Tropical Cyclone Probabilities
Issued by NWS

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FOPA11 PHFO 310245
PWSCP1

HURRICANE KILO WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER  42
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI   CP032015
0300 UTC MON AUG 31 2015

AT 0300Z THE CENTER OF HURRICANE KILO WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 20.0
NORTH...LONGITUDE 178.4 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 110
KTS...125 MPH...205 KM/H.

Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)
   PACIFIC  DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT 7 HOURS FROM Z TIME
   HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME

WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS

CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST
   ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)...
   ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)...
   ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)...
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS

PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE
    OP  IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING
        AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY)
   (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN
        00Z MON AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)

PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT
PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN
THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT.
PROBABILITIES FOR 64 KT ARE SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE
PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT.


  - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -

               FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM
  TIME       00Z MON 12Z MON 00Z TUE 12Z TUE 00Z WED 00Z THU 00Z FRI
PERIODS         TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO
             12Z MON 00Z TUE 12Z TUE 00Z WED 00Z THU 00Z FRI 00Z SAT

FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
LOCATION       KT

20N 175W       34  2   1( 3)   1( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   1( 5)   X( 5)

25N 175W       34  X   2( 2)   2( 4)   2( 6)   3( 9)   1(10)   1(11)

LISIANSKI      34  X   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   X( 2)   1( 3)   1( 4)

PEARL/HERMES   34  X   X( X)   1( 1)   2( 3)   3( 6)   1( 7)   1( 8)

MIDWAY         34  X   X( X)   1( 1)   4( 5)   5(10)   3(13)   1(14)

KURE           34  X   X( X)   2( 2)   4( 6)   7(13)   4(17)   2(19)
KURE           50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   1( 3)   X( 3)
KURE           64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)

$$
FORECASTER KODAMA






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