River Forecast
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FGUS51 KTIR 051637
RVFOHL
River Forecast
NWS Ohio River Forecast Center, Wilmington, OH
11:36am EST Thursday, March 5, 2015

This is a NWS guidance product from the Ohio River Forecast Center.
Public forecasts and warnings are issued only by local NWS offices.
Statistical uncertainties can be viewed from our ensemble pages at:
http://www.erh.noaa.gov/mmefs


: Markland Dam - Ohio River - ILN
: Zero Datum 408.0 ft (Ohio River Datum)
: Gallatin County, KY
: Record Tailwater Stage     76.1 ft
: Major Tailwater Stage      74.0 ft
: Moderate Tailwater Stage   62.0 ft
: Flood Tailwater Stage      51.0 ft
: Action Tailwater Stage     49.0 ft
:
: Time series data are in 6-hour increments.
:
:  Obsv Valid  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:     Mar 03                           /  18.9
:     Mar 04   /  20.3 /  23.6 /  26.5 /  31.0
:     Mar 05   /  33.1 /  35.7 /  37.6
:
: Latest Observed Tailwater Stage 38.4 ft at 1000am EST on Thu, Mar 5
:
.ER MKLK2 20150305 Z DC201503051636/DUE/DQG/DH18/HTIFF/DIH6
:
:  Fcst Valid  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
.E1 : Mar 05 :                         /  39.6
.E2 : Mar 06 : /  41.1 /  42.5 /  43.3 /  44.0
.E3 : Mar 07 : /  44.7 /  45.4 /  45.9 /  46.4
.E4 : Mar 08 : /  46.8 /  47.1 /  47.4 /  47.7
.E5 : Mar 09 : /  47.9 /  48.0 /  47.9 /  46.9
.E6 : Mar 10 : /  45.3 /  42.7 /  40.1
:
: Local observed 6-hr basin-averaged precip [MAPX] (72 hours):
: Valid Times  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:     Mar 02                           /  0.00
:     Mar 03   /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.09
:     Mar 04   /  0.47 /  0.45 /  0.62 /  0.06
:     Mar 05   /  0.09 /  0.17 /  0.07
:
: Local forecast 6-hr basin-averaged precip [MAPX] (48 hours):
: Valid Times  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:     Mar 05                           /  0.02
:     Mar 06   /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.00
:     Mar 07   /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.00
:
: Local 6-hr basin-averaged temperatures (C) [MAT] (120 hours):
: Valid Times  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:     Mar 02                           /  -3.3
:     Mar 03   /   0.7 /  -2.4 /  -2.7 /   0.2
:     Mar 04   /   7.0 /   6.6 /   2.9 /   1.8
:     Mar 05   /   0.3 /  -4.4 /  -7.1 /  -6.4
:     Mar 06   /  -7.8 / -13.7 / -17.1 / -10.6
:     Mar 07   /  -3.8 /  -6.1 /  -6.9
:____________________________________________________________________

: Clifty Creek - Ohio River - LMK
: Zero Datum 403.153 ft (NGVD 1929)
: Jefferson County, IN
: Record River Stage    475.9 ft
: Major River Stage     470.0 ft
: Moderate River Stage  457.0 ft
: Flood River Stage     451.0 ft
: Action River Stage    449.0 ft
:
: Time series data are in 6-hour increments.
:
.AR CLFI3 20150309 Z DC201503051636/DUE/DQG/DH12/HGIFFX :crest:  449.3
: Crest near  449.3 ft around 8AM EDT on Mon, Mar 9
:  Obsv Valid  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:     Mar 03                           / 423.9E
:     Mar 04   / 424.5E/ 425.4E/ 428.3 / 431.5E
:     Mar 05   / 434.7E/ 436.1E/ 437.6
: Observed values (above) with a trailing E indicate missing values
: that were replaced with estimates from model simulations.
:
: Latest Observed River Stage 437.6 ft at 700am EST on Thu, Mar 5
:
.ER CLFI3 20150305 Z DC201503051636/DUE/DQG/DH18/HGIFF/DIH6
:
:  Fcst Valid  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
.E1 : Mar 05 :                         / 440.0
.E2 : Mar 06 : / 441.5 / 442.8 / 443.9 / 445.1
.E3 : Mar 07 : / 446.1 / 446.7 / 447.3 / 447.7
.E4 : Mar 08 : / 448.1 / 448.4 / 448.6 / 448.9
.E5 : Mar 09 : / 449.0 / 449.2 / 449.3 / 449.1
.E6 : Mar 10 : / 448.6 / 447.5 / 445.8
:
: Local observed 6-hr basin-averaged precip [MAPX] (72 hours):
: Valid Times  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:     Mar 02                           /  0.00
:     Mar 03   /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.03
:     Mar 04   /  0.37 /  0.44 /  0.78 /  0.33
:     Mar 05   /  0.14 /  0.27 /  0.20
:
: Local forecast 6-hr basin-averaged precip [MAPX] (48 hours):
: Valid Times  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:     Mar 05                           /  0.03
:     Mar 06   /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.00
:     Mar 07   /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.00
:
: Local 6-hr basin-averaged temperatures (C) [MAT] (120 hours):
: Valid Times  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:     Mar 02                           /  -2.5
:     Mar 03   /   1.7 /  -1.2 /  -2.0 /   1.4
:     Mar 04   /  10.5 /   8.8 /   4.4 /   2.5
:     Mar 05   /   0.2 /  -4.3 /  -7.0 /  -7.0
:     Mar 06   /  -7.1 / -13.5 / -17.2 / -11.1
:     Mar 07   /  -3.7 /  -6.8 /  -8.0
:____________________________________________________________________

