River Forecast
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000
FGUS51 KTIR 190109
RVFOHL
River Forecast
NWS Ohio River Forecast Center, Wilmington, OH
8:09pm EST Sunday, February 18, 2018

This is a NWS guidance product from the Ohio River Forecast Center.
Public forecasts and warnings are issued only by local NWS offices.
Statistical uncertainties can be viewed from our ensemble pages at:
http://weather.gov/erh/mmefs


: Markland Dam - Ohio River - ILN
: Zero Datum 408.0 ft (Ohio River Datum)
: Gallatin County, KY
: Record Tailwater Stage     76.1 ft
: Major Tailwater Stage      74.0 ft
: Moderate Tailwater Stage   62.0 ft
: Flood Tailwater Stage      51.0 ft
: Action Tailwater Stage     49.0 ft
:
: Time series data are in 6-hour increments.
:
: Rise above flood tailwater stage around 3AM EST on Wed, Feb 21
.AR MKLK2 20180222 Z DC201802190109/DUE/DQG/DH06/HTIFFX :crest:   51.6
: Crest near   51.6 ft around 1AM EST on Thu, Feb 22
: Fall below flood level around 4PM EST on Thu, Feb 22
:  Obsv Valid  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:     Feb 17           /  45.2 /  45.5E/  45.5E
:     Feb 18   /  45.5 /  45.8 /  46.1 /  46.7
:     Feb 19   /  47.1
: Observed values (above) with a trailing E indicate missing values
: that were replaced with estimates from model simulations.
:
: Latest Observed Tailwater Stage 47.1 ft at 745pm EST on Sun, Feb 18
:
.ER MKLK2 20180219 Z DC201802190109/DUE/DQG/DH06/HTIFF/DIH6
:
:  Fcst Valid  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
.E1 : Feb 19 :         /  47.4 /  47.8 /  48.2
.E2 : Feb 20 : /  48.6 /  49.0 /  49.5 /  50.1
.E3 : Feb 21 : /  50.5 /  50.9 /  51.2 /  51.4
.E4 : Feb 22 : /  51.5 /  51.6 /  51.5 /  51.2
.E5 : Feb 23 : /  50.8 /  50.4 /  49.8 /  49.2
.E6 : Feb 24 : /  48.4
:
: Local observed 6-hr basin-averaged precip [MAPX] (72 hours):
: Valid Times  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:     Feb 16           /  0.46 /  0.61 /  0.15
:     Feb 17   /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.11
:     Feb 18   /  0.11 /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.00
:     Feb 19   /  0.00
:
: Local forecast 6-hr basin-averaged precip [MAPX] (72 hours):
: Valid Times  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:     Feb 19           /  0.00 /  0.07 /  0.12
:     Feb 20   /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.00
:     Feb 21   /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.00
:     Feb 22   /  0.00
:
: Local 6-hr basin-averaged temperatures (C) [MAT] (144 hours):
: Valid Times  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:     Feb 16           /  16.8 /  13.0 /   6.2
:     Feb 17   /   3.7 /   1.5 /  -0.6 /   0.3
:     Feb 18   /   1.0 /   1.7 /   0.2 /   1.8
:     Feb 19   /   7.6 /   5.3 /   8.5 /  14.3
:     Feb 20   /  18.5 /  17.2 /  16.2 /  17.9
:     Feb 21   /  21.0 /  18.7 /  17.4 /  16.4
:     Feb 22   /  14.1
:____________________________________________________________________

