTIAL
                    FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......200-1500 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 9 TO 16 MPH.

TIME (CST)      6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
SKY (%).........77  72  61  55  50  39  33  34  36  39  41  43
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....
TSTM COV........
TEMP............35  32  30  28  27  26  26  26  26  26  26  26
RH..............52  58  63  68  74  78  81  81  85  85  85  85
20 FT WIND DIR..E   E   E   E   E   SE  SE  S   S   S   SW  W
20 FT WIND SPD..2   2   2   2   2   2   2   2   2   2   2   2
20 FT WIND GUST.5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5
CHC OF PCPN (%).0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
HAINES INDEX....4   4   5   5   5   5   4   3   3   2   2   2

.FRIDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (50-60 PERCENT).
TEMPERATURE.........MAX 41.
RH..................MIN 52 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING NORTH 5 TO 10 MPH.
WIND SHIFT..........
CHANCE OF PCPN......0 PERCENT.
HAINES INDEX........2 TO 3 OR OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......300-1800 FT AGL INCREASING TO 2400-3700 FT AGL
                    IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 16 TO 22 MPH.

TIME (CST)      6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY (%).........44  45  48  50  53  55  57  58  60  62  64  66
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....
TSTM COV........
TEMP............26  28  30  32  35  39  41  41  41  40  38  35
RH..............88  81  78  75  66  59  55  55  52  52  57  59
20 FT WIND DIR..W   W   NW  NW  N   N   N   N   N   N   N   N
20 FT WIND SPD..3   4   5   5   6   6   6   7   7   7   7   6
20 FT WIND GUST.5   10  10  10  15  15  15  15  15  15  15  15
CHC OF PCPN (%).0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
HAINES INDEX....2   2   3   3   3   2   2   2   3   3   3   3

$$
FORECASTER...GRIFFIN
REQUESTED BY...STEVEN LAVAL
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20160211.MULES.01/SGF



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