: McAlpine Upper - Ohio River - LMK
: Zero Datum 407.46 ft (NGVD29)
: Jefferson County, KY
: Record Pool Stage     52.2 ft
: Major Pool Stage      38.0 ft
: Moderate Pool Stage   30.0 ft
: Flood Pool Stage      23.0 ft
: Action Pool Stage     21.0 ft
:
: Time series data are in 6-hour increments.
:
: Rise above flood pool stage around 3PM EDT on Sun, Mar 8
.AR MLUK2 20150310 Z DC201503051636/DUE/DQG/DH06/HPIFFX :crest:   25.0
: Crest near   25.0 ft around 2AM EDT on Tue, Mar 10
:  Obsv Valid  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:     Mar 03                           /  12.8
:     Mar 04   /  12.6 /  13.0 /  13.0 /  13.2
:     Mar 05   /  14.3 /  15.2 /  15.8
:
: Latest Observed Pool Stage 16.3 ft at 1100am EST on Thu, Mar 5
:
.ER MLUK2 20150305 Z DC201503051636/DUE/DQG/DH18/HPIFF/DIH6
:
:  Fcst Valid  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
.E1 : Mar 05 :                         /  16.3
.E2 : Mar 06 : /  17.2 /  17.4 /  17.6 /  17.9
.E3 : Mar 07 : /  18.4 /  19.1 /  19.9 /  20.6
.E4 : Mar 08 : /  21.2 /  21.8 /  22.4 /  22.9
.E5 : Mar 09 : /  23.4 /  23.8 /  24.2 /  24.6
.E6 : Mar 10 : /  24.9 /  25.0 /  24.8
:
: Local observed 6-hr basin-averaged precip [MAPX] (72 hours):
: Valid Times  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:     Mar 02                           /  0.00
:     Mar 03   /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.02
:     Mar 04   /  0.29 /  0.58 /  0.81 /  0.35
:     Mar 05   /  0.15 /  0.29 /  0.21
:
: Local forecast 6-hr basin-averaged precip [MAPX] (48 hours):
: Valid Times  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:     Mar 05                           /  0.03
:     Mar 06   /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.00
:     Mar 07   /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.00
:
: Local 6-hr basin-averaged temperatures (C) [MAT] (120 hours):
: Valid Times  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:     Mar 02                           /  -1.9
:     Mar 03   /   2.3 /  -0.6 /  -1.2 /   2.1
:     Mar 04   /  11.1 /   8.7 /   4.6 /   2.5
:     Mar 05   /   0.2 /  -4.6 /  -6.8 /  -7.3
:     Mar 06   /  -6.8 / -13.7 / -16.6 / -12.0
:     Mar 07   /  -3.8 /  -7.3 /  -9.2
:____________________________________________________________________

