Hazardous Weather Outlook
Issued by NWS Tampa Bay Area, FL

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FLUS42 KTBW 050837 AAB
HWOTBW

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAMPA BAY RUSKIN FL
437 AM EDT THU MAY 5 2016

FLZ043-050-052-056-057-061-139-142-148-149-151-155-160-162-165-
239-242-248-249-251-255-260-262-265-GMZ830-836-850-853-856-870-
873-876-060845-
SUMTER-PINELLAS-POLK-HARDEE-HIGHLANDS-DESOTO-COASTAL LEVY-
COASTAL CITRUS-COASTAL HERNANDO-COASTAL PASCO-
COASTAL HILLSBOROUGH-COASTAL MANATEE-COASTAL SARASOTA-
COASTAL CHARLOTTE-COASTAL LEE-INLAND LEVY-INLAND CITRUS-
INLAND HERNANDO-INLAND PASCO-INLAND HILLSBOROUGH-INLAND MANATEE-
INLAND SARASOTA-INLAND CHARLOTTE-INLAND LEE-TAMPA BAY WATERS-
CHARLOTTE HARBOR AND PINE ISLAND SOUND-
COASTAL WATERS FROM TARPON SPRINGS TO SUWANNEE RIVER FL OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM ENGLEWOOD TO TARPON SPRINGS FL OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM BONITA BEACH TO ENGLEWOOD FL OUT 20 NM-
WATERS FROM TARPON SPRINGS TO SUWANNEE RIVER FL OUT 20 TO 60 NM-
WATERS FROM ENGLEWOOD TO TARPON SPRINGS FL OUT 20 TO 60 NM-
WATERS FROM BONITA BEACH TO ENGLEWOOD FL OUT 20 TO 60 NM-
437 AM EDT THU MAY 5 2016

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR WEST CENTRAL AND SOUTHWEST
FLORIDA.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

...RIP CURRENT IMPACT...
STRONG AND GUSTY NORTHWEST TO NORTH WINDS IN THE WAKE OF A
COLD FRONT WILL HELP TO GENERATE HIGH SEAS OVER THE GULF
WATERS TODAY. AS THE HIGH SEAS NEAR THE COAST THEY WILL
PRODUCE SURF IN THE 2 TO 4 FOOT RANGE AT AREA BEACHES. THE
INCREASED WAVE ACTION WILL LEAD TO A HIGH RISK OF RIP CURRENTS
THROUGH THIS EVENING. A RIP CURRENT IS A 10 TO 30 YARD WIDE
CHANNEL OF WATER THAT CAN PULL EVEN A STRONG SWIMMER INTO DEEPER
WATER.

TO AVOID GETTING CAUGHT IN A RIP CURRENT...SWIM AT GUARDED
BEACHES AND HEED THE ADVICE OF THE BEACH PATROL. AT UNGUARDED
BEACHES AND NEAR PIERS...JETTIES...AND INLETS...DO NOT GO INTO
THE SURF MUCH ABOVE YOUR KNEES.

...MARINE IMPACTS...
NORTHWEST TO NORTH WINDS AROUND 20 KNOTS WITH SOME HIGHER GUSTS
ALONG WITH SEAS OF 5 TO 7 FEET WILL PRODUCE HAZARDOUS BOATING
CONDITIONS FOR SMALL CRAFT OPERATORS THROUGH EARLY TONIGHT.
FISHERMEN AND OTHER SMALL CRAFT OPERATORS MAY WANT TO POSTPONE
TRIPS INTO THE GULF UNTIL CONDITIONS IMPROVE ON FRIDAY.

...FIRE WEATHER IMPACT...
MUCH DRIER AND COOLER AIR WILL ADVECT INTO WEST CENTRAL AND
SOUTHWEST FLORIDA TODAY IN THE WAKE OF A COLD FRONT. THE DRIER
AIR WILL SUPPORT 3 TO 5 HOURS OF CRITICALLY LOW HUMIDITY VALUES
BELOW 35 PERCENT OVER INTERIOR SECTIONS OF THE NATURE COAST
DURING THE AFTERNOON. THE LOW HUMIDITY VALUES COUPLED WITH
ELEVATED ERCS AND GUSTY WINDS COULD SUPPORT INSTANTANEOUS RED
FLAG CONDITIONS IN THESE AREAS.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY.

...FIRE WEATHER IMPACT...
A VERY DRY AIR MASS WILL REMAIN OVER THE REGION THROUGH SATURDAY.
ELEVATED ERC VALUES COMBINED WITH LONG DURATIONS OF HUMIDITY
VALUES BELOW 35 PERCENT WILL PRODUCE ELEVATED FIRE WEATHER DANGERS
ON FRIDAY AND AGAIN ON SATURDAY...BUT LIGHTER WINDS SHOULD
PRECLUDE RED FLAG CONDITIONS.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL NOT BE NEEDED TODAY.

$$

MCMICHAEL



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