Hazardous Weather Outlook
Issued by NWS Tulsa, OK

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FLUS44 KTSA 291800
HWOTSA

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
100 PM CDT WED JUL 29 2015

ARZ001-002-010-011-019-020-029-OKZ049-053>076-301015-
ADAIR OK-BENTON AR-CARROLL AR-CHEROKEE OK-CHOCTAW OK-CRAIG OK-
CRAWFORD AR-CREEK OK-DELAWARE OK-FRANKLIN AR-HASKELL OK-LATIMER OK-
LE FLORE OK-MADISON AR-MAYES OK-MCINTOSH OK-MUSKOGEE OK-NOWATA OK-
OKFUSKEE OK-OKMULGEE OK-OSAGE OK-OTTAWA OK-PAWNEE OK-PITTSBURG OK-
PUSHMATAHA OK-ROGERS OK-SEBASTIAN AR-SEQUOYAH OK-TULSA OK-WAGONER OK-
WASHINGTON OK-WASHINGTON AR-
100 PM CDT WED JUL 29 2015


THIS OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHWEST AND WEST CENTRAL ARKANSAS AS WELL AS
MUCH OF EASTERN OKLAHOMA.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.

THUNDERSTORMS WITH DANGEROUS LIGHTNING.
RISK...ELEVATED.
AREA...NORTHEASTERN OKLAHOMA.
ONSET...THIS EVENING.

DANGEROUS HEAT.
RISK...ELEVATED.
AREA...EASTERN OKLAHOMA AND WEST CENTRAL ARKANSAS.
ONSET...ONGOING.


DISCUSSION...
TEMPERATURES IN THE MID 90S TO NEAR 100 THIS AFTERNOON WILL
COMBINE WITH HIGH HUMIDITY TO PRODUCE HEAT INDEX VALUES FROM 105
TO 110 DEGREES ACROSS MUCH OF EASTERN OKLAHOMA AND WEST CENTRAL
ARKANSAS. A HEAT ADVISORY IS IN EFFECT FOR MUCH OF THAT REGION
THROUGH 8 PM THIS EVENING.

A WEAK COLD FRONT OVER SOUTHEAST KANSAS EARLY THIS MORNING WILL
PUSH INTO NORTHEASTERN OKLAHOMA LATER TODAY. SCATTERED
THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED ALONG AND BEHIND THE BOUNDARY THIS
EVENING AND OVERNIGHT. THE STRONGEST STORMS THAT FORM THIS EVENING
WILL HAVE THE POTENTIAL TO PRODUCE ISOLATED DAMAGING WIND GUSTS.

SPOTTER AND EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT ACTION STATEMENT...
SPOTTER ACTIVATION NOT EXPECTED.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY.
THURSDAY...THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL...DANGEROUS HEAT POTENTIAL.
FRIDAY...THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL.
SATURDAY THROUGH TUESDAY...NO HAZARDS.

EXTENDED DISCUSSION...
THE WEAK FRONTAL BOUNDARY WILL REMAIN STRETCHED ACROSS EASTERN
OKLAHOMA AND NORTHWESTERN ARKANSAS THURSDAY AND FRIDAY... RESULTING
IN SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS MUCH OF THE REGION EACH DAY.
SEVERE WEATHER POTENTIAL IS LOW WITH ANY OF THIS ACTIVITY BUT
ISOLATED DAMAGING WIND GUSTS WILL BE POSSIBLE.

THE HIGH PRESSURE SYSTEM ALOFT THAT HAS SUPPORTED UNSEASONABLY HOT
WEATHER AS OF LATE WILL GRADUALLY SHIFT WESTWARD THURSDAY AND
FRIDAY... RESULTING IN SLIGHTLY COOLER TEMPERATURES OVER OUR
AREA. THE HEAT WILL BEGIN TO INCREASE AGAIN THIS WEEKEND WITH
MOST LOCATIONS SEEING TEMPERATURES RETURNING TO NEAR OR ABOVE
SEASONAL AVERAGES BY SUNDAY... CONTINUING INTO THE MIDDLE OF NEXT
WEEK.


WWW.SRH.NOAA.GOV/TULSA CONTAINS ADDITIONAL INFORMATION.

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