River Forecast
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RIVER FORECAST
NWS MISSOURI BASIN RIVER FORECAST CENTER PLEASANT HILL MO
1419Z Tue May 24 2016
:
: THIS PRODUCT HAS PRELIMINARY DATA THAT MAY BE SUBJECT TO REVISION.
: REFER TO YOUR LOCAL WFO FOR THE LATEST OFFICIAL RIVER FORECAST.

:    FORECAST GROUP IS KANSAS

:     **********************************************************
:     *** THESE FORECASTS ARE SIGNIFICANTLY AFFECTED BY QPF  ***
:     **********************************************************


: ==>    This forecast includes obsd precip & 24 hours of QPF    <==


:CHAPMAN KS 4NNW - CHAPMAN CREEK     HSA - TOP
:FLOOD STAGE 19.0 FT   FCST ISSUANCE STAGE 17.0 FT
:MODERATE FLOOD STAGE 26.0 FT   MAJOR FLOOD STAGE 37.0 FT
:LATEST RIVER STAGE 4.8 FT AT 1345Z ON 0524

:Obs Stage /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:   0523                           /   4.7
:   0524   /   4.7 /   4.7 /   4.7

.ER CHPK1 20160524 Z DC201605241419/DH18/HGIFF/DIH6
:Stage Fcst/   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
.E1  :0524:                        /   4.8
.E2  :0525:/   5.7 /   8.2 /  12.3 /  14.4
.E3  :0526:/  14.4 /  13.1 /  11.1 /   8.8
.E4  :0527:/   7.2 /   6.1 /   5.5 /   5.2
.E5  :0528:/   5.0 /   5.0 /   4.9 /   4.9
.E6  :0529:/   4.9 /   4.9 /   4.9


:Local observed 6-hr basin-averaged precip (inches) (PAST 24 hours):
:          /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:    0523                          /  0.03
:    0524  /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.53
:
:Local observed 24-hr basin-averaged precip total
: QPE Total Ending May 24:   0.56  inches
:
:Local forecast 6-hr basin-averaged precip (inches) (NEXT 24 hours):
:          /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:    0524                          /  0.60
:    0525  /  0.05 /  0.17 /  0.06
:
:Local forecast 24-hr basin-averaged precip total
: QPF Total Ending May 25:   0.88  inches
:__________________________________________________________________

:FT RILEY KS - KANSAS RIVER     HSA - TOP
:FLOOD STAGE 21.0 FT   FCST ISSUANCE STAGE 19.0 FT
:MODERATE FLOOD STAGE 26.0 FT   MAJOR FLOOD STAGE 33.0 FT
:LATEST RIVER STAGE 7.9 FT AT 1330Z ON 0524

:Obs Stage /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:   0523                           /   7.3
:   0524   /   7.8 /   7.8 /   7.8

.ER FTRK1 20160524 Z DC201605241419/DH18/HGIFF/DIH6
:Stage Fcst/   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
.E1  :0524:                        /   7.8
.E2  :0525:/   7.8 /   7.7 /   7.7 /   7.7
.E3  :0526:/   7.7 /   7.9 /   8.1 /   8.3
.E4  :0527:/   8.5 /   8.6 /   8.8 /   9.0
.E5  :0528:/   9.1 /   9.4 /   9.6 /   9.8
.E6  :0529:/  10.0 /  10.2 /  10.3


:Local observed 6-hr basin-averaged precip (inches) (PAST 24 hours):
:          /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:    0523                          /  0.09
:    0524  /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.25
:
:Local observed 24-hr basin-averaged precip total
: QPE Total Ending May 24:   0.34  inches
:
:Local forecast 6-hr basin-averaged precip (inches) (NEXT 24 hours):
:          /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:    0524                          /  0.55
:    0525  /  0.07 /  0.15 /  0.08
:
:Local forecast 24-hr basin-averaged precip total
: QPF Total Ending May 25:   0.85  inches
:__________________________________________________________________

