River Forecast
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FGUS51 KTIR 270033
RVFAGL
River Forecast
NWS Ohio River Forecast Center, Wilmington, OH
7:33pm EST Thursday, February 26, 2015

This is a NWS guidance product from the Ohio River Forecast Center.
Public forecasts and warnings are issued only by local NWS offices.
Statistical uncertainties can be viewed from our ensemble pages at:
http://www.erh.noaa.gov/mmefs


: Parker - Allegheny River - PBZ
: Zero Datum 845.14 ft (NGVD 1929)
: Armstrong County, PA
: Record River Stage     29.6 ft
: Major River Stage      26.0 ft
: Moderate River Stage   23.0 ft
: Flood River Stage      20.0 ft
: Action River Stage     13.9 ft
:
: Time series data are in 6-hour increments.
:
: Gage reading may be affected by ice.
: Forecast stage represents estimate of unobstructed flow.
:
:  Obsv Valid  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:     Feb 25           /   7.3 /   8.0 /   7.5
:     Feb 26   /   7.3 /   7.3 /   7.1 /   7.2
:     Feb 27   /   7.3
:
: Latest Observed River Stage 7.3 ft at 700pm EST on Thu, Feb 26
:
.ER PARP1 20150227 Z DC201502270033/DUE/DQG/DH06/HGIFF/DIH6
:
:  Fcst Valid  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
.E1 : Feb 27 :         /   3.7 /   3.6 /   3.5
.E2 : Feb 28 : /   3.5 /   3.5 /   3.4 /   3.5
.E3 : Mar 01 : /   3.5 /   3.5 /   3.4 /   3.4
.E4 : Mar 02 : /   3.4 /   3.4 /   3.4 /   3.4
.E5 : Mar 03 : /   3.4 /   3.4 /   3.4 /   3.4
.E6 : Mar 04 : /   3.4
:
: Local observed 6-hr basin-averaged precip [MAPX] (72 hours):
: Valid Times  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:     Feb 24           /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.00
:     Feb 25   /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.01 /  0.02
:     Feb 26   /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.00
:     Feb 27   /  0.00
:
: Local forecast 6-hr basin-averaged precip [MAPX] (48 hours):
: Valid Times  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:     Feb 27           /  0.01 /  0.00 /  0.00
:     Feb 28   /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.00
:     Mar 01   /  0.00
:
: Local 6-hr basin-averaged temperatures (C) [MAT] (120 hours):
: Valid Times  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:     Feb 24           / -22.3 / -26.4 / -16.6
:     Feb 25   /  -6.3 /  -6.6 /  -7.0 /  -6.6
:     Feb 26   /  -5.9 / -10.4 / -11.5 /  -9.6
:     Feb 27   /  -8.7 / -12.9 / -16.5 / -15.6
:     Feb 28   / -13.6 / -18.6 / -21.8 / -15.9
:     Mar 01   /  -8.9
:____________________________________________________________________

