River Forecast
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FGUS51 KTIR 190049
RVFMNL
River Forecast
NWS Ohio River Forecast Center, Wilmington, OH
7:49pm EST Thursday, December 18, 2014

This is a NWS guidance product from the Ohio River Forecast Center.
Public forecasts and warnings are issued only by local NWS offices.
Statistical uncertainties can be viewed from our ensemble pages at:
http://www.erh.noaa.gov/mmefs


: Confluence - Youghiogheny River - CTP
: Zero Datum 1302.8 ft (NGVD 1929)
: Fayette County, PA
: Record River Stage     21.6 ft
: Major River Stage      17.0 ft
: Moderate River Stage   14.0 ft
: Flood River Stage      12.0 ft
: Action River Stage      7.0 ft
:
: Time series data are in 6-hour increments.
:
:  Obsv Valid  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:     Dec 17           /   3.8 /   4.2 /   4.1
:     Dec 18   /   4.0 /   3.9 /   3.7 /   3.8
:     Dec 19   /   3.7
:
: Latest Observed River Stage 3.7 ft at 645pm EST on Thu, Dec 18
:
.ER CNFP1 20141219 Z DC201412190049/DUE/DQG/DH06/HGIFF/DIH6
:
:  Fcst Valid  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
.E1 : Dec 19 :         /   3.6 /   3.6 /   3.5
.E2 : Dec 20 : /   3.4 /   3.4 /   3.4 /   3.3
.E3 : Dec 21 : /   3.3 /   3.2 /   3.2 /   3.2
.E4 : Dec 22 : /   3.1 /   3.1 /   3.1 /   3.1
.E5 : Dec 23 : /   3.0 /   3.0 /   3.0 /   2.9
.E6 : Dec 24 : /   2.9
:
: Local observed 6-hr basin-averaged precip [MAPX] (72 hours):
: Valid Times  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:     Dec 16           /  0.00 /  0.03 /  0.40
:     Dec 17   /  0.27 /  0.01 /  0.01 /  0.01
:     Dec 18   /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.00
:     Dec 19   /  0.00
:
: Local forecast 6-hr basin-averaged precip [MAPX] (48 hours):
: Valid Times  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:     Dec 19           /  0.01 /  0.02 /  0.01
:     Dec 20   /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.00
:     Dec 21   /  0.00
:
: Local 6-hr basin-averaged temperatures (C) [MAT] (120 hours):
: Valid Times  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:     Dec 16           /   2.3 /   2.3 /   4.0
:     Dec 17   /   6.6 /   4.1 /   2.2 /  -0.0
:     Dec 18   /  -1.7 /  -3.7 /  -5.2 /  -5.5
:     Dec 19   /  -4.7 /  -4.3 /  -4.4 /  -3.2
:     Dec 20   /  -2.1 /  -3.9 /  -5.1 /  -2.7
:     Dec 21   /  -0.5
:____________________________________________________________________