:WAMEGO KS NO.2 - KANSAS RIVER     HSA - TOP
:FLOOD STAGE 19.0 FT   FCST ISSUANCE STAGE 17.0 FT
:MODERATE FLOOD STAGE 26.0 FT   MAJOR FLOOD STAGE 38.0 FT
:LATEST RIVER STAGE 8.5 FT AT 1330Z ON 0524

:Obs Stage /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:   0523                           /   8.4
:   0524   /   8.4 /   8.3 /   8.5

.ER WMGK1 20160524 Z DC201605241419/DH18/HGIFF/DIH6
:Stage Fcst/   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
.E1  :0524:                        /   8.6
.E2  :0525:/   8.7 /   8.7 /   8.8 /   8.8
.E3  :0526:/   8.8 /   8.7 /   8.7 /   8.7
.E4  :0527:/   8.7 /   8.8 /   8.8 /   8.9
.E5  :0528:/   9.0 /   9.1 /   9.2 /   9.3
.E6  :0529:/   9.4 /   9.5 /   9.7


:Local observed 6-hr basin-averaged precip (inches) (PAST 24 hours):
:          /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:    0523                          /  0.10
:    0524  /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.62
:
:Local observed 24-hr basin-averaged precip total
: QPE Total Ending May 24:   0.72  inches
:
:Local forecast 6-hr basin-averaged precip (inches) (NEXT 24 hours):
:          /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:    0524                          /  0.34
:    0525  /  0.06 /  0.16 /  0.12
:
:Local forecast 24-hr basin-averaged precip total
: QPF Total Ending May 25:   0.68  inches
:__________________________________________________________________

:PAXICO KS 1SW - MILL CREEK     HSA - TOP
:FLOOD STAGE 21.0 FT   FCST ISSUANCE STAGE 19.0 FT
:MODERATE FLOOD STAGE 31.0 FT   MAJOR FLOOD STAGE 33.0 FT
:LATEST RIVER STAGE 3.6 FT AT 1345Z ON 0524

:Obs Stage /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:   0523                           /   3.5
:   0524   /   3.5 /   3.5 /   3.5

.ER PXCK1 20160524 Z DC201605241419/DH18/HGIFF/DIH6
:Stage Fcst/   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
.E1  :0524:                        /   3.5
.E2  :0525:/   3.6 /   3.6 /   4.1 /   4.7
.E3  :0526:/   4.8 /   4.5 /   4.2 /   4.0
.E4  :0527:/   3.8 /   3.7 /   3.6 /   3.5
.E5  :0528:/   3.5 /   3.5 /   3.4 /   3.4
.E6  :0529:/   3.4 /   3.4 /   3.4


:Local observed 6-hr basin-averaged precip (inches) (PAST 24 hours):
:          /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:    0523                          /  0.13
:    0524  /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.22
:
:Local observed 24-hr basin-averaged precip total
: QPE Total Ending May 24:   0.35  inches
:
:Local forecast 6-hr basin-averaged precip (inches) (NEXT 24 hours):
:          /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:    0524                          /  0.41
:    0525  /  0.08 /  0.12 /  0.14
:
:Local forecast 24-hr basin-averaged precip total
: QPF Total Ending May 25:   0.75  inches
:__________________________________________________________________

:TOPEKA KS - KANSAS RIVER     HSA - TOP
:FLOOD STAGE 26.0 FT   FCST ISSUANCE STAGE 15.0 FT
:MODERATE FLOOD STAGE 27.0 FT   MAJOR FLOOD STAGE 44.0 FT
:LATEST RIVER STAGE 10.5 FT AT 1330Z ON 0524

:Obs Stage /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:   0523                           /  10.4
:   0524   /  10.4 /  10.4 /  10.5

.ER TPAK1 20160524 Z DC201605241419/DH18/HGIFF/DIH6
:Stage Fcst/   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
.E1  :0524:                        /  10.5
.E2  :0525:/  10.5 /  10.6 /  10.7 /  10.9
.E3  :0526:/  11.1 /  11.3 /  11.4 /  11.4
.E4  :0527:/  11.2 /  11.1 /  11.0 /  10.9
.E5  :0528:/  10.9 /  10.9 /  11.0 /  11.1
.E6  :0529:/  11.2 /  11.3 /  11.4