: St Charles - Redbank Creek - PBZ
: Zero Datum 973.14 ft (NGVD 1929)
: Armstrong County, PA
: Record River Stage     23.9 ft
: Major River Stage      22.0 ft
: Moderate River Stage   20.0 ft
: Flood River Stage      17.0 ft
: Action River Stage     14.1 ft
:
: Time series data are in 6-hour increments.
:
: Gage reading may be affected by ice.
: Forecast stage represents estimate of unobstructed flow.
:
:  Obsv Valid  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:     Feb 25           /   3.2 /   3.3 /   3.5
:     Feb 26   /   3.4 /   3.3 /   3.3 /   3.6
:     Feb 27   /   3.3
:
: Latest Observed River Stage 3.3 ft at 715pm EST on Thu, Feb 26
:
.ER SNCP1 20150227 Z DC201502270033/DUE/DQG/DH06/HGIFF/DIH6
:
:  Fcst Valid  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
.E1 : Feb 27 :         /   3.0 /   3.0 /   3.0
.E2 : Feb 28 : /   3.0 /   3.0 /   3.0 /   3.0
.E3 : Mar 01 : /   3.0 /   3.0 /   3.0 /   3.0
.E4 : Mar 02 : /   3.0 /   3.0 /   3.0 /   3.0
.E5 : Mar 03 : /   3.0 /   3.0 /   3.0 /   3.0
.E6 : Mar 04 : /   3.0
:
: Local observed 6-hr basin-averaged precip [MAPX] (72 hours):
: Valid Times  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:     Feb 24           /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.00
:     Feb 25   /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.01 /  0.00
:     Feb 26   /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.00
:     Feb 27   /  0.00
:
: Local forecast 6-hr basin-averaged precip [MAPX] (48 hours):
: Valid Times  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:     Feb 27           /  0.02 /  0.00 /  0.00
:     Feb 28   /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.00
:     Mar 01   /  0.00
:
: Local 6-hr basin-averaged temperatures (C) [MAT] (120 hours):
: Valid Times  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:     Feb 24           / -21.8 / -28.1 / -17.2
:     Feb 25   /  -5.5 /  -6.0 /  -7.2 /  -5.6
:     Feb 26   /  -4.2 /  -8.9 /  -9.5 /  -7.4
:     Feb 27   /  -5.7 / -11.6 / -15.4 / -14.7
:     Feb 28   / -13.4 / -18.6 / -21.8 / -15.6
:     Mar 01   /  -9.1
:____________________________________________________________________

: Kittanning L&D 7 - Allegheny River - PBZ
: Zero Datum 773.4 ft (NGVD 1929)
: Armstrong County, PA
: Record Pool Stage     30.7 ft
: Major Pool Stage      23.0 ft
: Moderate Pool Stage   22.0 ft
: Flood Pool Stage      21.0 ft
: Action Pool Stage     17.1 ft
:
: Time series data are in 6-hour increments.
:
:  Obsv Valid  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:     Feb 25           /  10.5 /  10.5 /  10.5
:     Feb 26   /  10.6 /  10.5 /  10.5 /  10.4
:     Feb 27   /  10.4
:
: Latest Observed Pool Stage 10.4 ft at 700pm EST on Thu, Feb 26
:
.ER KTTP1 20150227 Z DC201502270033/DUE/DQG/DH06/HPIFF/DIH6
:
:  Fcst Valid  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
.E1 : Feb 27 :         /  10.4 /  10.4 /  10.4
.E2 : Feb 28 : /  10.3 /  10.3 /  10.3 /  10.3
.E3 : Mar 01 : /  10.3 /  10.3 /  10.3 /  10.3
.E4 : Mar 02 : /  10.3 /  10.3 /  10.3 /  10.3
.E5 : Mar 03 : /  10.3 /  10.3 /  10.3 /  10.3
.E6 : Mar 04 : /  10.3
:
: Local observed 6-hr basin-averaged precip [MAPX] (72 hours):
: Valid Times  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:     Feb 24           /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.00
:     Feb 25   /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.01 /  0.01
:     Feb 26   /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.00
:     Feb 27   /  0.00
:
: Local forecast 6-hr basin-averaged precip [MAPX] (48 hours):
: Valid Times  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:     Feb 27           /  0.02 /  0.00 /  0.00
:     Feb 28   /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.00
:     Mar 01   /  0.00
:
: Local 6-hr basin-averaged temperatures (C) [MAT] (120 hours):
: Valid Times  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:     Feb 24           / -19.6 / -24.2 / -15.2
:     Feb 25   /  -4.2 /  -4.9 /  -5.9 /  -4.1
:     Feb 26   /  -2.2 /  -6.8 /  -7.8 /  -5.6
:     Feb 27   /  -4.9 / -10.5 / -14.5 / -13.3
:     Feb 28   / -12.1 / -16.7 / -20.0 / -14.0
:     Mar 01   /  -8.2
:____________________________________________________________________