: Ohiopyle - Youghiogheny River - PBZ
: Zero Datum 1164.67 ft (NAVD 1988)
: Fayette County, PA
: Record River Stage     14.8 ft
: Major River Stage      25.0 ft
: Moderate River Stage   22.0 ft
: Flood River Stage      20.0 ft
: Action River Stage     10.0 ft
:
: Time series data are in 6-hour increments.
:
:  Obsv Valid  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:     Dec 17           /   3.3 /   4.1 /   4.3
:     Dec 18   /   4.1 /   4.0 /   3.7 /   3.7
:     Dec 19   /   3.6
:
: Latest Observed River Stage 3.6 ft at 715pm EST on Thu, Dec 18
:
.ER OPLP1 20141219 Z DC201412190049/DUE/DQG/DH06/HGIFF/DIH6
:
:  Fcst Valid  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
.E1 : Dec 19 :         /   3.6 /   3.6 /   3.6
.E2 : Dec 20 : /   3.5 /   3.4 /   3.4 /   3.3
.E3 : Dec 21 : /   3.3 /   3.2 /   3.2 /   3.1
.E4 : Dec 22 : /   3.1 /   3.0 /   3.0 /   3.0
.E5 : Dec 23 : /   2.9 /   2.9 /   2.8 /   2.8
.E6 : Dec 24 : /   2.7
:
: Local observed 6-hr basin-averaged precip [MAPX] (72 hours):
: Valid Times  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:     Dec 16           /  0.00 /  0.04 /  0.31
:     Dec 17   /  0.32 /  0.01 /  0.02 /  0.01
:     Dec 18   /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.00
:     Dec 19   /  0.00
:
: Local forecast 6-hr basin-averaged precip [MAPX] (48 hours):
: Valid Times  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:     Dec 19           /  0.01 /  0.02 /  0.01
:     Dec 20   /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.00
:     Dec 21   /  0.00
:
: Local 6-hr basin-averaged temperatures (C) [MAT] (120 hours):
: Valid Times  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:     Dec 16           /  -0.8 /  -0.8 /   3.7
:     Dec 17   /   6.9 /   3.8 /   1.9 /  -0.5
:     Dec 18   /  -2.0 /  -4.2 /  -5.7 /  -5.6
:     Dec 19   /  -5.0 /  -3.3 /  -3.8 /  -3.3
:     Dec 20   /  -2.0 /  -4.0 /  -5.1 /  -2.8
:     Dec 21   /  -0.2
:____________________________________________________________________

: Connellsville - Youghiogheny River - PBZ
: Zero Datum 860.13 ft (NGVD 1929)
: Fayette County, PA
: Record River Stage     22.0 ft
: Major River Stage      18.0 ft
: Moderate River Stage   16.0 ft
: Flood River Stage      12.0 ft
: Action River Stage      9.0 ft
:
: Time series data are in 6-hour increments.
:
:  Obsv Valid  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:     Dec 17           /   3.5 /   4.0 /   4.5
:     Dec 18   /   4.6 /   4.6 /   4.5 /   4.3
:     Dec 19   /   4.2
:
: Latest Observed River Stage 4.2 ft at 715pm EST on Thu, Dec 18
:
.ER CLLP1 20141219 Z DC201412190049/DUE/DQG/DH06/HGIFF/DIH6
:
:  Fcst Valid  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
.E1 : Dec 19 :         /   4.1 /   4.0 /   4.0
.E2 : Dec 20 : /   3.9 /   3.9 /   3.8 /   3.8
.E3 : Dec 21 : /   3.7 /   3.7 /   3.6 /   3.6
.E4 : Dec 22 : /   3.6 /   3.5 /   3.5 /   3.5
.E5 : Dec 23 : /   3.4 /   3.4 /   3.4 /   3.3
.E6 : Dec 24 : /   3.3
:
: Local observed 6-hr basin-averaged precip [MAPX] (72 hours):
: Valid Times  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:     Dec 16           /  0.00 /  0.05 /  0.30
:     Dec 17   /  0.31 /  0.03 /  0.01 /  0.01
:     Dec 18   /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.00
:     Dec 19   /  0.00
:
: Local forecast 6-hr basin-averaged precip [MAPX] (48 hours):
: Valid Times  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:     Dec 19           /  0.01 /  0.02 /  0.01
:     Dec 20   /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.00
:     Dec 21   /  0.00
:
: Local 6-hr basin-averaged temperatures (C) [MAT] (120 hours):
: Valid Times  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:     Dec 16           /   2.4 /   3.2 /   5.6
:     Dec 17   /   7.6 /   4.1 /   2.2 /  -0.2
:     Dec 18   /  -1.7 /  -3.4 /  -4.7 /  -5.0
:     Dec 19   /  -4.6 /  -1.8 /  -2.8 /  -2.5
:     Dec 20   /  -1.4 /  -3.5 /  -4.7 /  -2.4
:     Dec 21   /   0.4
:____________________________________________________________________