: Clifty Creek - Ohio River - LMK
: Zero Datum 403.153 ft (NGVD 1929)
: Jefferson County, IN
: Record River Stage    475.9 ft
: Major River Stage     470.0 ft
: Moderate River Stage  457.0 ft
: Flood River Stage     451.0 ft
: Action River Stage    449.0 ft
:
: Time series data are in 6-hour increments.
:
.AR CLFI3 20180222 Z DC201802190109/DUE/DQG/DH12/HGIFFX :crest:  450.4
: Crest near  450.4 ft around 7AM EST on Thu, Feb 22
:  Obsv Valid  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:     Feb 17           / 445.1E/ 445.4E/ 445.5E
:     Feb 18   / 445.5E/ 445.6E/ 445.9E/ 446.2E
:     Feb 19   / 446.5E
: Observed values (above) with a trailing E indicate missing values
: that were replaced with estimates from model simulations.
:
: Latest Observed River Stage MISSING
:
.ER CLFI3 20180219 Z DC201802190109/DUE/DQG/DH06/HGIFF/DIH6
:
:  Fcst Valid  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
.E1 : Feb 19 :         / 446.8 / 447.1 / 447.4
.E2 : Feb 20 : / 447.7 / 448.0 / 448.3 / 448.7
.E3 : Feb 21 : / 449.1 / 449.5 / 449.8 / 450.0
.E4 : Feb 22 : / 450.3 / 450.4 / 450.4 / 450.3
.E5 : Feb 23 : / 450.1 / 449.8 / 449.5 / 449.0
.E6 : Feb 24 : / 448.5
:
: Local observed 6-hr basin-averaged precip [MAPX] (72 hours):
: Valid Times  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:     Feb 16           /  0.14 /  0.74 /  0.43
:     Feb 17   /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.15
:     Feb 18   /  0.10 /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.00
:     Feb 19   /  0.00
:
: Local forecast 6-hr basin-averaged precip [MAPX] (72 hours):
: Valid Times  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:     Feb 19           /  0.00 /  0.07 /  0.07
:     Feb 20   /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.00
:     Feb 21   /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.00
:     Feb 22   /  0.00
:
: Local 6-hr basin-averaged temperatures (C) [MAT] (144 hours):
: Valid Times  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:     Feb 16           /  18.2 /  13.7 /   6.7
:     Feb 17   /   3.8 /   1.8 /  -0.4 /   0.4
:     Feb 18   /   1.0 /   2.2 /   0.0 /   1.8
:     Feb 19   /   8.4 /   6.1 /   9.8 /  15.3
:     Feb 20   /  19.2 /  17.2 /  16.1 /  18.3
:     Feb 21   /  21.5 /  18.6 /  17.4 /  16.9
:     Feb 22   /  15.7
:____________________________________________________________________

: McAlpine Upper - Ohio River - LMK
: Zero Datum 407.18 ft (NAVD 88)
: Jefferson County, KY
: Record Pool Stage     52.2 ft
: Major Pool Stage      38.0 ft
: Moderate Pool Stage   30.0 ft
: Flood Pool Stage      23.0 ft
: Action Pool Stage     21.0 ft
:
: Time series data are in 6-hour increments.
:
: Rise above flood pool stage around 10PM EST on Mon, Feb 19
.AR MLUK2 20180223 Z DC201802190109/DUE/DQG/DH06/HPIFFX :crest:   26.5
: Crest near   26.5 ft around 1AM EST on Fri, Feb 23
:  Obsv Valid  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:     Feb 17           /  20.1 /  20.5 /  20.7
:     Feb 18   /  21.0 /  21.1 /  21.3 /  21.5
:     Feb 19   /  21.8
:
: Latest Observed Pool Stage 21.8 ft at 700pm EST on Sun, Feb 18
:
.ER MLUK2 20180219 Z DC201802190109/DUE/DQG/DH06/HPIFF/DIH6
:
:  Fcst Valid  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
.E1 : Feb 19 :         /  22.1 /  22.3 /  22.6
.E2 : Feb 20 : /  22.9 /  23.2 /  23.5 /  23.7
.E3 : Feb 21 : /  24.0 /  24.3 /  24.7 /  25.1
.E4 : Feb 22 : /  25.4 /  25.7 /  26.0 /  26.3
.E5 : Feb 23 : /  26.4 /  26.5 /  26.4 /  26.3
.E6 : Feb 24 : /  26.0
:
: Local observed 6-hr basin-averaged precip [MAPX] (72 hours):
: Valid Times  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:     Feb 16           /  0.07 /  0.77 /  0.43
:     Feb 17   /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.18
:     Feb 18   /  0.11 /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.00
:     Feb 19   /  0.00
:
: Local forecast 6-hr basin-averaged precip [MAPX] (72 hours):
: Valid Times  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:     Feb 19           /  0.00 /  0.07 /  0.04
:     Feb 20   /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.00
:     Feb 21   /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.00
:     Feb 22   /  0.00
:
: Local 6-hr basin-averaged temperatures (C) [MAT] (144 hours):
: Valid Times  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:     Feb 16           /  19.7 /  14.7 /   7.2
:     Feb 17   /   4.5 /   2.4 /   0.3 /   1.1
:     Feb 18   /   1.5 /   2.8 /  -0.1 /   2.2
:     Feb 19   /   9.3 /   7.0 /  10.7 /  15.9
:     Feb 20   /  19.7 /  17.7 /  16.6 /  18.8
:     Feb 21   /  21.9 /  19.2 /  17.9 /  17.1
:     Feb 22   /  15.7
:____________________________________________________________________