: Seward - Conemaugh River - PBZ
: Zero Datum 1076.01 ft (NGVD 1929)
: Westmoreland County, PA
: Record River Stage     26.4 ft
: Major River Stage      16.0 ft
: Moderate River Stage   14.0 ft
: Flood River Stage      12.0 ft
: Action River Stage      8.8 ft
:
: Time series data are in 6-hour increments.
:
: Gage reading may be affected by ice.
: Forecast stage represents estimate of unobstructed flow.
:
:  Obsv Valid  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:     Feb 25           /   3.1 /   3.2 /   3.1
:     Feb 26   /   3.0 /   3.1 /   3.1 /   2.8
:     Feb 27   /   2.8
:
: Latest Observed River Stage 2.8 ft at 645pm EST on Thu, Feb 26
:
.ER SWDP1 20150227 Z DC201502270033/DUE/DQG/DH06/HGIFF/DIH6
:
:  Fcst Valid  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
.E1 : Feb 27 :         /   2.5 /   2.5 /   2.5
.E2 : Feb 28 : /   2.5 /   2.5 /   2.5 /   2.5
.E3 : Mar 01 : /   2.5 /   2.4 /   2.4 /   2.4
.E4 : Mar 02 : /   2.4 /   2.4 /   2.4 /   2.4
.E5 : Mar 03 : /   2.4 /   2.4 /   2.4 /   2.4
.E6 : Mar 04 : /   2.4
:
: Local observed 6-hr basin-averaged precip [MAPX] (72 hours):
: Valid Times  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:     Feb 24           /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.00
:     Feb 25   /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.00
:     Feb 26   /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.00
:     Feb 27   /  0.00
:
: Local forecast 6-hr basin-averaged precip [MAPX] (48 hours):
: Valid Times  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:     Feb 27           /  0.03 /  0.02 /  0.00
:     Feb 28   /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.00
:     Mar 01   /  0.00
:
: Local 6-hr basin-averaged temperatures (C) [MAT] (120 hours):
: Valid Times  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:     Feb 24           / -20.1 / -22.9 / -12.8
:     Feb 25   /  -3.7 /  -6.4 /  -6.4 /  -4.7
:     Feb 26   /  -2.1 /  -5.9 /  -6.8 /  -5.0
:     Feb 27   /  -3.8 / -10.8 / -14.9 / -13.5
:     Feb 28   / -12.7 / -16.8 / -19.0 / -14.0
:     Mar 01   /  -8.7
:____________________________________________________________________

: Clinton Lk #6 - Allegheny River - PBZ
: Zero Datum 759.96 ft (NGVD 1929)
: Armstrong County, PA
: Record Pool Stage     26.4 ft
: Major Pool Stage      24.0 ft
: Moderate Pool Stage   22.0 ft
: Flood Pool Stage      21.0 ft
: Action Pool Stage     17.0 ft
:
: Time series data are in 6-hour increments.
:
:  Obsv Valid  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:     Feb 25           /   9.6 /   9.7 /   9.7
:     Feb 26   /   9.7 /   9.6 /   9.6 /   9.6
:     Feb 27   /   9.6
:
: Latest Observed Pool Stage 9.6 ft at 700pm EST on Thu, Feb 26
:
.ER CLNP1 20150227 Z DC201502270033/DUE/DQG/DH06/HPIFF/DIH6
:
:  Fcst Valid  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
.E1 : Feb 27 :         /   9.6 /   9.6 /   9.5
.E2 : Feb 28 : /   9.5 /   9.5 /   9.5 /   9.4
.E3 : Mar 01 : /   9.4 /   9.5 /   9.5 /   9.5
.E4 : Mar 02 : /   9.5 /   9.5 /   9.5 /   9.5
.E5 : Mar 03 : /   9.5 /   9.5 /   9.5 /   9.5
.E6 : Mar 04 : /   9.5
:
: Local observed 6-hr basin-averaged precip [MAPX] (72 hours):
: Valid Times  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:     Feb 24           /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.00
:     Feb 25   /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.01 /  0.00
:     Feb 26   /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.00
:     Feb 27   /  0.00
:
: Local forecast 6-hr basin-averaged precip [MAPX] (48 hours):
: Valid Times  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:     Feb 27           /  0.01 /  0.00 /  0.00
:     Feb 28   /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.00
:     Mar 01   /  0.00
:
: Local 6-hr basin-averaged temperatures (C) [MAT] (120 hours):
: Valid Times  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:     Feb 24           / -19.1 / -23.8 / -14.9
:     Feb 25   /  -4.0 /  -4.8 /  -5.6 /  -3.9
:     Feb 26   /  -1.7 /  -6.4 /  -7.8 /  -5.6
:     Feb 27   /  -5.1 / -10.4 / -14.4 / -13.3
:     Feb 28   / -12.0 / -16.4 / -19.7 / -14.0
:     Mar 01   /  -7.9
:____________________________________________________________________