: Sutersville - Youghiogheny River - PBZ
: Zero Datum 733.36 ft (NGVD 1929)
: Allegheny County, PA
: Record River Stage     32.5 ft
: Major River Stage      23.0 ft
: Moderate River Stage   21.0 ft
: Flood River Stage      20.0 ft
: Action River Stage     14.9 ft
:
: Time series data are in 6-hour increments.
:
:  Obsv Valid  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:     Dec 17           /   4.8 /   5.1 /   5.4
:     Dec 18   /   6.0 /   6.1 /   6.0 /   5.8
:     Dec 19   /   5.6
:
: Latest Observed River Stage 5.6 ft at 715pm EST on Thu, Dec 18
:
.ER STSP1 20141219 Z DC201412190049/DUE/DQG/DH06/HGIFF/DIH6
:
:  Fcst Valid  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
.E1 : Dec 19 :         /   5.5 /   5.4 /   5.3
.E2 : Dec 20 : /   5.3 /   5.2 /   5.1 /   5.1
.E3 : Dec 21 : /   5.0 /   4.9 /   4.9 /   4.8
.E4 : Dec 22 : /   4.8 /   4.7 /   4.7 /   4.6
.E5 : Dec 23 : /   4.6 /   4.6 /   4.5 /   4.5
.E6 : Dec 24 : /   4.4
:
: Local observed 6-hr basin-averaged precip [MAPX] (72 hours):
: Valid Times  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:     Dec 16           /  0.00 /  0.07 /  0.30
:     Dec 17   /  0.30 /  0.04 /  0.01 /  0.01
:     Dec 18   /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.00
:     Dec 19   /  0.00
:
: Local forecast 6-hr basin-averaged precip [MAPX] (48 hours):
: Valid Times  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:     Dec 19           /  0.01 /  0.01 /  0.00
:     Dec 20   /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.00
:     Dec 21   /  0.00
:
: Local 6-hr basin-averaged temperatures (C) [MAT] (120 hours):
: Valid Times  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:     Dec 16           /   2.8 /   3.4 /   7.8
:     Dec 17   /   9.4 /   5.6 /   3.6 /   1.5
:     Dec 18   /   0.0 /  -1.6 /  -2.8 /  -2.9
:     Dec 19   /  -2.7 /  -1.4 /  -2.1 /  -1.1
:     Dec 20   /  -0.3 /  -2.6 /  -3.9 /  -1.5
:     Dec 21   /   1.0
:____________________________________________________________________

: Maxwell L&D - Monongahela River - PBZ
: Zero Datum 734.5 ft (NGVD 1929)
: Fayette County, PA
: Record Tailwater Stage     44.4 ft
: Major Tailwater Stage      36.0 ft
: Moderate Tailwater Stage   34.0 ft
: Flood Tailwater Stage      32.0 ft
: Action Tailwater Stage     23.5 ft
:
: Time series data are in 6-hour increments.
:
:  Obsv Valid  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:     Dec 17           /  10.9 /   9.9 /   9.9
:     Dec 18   /  10.7 /  10.9 /  10.9 /  11.3
:     Dec 19   /  10.9
:
: Latest Observed Tailwater Stage 10.9 ft at 700pm EST on Thu, Dec 18
:
.ER MAXP1 20141219 Z DC201412190049/DUE/DQG/DH06/HTIFF/DIH6
:
:  Fcst Valid  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
.E1 : Dec 19 :         /  11.2 /  10.5 /  10.2
.E2 : Dec 20 : /  10.5 /  11.3 /  10.4 /  10.1
.E3 : Dec 21 : /  10.2 /  10.9 /  10.2 /  10.0
.E4 : Dec 22 : /  10.1 /  10.6 /  10.1 /   9.9
.E5 : Dec 23 : /  10.0 /  10.3 /   9.9 /   9.8
.E6 : Dec 24 : /   9.9
:
: Local observed 6-hr basin-averaged precip [MAPX] (72 hours):
: Valid Times  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:     Dec 16           /  0.00 /  0.17 /  0.25
:     Dec 17   /  0.24 /  0.01 /  0.00 /  0.00
:     Dec 18   /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.00
:     Dec 19   /  0.00
:
: Local forecast 6-hr basin-averaged precip [MAPX] (48 hours):
: Valid Times  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:     Dec 19           /  0.01 /  0.00 /  0.00
:     Dec 20   /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.00
:     Dec 21   /  0.00
:
: Local 6-hr basin-averaged temperatures (C) [MAT] (120 hours):
: Valid Times  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:     Dec 16           /   1.0 /   0.7 /   8.4
:     Dec 17   /   9.5 /   6.0 /   4.0 /   1.8
:     Dec 18   /   0.4 /  -1.1 /  -2.5 /  -2.6
:     Dec 19   /  -2.3 /  -1.5 /  -2.2 /  -1.0
:     Dec 20   /   0.2 /  -2.1 /  -3.6 /  -0.7
:     Dec 21   /   1.8
:____________________________________________________________________