: McAlpine Lower - Ohio River - LMK
: Zero Datum 373.18 ft (NGVD29)
: Jefferson County, KY
: Record Tailwater Stage     85.4 ft
: Major Tailwater Stage      73.0 ft
: Moderate Tailwater Stage   65.0 ft
: Flood Tailwater Stage      55.0 ft
: Action Tailwater Stage     53.0 ft
:
: Time series data are in 6-hour increments.
:
: Rise above flood tailwater stage around 6PM EST on Tue, Feb 20
.AR MLPK2 20180223 Z DC201802190109/DUE/DQG/DH06/HTIFFX :crest:   57.8
: Crest near   57.8 ft around 1AM EST on Fri, Feb 23
:  Obsv Valid  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:     Feb 17           /  50.4 /  50.9 /  51.3
:     Feb 18   /  51.6 /  51.8 /  52.0 /  52.2
:     Feb 19   /  52.6
:
: Latest Observed Tailwater Stage 52.6 ft at 800pm EST on Sun, Feb 18
:
.ER MLPK2 20180219 Z DC201802190109/DUE/DQG/DH06/HTIFF/DIH6
:
:  Fcst Valid  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
.E1 : Feb 19 :         /  52.8 /  53.1 /  53.4
.E2 : Feb 20 : /  53.7 /  54.0 /  54.4 /  54.7
.E3 : Feb 21 : /  55.1 /  55.5 /  55.9 /  56.3
.E4 : Feb 22 : /  56.7 /  57.0 /  57.3 /  57.6
.E5 : Feb 23 : /  57.7 /  57.8 /  57.7 /  57.5
.E6 : Feb 24 : /  57.2
:
: Local observed 6-hr basin-averaged precip [MAPX] (72 hours):
: Valid Times  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:     Feb 16           /  0.07 /  0.77 /  0.43
:     Feb 17   /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.18
:     Feb 18   /  0.11 /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.00
:     Feb 19   /  0.00
:
: Local forecast 6-hr basin-averaged precip [MAPX] (72 hours):
: Valid Times  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:     Feb 19           /  0.00 /  0.07 /  0.04
:     Feb 20   /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.00
:     Feb 21   /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.00
:     Feb 22   /  0.00
:
: Local 6-hr basin-averaged temperatures (C) [MAT] (144 hours):
: Valid Times  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:     Feb 16           /  19.7 /  14.7 /   7.2
:     Feb 17   /   4.5 /   2.4 /   0.3 /   1.1
:     Feb 18   /   1.5 /   2.8 /  -0.1 /   2.2
:     Feb 19   /   9.3 /   7.0 /  10.7 /  15.9
:     Feb 20   /  19.7 /  17.7 /  16.6 /  18.8
:     Feb 21   /  21.9 /  19.2 /  17.9 /  17.1
:     Feb 22   /  15.7
:____________________________________________________________________
$$
: Fliehman
:...END of MESSAGE...




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