: Natrona L&D #4 - Allegheny River - PBZ
: Zero Datum 736.04 ft (NGVD 1929)
: Allegheny County, PA
: Record Pool Stage     32.1 ft
: Major Pool Stage      26.0 ft
: Moderate Pool Stage   24.0 ft
: Flood Pool Stage      21.0 ft
: Action Pool Stage     17.2 ft
:
: Time series data are in 6-hour increments.
:
:  Obsv Valid  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:     Feb 25           /  10.9 /  10.9 /  10.8
:     Feb 26   /  11.0 /  10.9 /  10.8 /  10.6
:     Feb 27   /  10.7
:
: Latest Observed Pool Stage 10.7 ft at 715pm EST on Thu, Feb 26
:
.ER NATP1 20150227 Z DC201502270033/DUE/DQG/DH06/HPIFF/DIH6
:
:  Fcst Valid  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
.E1 : Feb 27 :         /  10.7 /  10.8 /  10.8
.E2 : Feb 28 : /  10.7 /  10.7 /  10.7 /  10.7
.E3 : Mar 01 : /  10.6 /  10.6 /  10.6 /  10.6
.E4 : Mar 02 : /  10.6 /  10.6 /  10.6 /  10.6
.E5 : Mar 03 : /  10.6 /  10.6 /  10.6 /  10.6
.E6 : Mar 04 : /  10.6
:
: Local observed 6-hr basin-averaged precip [MAPX] (72 hours):
: Valid Times  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:     Feb 24           /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.00
:     Feb 25   /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.00
:     Feb 26   /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.00
:     Feb 27   /  0.00
:
: Local forecast 6-hr basin-averaged precip [MAPX] (48 hours):
: Valid Times  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:     Feb 27           /  0.01 /  0.00 /  0.00
:     Feb 28   /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.00
:     Mar 01   /  0.00
:
: Local 6-hr basin-averaged temperatures (C) [MAT] (120 hours):
: Valid Times  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:     Feb 24           / -18.5 / -22.5 / -14.1
:     Feb 25   /  -3.7 /  -4.5 /  -5.3 /  -3.6
:     Feb 26   /  -1.1 /  -5.6 /  -7.3 /  -5.5
:     Feb 27   /  -5.2 / -10.2 / -14.3 / -13.3
:     Feb 28   / -11.7 / -16.0 / -19.1 / -13.8
:     Mar 01   /  -7.6
:____________________________________________________________________