:Local observed 6-hr basin-averaged precip (inches) (PAST 24 hours):
:          /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:    0523                          /  0.07
:    0524  /  0.03 /  0.00 /  0.38
:
:Local observed 24-hr basin-averaged precip total
: QPE Total Ending May 24:   0.48  inches
:
:Local forecast 6-hr basin-averaged precip (inches) (NEXT 24 hours):
:          /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:    0524                          /  0.28
:    0525  /  0.04 /  0.08 /  0.16
:
:Local forecast 24-hr basin-averaged precip total
: QPF Total Ending May 25:   0.57  inches
:__________________________________________________________________

:DELIA KS 3E - SOLDIER CREEK     HSA - TOP
:FLOOD STAGE 26.0 FT   FCST ISSUANCE STAGE 24.0 FT
:MODERATE FLOOD STAGE 26.5 FT   MAJOR FLOOD STAGE 29.5 FT
:LATEST RIVER STAGE 18.6 FT AT 1330Z ON 0524

:Obs Stage /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:   0523                           /   7.3
:   0524   /   7.3 /   7.3 /  16.2

.ER DELK1 20160524 Z DC201605241419/DH18/HGIFF/DIH6
:Stage Fcst/   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
.E1  :0524:                        /  20.0
.E2  :0525:/  14.8 /  12.4 /  11.5 /  11.3
.E3  :0526:/  10.7 /  10.1 /   9.6 /   9.1
.E4  :0527:/   8.6 /   8.3 /   8.0 /   7.8
.E5  :0528:/   7.7 /   7.6 /   7.6 /   7.5
.E6  :0529:/   7.4 /   7.4 /   7.4


:Local observed 6-hr basin-averaged precip (inches) (PAST 24 hours):
:          /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:    0523                          /  0.03
:    0524  /  0.02 /  0.00 /  1.70
:
:Local observed 24-hr basin-averaged precip total
: QPE Total Ending May 24:   0.75  inches
:
:Local forecast 6-hr basin-averaged precip (inches) (NEXT 24 hours):
:          /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:    0524                          /  0.23
:    0525  /  0.04 /  0.11 /  0.19
:
:Local forecast 24-hr basin-averaged precip total
: QPF Total Ending May 25:   0.56  inches
:__________________________________________________________________

:TOPEKA KS 4NW - SOLDIER CREEK     HSA - TOP
:FLOOD STAGE 29.0 FT   FCST ISSUANCE STAGE 27.0 FT
:MODERATE FLOOD STAGE 34.0 FT   MAJOR FLOOD STAGE 40.0 FT
:LATEST RIVER STAGE 1.4 FT AT 1400Z ON 0524

:Obs Stage /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:   0523                           /   1.0
:   0524   /   1.0 /   1.0 /   1.1

.ER TOPK1 20160524 Z DC201605241419/DH18/HGIFF/DIH6
:Stage Fcst/   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
.E1  :0524:                        /   4.4
.E2  :0525:/   6.6 /   6.4 /   5.7 /   5.1
.E3  :0526:/   4.7 /   4.4 /   3.8 /   3.3
.E4  :0527:/   2.8 /   2.4 /   2.1 /   1.8
.E5  :0528:/   1.6 /   1.4 /   1.3 /   1.2
.E6  :0529:/   1.2 /   1.1 /   1.1


:Local observed 6-hr basin-averaged precip (inches) (PAST 24 hours):
:          /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:    0523                          /  0.04
:    0524  /  0.03 /  0.00 /  0.70
:
:Local observed 24-hr basin-averaged precip total
: QPE Total Ending May 24:   0.77  inches
:
:Local forecast 6-hr basin-averaged precip (inches) (NEXT 24 hours):
:          /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:    0524                          /  0.22
:    0525  /  0.04 /  0.09 /  0.18
:
:Local forecast 24-hr basin-averaged precip total
: QPF Total Ending May 25:   0.52  inches
:__________________________________________________________________