: Charleroi - Monongahela River - PBZ
: Zero Datum 717.9 ft (NGVD 1929)
: Westmoreland County, PA
: Record Tailwater Stage     42.7 ft
: Major Tailwater Stage      35.0 ft
: Moderate Tailwater Stage   31.0 ft
: Flood Tailwater Stage      28.0 ft
: Action Tailwater Stage     22.6 ft
:
: Time series data are in 6-hour increments.
:
:  Obsv Valid  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:     Dec 17           /  13.0 /  12.4 /  11.8
:     Dec 18   /  11.8 /  13.2 /  13.3 /  13.6
:     Dec 19   /  13.9E
: Observed values (above) with a trailing E indicate missing values
: that were replaced with estimates from model simulations.
:
: Latest Observed Tailwater Stage 13.8 ft at 500pm EST on Thu, Dec 18
:
.ER CHRP1 20141219 Z DC201412190049/DUE/DQG/DH06/HTIFF/DIH6
:
:  Fcst Valid  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
.E1 : Dec 19 :         /  14.4 /  12.9 /  12.4
.E2 : Dec 20 : /  12.8 /  14.1 /  12.7 /  12.0
.E3 : Dec 21 : /  12.3 /  13.3 /  12.2 /  11.6
.E4 : Dec 22 : /  11.9 /  12.8 /  11.8 /  11.3
.E5 : Dec 23 : /  11.5 /  12.4 /  11.4 /  11.1
.E6 : Dec 24 : /  11.2
:
: Local observed 6-hr basin-averaged precip [MAPX] (72 hours):
: Valid Times  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:     Dec 16           /  0.00 /  0.15 /  0.30
:     Dec 17   /  0.25 /  0.01 /  0.00 /  0.00
:     Dec 18   /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.00
:     Dec 19   /  0.00
:
: Local forecast 6-hr basin-averaged precip [MAPX] (48 hours):
: Valid Times  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:     Dec 19           /  0.01 /  0.00 /  0.00
:     Dec 20   /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.00
:     Dec 21   /  0.00
:
: Local 6-hr basin-averaged temperatures (C) [MAT] (120 hours):
: Valid Times  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:     Dec 16           /   2.1 /   2.2 /   8.0
:     Dec 17   /   9.4 /   5.7 /   3.8 /   1.6
:     Dec 18   /   0.1 /  -1.4 /  -2.7 /  -2.9
:     Dec 19   /  -2.6 /  -1.4 /  -2.2 /  -1.0
:     Dec 20   /   0.1 /  -2.2 /  -3.7 /  -1.0
:     Dec 21   /   1.4
:____________________________________________________________________