: C.W. Bill Young L&D - Allegheny River - PBZ
: Zero Datum 725.52 ft (NGVD 1929)
: Allegheny County, PA
: Record Pool Stage     31.1 ft
: Major Pool Stage      23.0 ft
: Moderate Pool Stage   20.0 ft
: Flood Pool Stage      17.0 ft
: Action Pool Stage     15.0 ft
:
: Time series data are in 6-hour increments.
:
:  Obsv Valid  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:     Feb 25           /  10.4 /  10.4 /  10.4
:     Feb 26   /  10.4 /  10.5 /  10.4 /  10.3
:     Feb 27   /  10.3
:
: Latest Observed Pool Stage 10.3 ft at 715pm EST on Thu, Feb 26
:
.ER ACMP1 20150227 Z DC201502270033/DUE/DQG/DH06/HPIFF/DIH6
:
:  Fcst Valid  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
.E1 : Feb 27 :         /  10.3 /  10.3 /  10.2
.E2 : Feb 28 : /  10.2 /  10.1 /  10.1 /  10.1
.E3 : Mar 01 : /  10.1 /  10.1 /  10.1 /  10.1
.E4 : Mar 02 : /  10.1 /  10.1 /  10.1 /  10.1
.E5 : Mar 03 : /  10.1 /  10.1 /  10.1 /  10.1
.E6 : Mar 04 : /  10.1
:
: Local observed 6-hr basin-averaged precip [MAPX] (72 hours):
: Valid Times  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:     Feb 24           /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.00
:     Feb 25   /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.00
:     Feb 26   /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.00
:     Feb 27   /  0.00
:
: Local forecast 6-hr basin-averaged precip [MAPX] (48 hours):
: Valid Times  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:     Feb 27           /  0.01 /  0.00 /  0.00
:     Feb 28   /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.00
:     Mar 01   /  0.00
:
: Local 6-hr basin-averaged temperatures (C) [MAT] (120 hours):
: Valid Times  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:     Feb 24           / -18.3 / -22.6 / -13.9
:     Feb 25   /  -3.8 /  -4.3 /  -5.2 /  -3.5
:     Feb 26   /  -1.1 /  -5.3 /  -7.2 /  -5.8
:     Feb 27   /  -5.6 / -10.3 / -14.4 / -13.3
:     Feb 28   / -11.6 / -15.7 / -18.8 / -13.7
:     Mar 01   /  -7.3
:____________________________________________________________________

: Sharpsburg L&D #2 - Allegheny River - PBZ
: Zero Datum 711.96 ft (Vertical Datum Unknown)
: Allegheny County, PA
: Record Pool Stage     26.9 ft
: Major Pool Stage      23.0 ft
: Moderate Pool Stage   22.0 ft
: Flood Pool Stage      21.0 ft
: Action Pool Stage     16.3 ft
:
: Time series data are in 6-hour increments.
:
:  Obsv Valid  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:     Feb 25           /  10.5 /  10.5 /  10.5E
:     Feb 26   /  10.6E/  10.6E/  10.5E/  10.5E
:     Feb 27   /  10.4E
: Observed values (above) with a trailing E indicate missing values
: that were replaced with estimates from model simulations.
:
: Latest Observed Pool Stage MISSING
:
.ER SHRP1 20150227 Z DC201502270033/DUE/DQG/DH06/HPIFF/DIH6
:
:  Fcst Valid  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
.E1 : Feb 27 :         /  10.4 /  10.4 /  10.5
.E2 : Feb 28 : /  10.5 /  10.5 /  10.5 /  10.5
.E3 : Mar 01 : /  10.5 /  10.4 /  10.4 /  10.5
.E4 : Mar 02 : /  10.5 /  10.5 /  10.5 /  10.5
.E5 : Mar 03 : /  10.5 /  10.5 /  10.5 /  10.5
.E6 : Mar 04 : /  10.4
:
: Local observed 6-hr basin-averaged precip [MAPX] (72 hours):
: Valid Times  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:     Feb 24           /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.00
:     Feb 25   /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.00
:     Feb 26   /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.00
:     Feb 27   /  0.00
:
: Local forecast 6-hr basin-averaged precip [MAPX] (48 hours):
: Valid Times  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:     Feb 27           /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.00
:     Feb 28   /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.00
:     Mar 01   /  0.00
:
: Local 6-hr basin-averaged temperatures (C) [MAT] (120 hours):
: Valid Times  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:     Feb 24           / -18.0 / -22.3 / -13.7
:     Feb 25   /  -3.7 /  -4.3 /  -5.1 /  -3.5
:     Feb 26   /  -1.0 /  -5.1 /  -7.2 /  -6.1
:     Feb 27   /  -6.1 / -10.6 / -14.6 / -13.4
:     Feb 28   / -11.5 / -15.6 / -18.6 / -13.3
:     Mar 01   /  -7.2
:____________________________________________________________________

$$
: Noel
:...END of MESSAGE...




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