Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Tulsa, OK

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000
FNUS74 KTSA 211113
FWSTSA

Spot Forecast for White Eagle RxB...BIA/Southern Plains Region
National Weather Service Tulsa OK
613 AM CDT Tue Mar 21 2017

Forecast is based on ignition time of 1100 CDT on March 21.
If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather
Service.

Please contact NWS Tulsa at (918)838-7838, if you have questions
or concerns with this forecast.

.DISCUSSION...
A cool front has pushed through the burn site and is currently
positioned just south of there. The front will continue to move
slowly southward, with much cooler temperatures and increasing
northeasterly winds during the afternoon. By mid afternoon, wind
gusts to 25 mph will be likely. Even cooler temperatures and
scattered showers and thunderstorms are expected tomorrow.

.TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Partly sunny (55-65 percent).
Max temperature.....Around 75.
Min humidity........40 percent.
Dewpoint............50 increasing to 54 in the late morning and
                    early afternoon, then decreasing to 50 late in
                    the afternoon.
Wind (20 ft)........Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
Mixing height.......500-1700 ft AGL increasing to 5000-5400 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Northeast 5 to 12 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (1500 knot-ft).
Stability class.....4.
1700FT Avg MIX T(F).74.

TIME (CDT)      11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........60  61  63  63  64  64  64
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
Temp............65  68  70  72  74  75  75
Dewpoint........55  55  55  53  52  51  49
RH..............70  63  59  51  46  43  40
20 FT wind dir..NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  NE
20 FT wind spd..9   9   10  11  13  14  15
20 FT wind gust.15  15  15  20  25  25  25
Mix hgt (kft)...2.6 3.6 4.5 5.0 5.3 5.4 5.4
Transp wind dir.E   NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  NE
Transp wind spd.5   5   6   7   9   12  12
VRate kt-ft/1K..3   3   9   9   9   9   9
1700FT Mix T(F).71  72  73  75  77  78  78

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (65-75 percent). Slight chance of
                    showers and thunderstorms.
Min temperature.....Around 47.
Max humidity........83 percent.
Dewpoint............45.
Wind (20 ft)........Northeast winds 9 to 13 mph with gusts to
                    around 30 mph. Gusty and erratic winds expected
                    near thunderstorms.
Mixing height.......3400-5200 ft AGL decreasing to 300-500 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Northeast 13 to 21 mph increasing to 25 to 32
                    mph in the late evening and early morning, then
                    decreasing to 14 to 22 mph after midnight.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (1900 knot-ft).
Stability class.....5.
1700FT Avg MIX T(F).73 decreasing to 53.

TIME (CDT)      6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
Sky (%).........64  65  66  66  67  66  66  65  66  66  67  72
Weather cov.....    SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH
Weather type....    RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW
Tstm cov........    SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH
Temp............74  71  65  62  59  57  55  54  52  51  50  49
Dewpoint........47  46  46  46  46  46  46  46  45  45  45  44
RH..............38  41  50  56  62  67  72  74  77  80  83  83
20 FT wind dir..NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  NE
20 FT wind spd..16  17  17  17  17  16  16  15  15  15  15  15
20 FT wind gust.30  30  30  30  30  30  30  25  25  25  25  25
Mix hgt (kft)...5.2 4.7 4.1 3.4 2.6 1.9 1.3 0.8 0.5 0.4 0.4 0.3
Transp wind dir.NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  NE
Transp wind spd.13  14  21  28  32  32  29  25  22  17  15  14
VRate kt-ft/1K..9   9   9   9   9   9   9   2   2   2   2   2
1700FT Mix T(F).77  74  70  65  61  58  56  54  54  54  54  53

.WEDNESDAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (75-85 percent). Slight chance of
                    showers and thunderstorms early in the morning,
                    then chance of rain showers in the morning.
                    Slight chance of rain showers in the afternoon.
Max temperature.....Around 59.
Min humidity........64 percent.
Dewpoint............45.
Wind (20 ft)........East winds 8 to 10 mph. Gusty and erratic winds
                    expected near thunderstorms early in the
                    morning.
Mixing height.......200-2100 ft AGL increasing to 2400-2800 ft AGL
                    in the afternoon.
Transport winds.....East 14 to 23 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (1900 knot-ft).
Stability class.....4.
1700FT Avg MIX T(F).56.

TIME (CDT)      6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........78  83  84  84  85  81  76  72  72  72  72  73
Weather cov.....SCH CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH
Weather type....RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW
Tstm cov........SCH
Temp............48  47  47  48  51  53  55  56  57  58  59  59
Dewpoint........44  44  44  44  44  44  45  45  46  46  47  47
RH..............86  89  89  86  77  71  69  66  67  64  64  64
20 FT wind dir..NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  NE
20 FT wind spd..15  15  14  12  11  10  10  10  9   9   8   8
20 FT wind gust.25  25  25  20  20  15  15  15  15  15  15  15
Mix hgt (kft)...0.2 0.3 0.5 0.9 1.3 1.7 2.1 2.4 2.6 2.7 2.8 2.7
Transp wind dir.NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  E   E   E   E   E   E
Transp wind spd.14  15  17  21  23  21  18  15  14  15  15  16
VRate kt-ft/1K..2   4   4   4   4   4   4   5   5   5   5   5
1700FT Mix T(F).53  53  52  52  52  54  55  57  58  59  60  60

$$
Forecaster...K.HATFIELD
Requested by...Josh Williams
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 1704758.0/TSA
.EMAIL joshuad.williams@bia.gov



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