: Elizabeth - Monongahela River - PBZ
: Zero Datum 717.9 ft (NGVD 1929)
: Allegheny County, PA
: Record Pool Stage     32.5 ft
: Major Pool Stage      26.0 ft
: Moderate Pool Stage   23.0 ft
: Flood Pool Stage      20.0 ft
: Action Pool Stage     16.5 ft
:
: Time series data are in 6-hour increments.
:
:  Obsv Valid  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:     Dec 17           /  11.8 /  11.7 /  11.2
:     Dec 18   /  11.0 /  12.0 /  12.2 /  12.2
:     Dec 19   /  12.4
:
: Latest Observed Pool Stage 12.4 ft at 715pm EST on Thu, Dec 18
:
.ER ELZP1 20141219 Z DC201412190049/DUE/DQG/DH06/HPIFF/DIH6
:
:  Fcst Valid  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
.E1 : Dec 19 :         /  12.5 /  11.8 /  11.6
.E2 : Dec 20 : /  11.8 /  12.5 /  11.7 /  11.4
.E3 : Dec 21 : /  11.5 /  12.1 /  11.5 /  11.2
.E4 : Dec 22 : /  11.3 /  11.8 /  11.3 /  11.1
.E5 : Dec 23 : /  11.2 /  11.6 /  11.1 /  10.9
.E6 : Dec 24 : /  11.0
:
: Local observed 6-hr basin-averaged precip [MAPX] (72 hours):
: Valid Times  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:     Dec 16           /  0.00 /  0.13 /  0.27
:     Dec 17   /  0.13 /  0.02 /  0.01 /  0.01
:     Dec 18   /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.00
:     Dec 19   /  0.00
:
: Local forecast 6-hr basin-averaged precip [MAPX] (48 hours):
: Valid Times  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:     Dec 19           /  0.01 /  0.00 /  0.00
:     Dec 20   /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.00
:     Dec 21   /  0.00
:
: Local 6-hr basin-averaged temperatures (C) [MAT] (120 hours):
: Valid Times  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:     Dec 16           /   2.4 /   2.5 /   7.8
:     Dec 17   /   9.4 /   5.6 /   3.6 /   1.6
:     Dec 18   /   0.2 /  -1.4 /  -2.6 /  -2.5
:     Dec 19   /  -2.3 /  -1.7 /  -2.2 /  -1.0
:     Dec 20   /   0.2 /  -2.1 /  -3.5 /  -1.0
:     Dec 21   /   1.5
:____________________________________________________________________

: Braddock - Monongahela River - PBZ
: Zero Datum 709.7 ft (NGVD 1929)
: Allegheny County, PA
: Record Pool Stage     35.3 ft
: Major Pool Stage      24.0 ft
: Moderate Pool Stage   23.0 ft
: Flood Pool Stage      22.0 ft
: Action Pool Stage     18.2 ft
:
: Time series data are in 6-hour increments.
:
:  Obsv Valid  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:     Dec 17           /  12.3 /  12.2 /  11.7
:     Dec 18   /  12.1 /  12.4 /  12.2 /  12.2
:     Dec 19   /  12.5
:
: Latest Observed Pool Stage 12.5 ft at 645pm EST on Thu, Dec 18
:
.ER BDDP1 20141219 Z DC201412190049/DUE/DQG/DH06/HPIFF/DIH6
:
:  Fcst Valid  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
.E1 : Dec 19 :         /  12.0 /  12.0 /  12.0
.E2 : Dec 20 : /  12.0 /  12.0 /  12.0 /  12.0
.E3 : Dec 21 : /  12.0 /  12.0 /  12.0 /  12.0
.E4 : Dec 22 : /  12.0 /  12.0 /  12.0 /  12.0
.E5 : Dec 23 : /  12.0 /  12.0 /  12.0 /  12.0
.E6 : Dec 24 : /  12.0
:
: Local observed 6-hr basin-averaged precip [MAPX] (72 hours):
: Valid Times  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:     Dec 16           /  0.00 /  0.08 /  0.32
:     Dec 17   /  0.13 /  0.03 /  0.01 /  0.01
:     Dec 18   /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.00
:     Dec 19   /  0.00
:
: Local forecast 6-hr basin-averaged precip [MAPX] (48 hours):
: Valid Times  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:     Dec 19           /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.00
:     Dec 20   /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.00
:     Dec 21   /  0.00
:
: Local 6-hr basin-averaged temperatures (C) [MAT] (120 hours):
: Valid Times  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:     Dec 16           /   2.9 /   2.9 /   7.6
:     Dec 17   /   9.7 /   5.9 /   4.0 /   1.9
:     Dec 18   /   0.4 /  -1.2 /  -2.4 /  -2.3
:     Dec 19   /  -2.1 /  -1.5 /  -1.9 /  -0.9
:     Dec 20   /   0.1 /  -2.1 /  -3.4 /  -1.1
:     Dec 21   /   1.3
:____________________________________________________________________

$$
:
:...END of MESSAGE...




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