:MUSCOTAH KS 2S - DELAWARE RIVER     HSA - EAX
:FLOOD STAGE 27.0 FT   FCST ISSUANCE STAGE 25.0 FT
:MODERATE FLOOD STAGE 28.0 FT   MAJOR FLOOD STAGE 36.0 FT
:LATEST RIVER STAGE 3.5 FT AT 1345Z ON 0524

:Obs Stage /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:   0523                           /   3.5
:   0524   /   3.5 /   3.5 /   3.5

.ER MSCK1 20160524 Z DC201605241419/DH18/HGIFF/DIH6
:Stage Fcst/   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
.E1  :0524:                        /   3.5
.E2  :0525:/   3.4 /   3.4 /   3.5 /   3.8
.E3  :0526:/   4.4 /   4.8 /   4.7 /   4.4
.E4  :0527:/   4.1 /   3.9 /   3.7 /   3.6
.E5  :0528:/   3.5 /   3.4 /   3.4 /   3.3
.E6  :0529:/   3.3 /   3.2 /   3.2


:Local observed 6-hr basin-averaged precip (inches) (PAST 24 hours):
:          /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:    0523                          /  0.00
:    0524  /  0.02 /  0.00 /  0.31
:
:Local observed 24-hr basin-averaged precip total
: QPE Total Ending May 24:   0.33  inches
:
:Local forecast 6-hr basin-averaged precip (inches) (NEXT 24 hours):
:          /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:    0524                          /  0.14
:    0525  /  0.07 /  0.13 /  0.31
:
:Local forecast 24-hr basin-averaged precip total
: QPF Total Ending May 25:   0.63  inches
:__________________________________________________________________

:LECOMPTON KS 1NE - KANSAS RIVER     HSA - TOP
:FLOOD STAGE 17.0 FT   FCST ISSUANCE STAGE 15.0 FT
:MODERATE FLOOD STAGE 23.8 FT   MAJOR FLOOD STAGE 38.0 FT
:LATEST RIVER STAGE 8.4 FT AT 1330Z ON 0524

:Obs Stage /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:   0523                           /   8.4
:   0524   /   8.4 /   8.4 /   8.4

.ER LCPK1 20160524 Z DC201605241419/DH18/HGIFF/DIH6
:Stage Fcst/   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
.E1  :0524:                        /   8.5
.E2  :0525:/   8.6 /   8.8 /   8.9 /   9.0
.E3  :0526:/   9.1 /   9.2 /   9.2 /   9.3
.E4  :0527:/   9.2 /   9.1 /   9.0 /   8.9
.E5  :0528:/   8.8 /   8.8 /   8.8 /   8.8
.E6  :0529:/   8.9 /   8.9 /   9.0


:Local observed 6-hr basin-averaged precip (inches) (PAST 24 hours):
:          /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:    0523                          /  0.06
:    0524  /  0.07 /  0.00 /  0.45
:
:Local observed 24-hr basin-averaged precip total
: QPE Total Ending May 24:   0.58  inches
:
:Local forecast 6-hr basin-averaged precip (inches) (NEXT 24 hours):
:          /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:    0524                          /  0.23
:    0525  /  0.03 /  0.07 /  0.18
:
:Local forecast 24-hr basin-averaged precip total
: QPF Total Ending May 25:   0.51  inches
:__________________________________________________________________

:TONGANOXIE KS 4E - STRANGER CREEK     HSA - EAX
:FLOOD STAGE 23.0 FT   FCST ISSUANCE STAGE 20.0 FT
:MODERATE FLOOD STAGE 30.0 FT   MAJOR FLOOD STAGE 35.0 FT
:LATEST RIVER STAGE 4.4 FT AT 1346Z ON 0524

:Obs Stage /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:   0523                           /   3.9
:   0524   /   4.2 /   4.4 /   4.4

.ER TNGK1 20160524 Z DC201605241419/DH18/HGIFF/DIH6
:Stage Fcst/   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
.E1  :0524:                        /   4.4
.E2  :0525:/   4.5 /   4.9 /   5.3 /   6.0
.E3  :0526:/   6.6 /   6.6 /   6.3 /   5.8
.E4  :0527:/   5.4 /   5.1 /   4.8 /   4.5
.E5  :0528:/   4.3 /   4.1 /   4.0 /   3.8
.E6  :0529:/   3.7 /   3.6 /   3.5


:Local observed 6-hr basin-averaged precip (inches) (PAST 24 hours):
:          /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:    0523                          /  0.05
:    0524  /  0.33 /  0.00 /  0.36
:
:Local observed 24-hr basin-averaged precip total
: QPE Total Ending May 24:   0.75  inches
:
:Local forecast 6-hr basin-averaged precip (inches) (NEXT 24 hours):
:          /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:    0524                          /  0.15
:    0525  /  0.07 /  0.07 /  0.21
:
:Local forecast 24-hr basin-averaged precip total
: QPF Total Ending May 25:   0.50  inches
:__________________________________________________________________

:DESOTO KS 1N - KANSAS RIVER     HSA - EAX
:FLOOD STAGE 26.0 FT   FCST ISSUANCE STAGE 24.0 FT
:MODERATE FLOOD STAGE 33.0 FT   MAJOR FLOOD STAGE 36.0 FT
:LATEST RIVER STAGE 11.4 FT AT 1345Z ON 0524

:Obs Stage /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:   0523                           /  11.3
:   0524   /  11.3 /  11.4 /  11.4

.ER DSOK1 20160524 Z DC201605241419/DH18/HGIFF/DIH6
:Stage Fcst/   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
.E1  :0524:                        /  11.4
.E2  :0525:/  11.4 /  11.5 /  11.6 /  11.8
.E3  :0526:/  12.0 /  12.1 /  12.3 /  12.3
.E4  :0527:/  12.3 /  12.3 /  12.3 /  12.2
.E5  :0528:/  12.1 /  12.0 /  11.9 /  11.8
.E6  :0529:/  11.7 /  11.7 /  11.7


:Local observed 6-hr basin-averaged precip (inches) (PAST 24 hours):
:          /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:    0523                          /  0.06
:    0524  /  0.39 /  0.00 /  0.29
:
:Local observed 24-hr basin-averaged precip total
: QPE Total Ending May 24:   0.75  inches
:
:Local forecast 6-hr basin-averaged precip (inches) (NEXT 24 hours):
:          /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:    0524                          /  0.22
:    0525  /  0.07 /  0.06 /  0.18
:
:Local forecast 24-hr basin-averaged precip total
: QPF Total Ending May 25:   0.53  inches


:DESOTO KS 1N - KANSAS RIVER     HSA - EAX
:LATEST FLOW 21.3 KCFS AT 1200Z ON 0524

.ER DSOK1 20160524 Z DC201605241419/DH18/QRIFF/DIH6
:Flow Fcst /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
.E1  :0524:                        / 21.36
.E2  :0525:/ 21.49 / 21.79 / 22.27 / 22.92
.E3  :0526:/ 23.66 / 24.34 / 24.81 / 25.08
.E4  :0527:/ 25.16 / 25.10 / 24.92 / 24.61
.E5  :0528:/ 24.21 / 23.77 / 23.35 / 23.00
.E6  :0529:/ 22.76 / 22.65 / 22.65

:********************************************************************
:COMMENT
:
:
:HSA -        Hydrologic Service Area
:TOP -        NWS Weather Forecast Office Topeka, Kansas
:EAX -        NWS Weather Forecast Office Pleasant Hill, Missouri
:OBS -        Observed
:EST -        Estimated
:M -          Missing
:Stage Fcst - River Stage forecast including future precipitation
:Flow Fcst -  River Flow forecast including future precipitation
:Precip -     Precipitation
:QPE -        Observed radar estimated precipitation
:QPF -        Forecasted mean areal precipitation for local basin
:
:
$$
: mgt
:...END of MESSAGE...



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