: McAlpine Lower - Ohio River - LMK
: Zero Datum 373.18 ft (NGVD29)
: Jefferson County, KY
: Record Tailwater Stage     85.4 ft
: Major Tailwater Stage      73.0 ft
: Moderate Tailwater Stage   65.0 ft
: Flood Tailwater Stage      55.0 ft
: Action Tailwater Stage     53.0 ft
:
: Time series data are in 6-hour increments.
:
: Rise above flood tailwater stage around 2PM EDT on Sun, Mar 8
.AR MLPK2 20150310 Z DC201503051636/DUE/DQG/DH00/HTIFFX :crest:   56.5
: Crest near   56.5 ft around 8PM EDT on Mon, Mar 9
:  Obsv Valid  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:     Mar 03                           /  17.6
:     Mar 04   /  18.8 /  20.2 /  25.0 /  29.6
:     Mar 05   /  33.1 /  36.0 /  38.6
:
: Latest Observed Tailwater Stage 40.2 ft at 1100am EST on Thu, Mar 5
:
.ER MLPK2 20150305 Z DC201503051636/DUE/DQG/DH18/HTIFF/DIH6
:
:  Fcst Valid  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
.E1 : Mar 05 :                         /  43.2
.E2 : Mar 06 : /  46.6 /  48.4 /  49.4 /  50.0
.E3 : Mar 07 : /  50.7 /  51.4 /  52.1 /  52.8
.E4 : Mar 08 : /  53.5 /  54.0 /  54.5 /  55.0
.E5 : Mar 09 : /  55.4 /  55.7 /  56.1 /  56.3
.E6 : Mar 10 : /  56.5 /  56.4 /  56.0
:
: Local observed 6-hr basin-averaged precip [MAPX] (72 hours):
: Valid Times  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:     Mar 02                           /  0.00
:     Mar 03   /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.02
:     Mar 04   /  0.29 /  0.58 /  0.81 /  0.35
:     Mar 05   /  0.15 /  0.29 /  0.21
:
: Local forecast 6-hr basin-averaged precip [MAPX] (48 hours):
: Valid Times  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:     Mar 05                           /  0.03
:     Mar 06   /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.00
:     Mar 07   /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.00
:
: Local 6-hr basin-averaged temperatures (C) [MAT] (120 hours):
: Valid Times  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:     Mar 02                           /  -1.9
:     Mar 03   /   2.3 /  -0.6 /  -1.2 /   2.1
:     Mar 04   /  11.1 /   8.7 /   4.6 /   2.5
:     Mar 05   /   0.2 /  -4.6 /  -6.8 /  -7.3
:     Mar 06   /  -6.8 / -13.7 / -16.6 / -12.0
:     Mar 07   /  -3.8 /  -7.3 /  -9.2
:____________________________________________________________________

: Fredericksburg - Blue River - LMK
: Zero Datum 590.0 ft (NGVD 1929)
: Washington County, IN
: Record River Stage     29.2 ft
: Major River Stage      27.0 ft
: Moderate River Stage   24.0 ft
: Flood River Stage      20.0 ft
: Action River Stage     18.0 ft
:
: Time series data are in 6-hour increments.
:
:  Obsv Valid  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:     Mar 03                           /   3.0
:     Mar 04   /   3.9 /  14.2 /  18.2 /  19.6
:     Mar 05   /  19.0 /  14.2 /   9.8
:
: Latest Observed River Stage 8.8 ft at 1030am EST on Thu, Mar 5
:
.ER FRDI3 20150305 Z DC201503051636/DUE/DQG/DH18/HGIFF/DIH6
:
:  Fcst Valid  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
.E1 : Mar 05 :                         /  10.1
.E2 : Mar 06 : /   9.1 /   8.4 /   7.8 /   7.3
.E3 : Mar 07 : /   6.9 /   6.5 /   6.2 /   5.9
.E4 : Mar 08 : /   5.6 /   5.4 /   5.2 /   5.1
.E5 : Mar 09 : /   5.0 /   5.1 /   5.4 /   5.8
.E6 : Mar 10 : /   6.0 /   6.3 /   6.7
:
: Local observed 6-hr basin-averaged precip [MAPX] (72 hours):
: Valid Times  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:     Mar 02                           /  0.00
:     Mar 03   /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.08
:     Mar 04   /  0.60 /  0.59 /  0.63 /  0.18
:     Mar 05   /  0.19 /  0.23 /  0.14
:
: Local forecast 6-hr basin-averaged precip [MAPX] (48 hours):
: Valid Times  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:     Mar 05                           /  0.01
:     Mar 06   /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.00
:     Mar 07   /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.00
:
: Local 6-hr basin-averaged temperatures (C) [MAT] (120 hours):
: Valid Times  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:     Mar 02                           /  -2.8
:     Mar 03   /   1.4 /  -1.8 /  -1.3 /   1.8
:     Mar 04   /   8.7 /   6.2 /   2.9 /   1.5
:     Mar 05   /  -1.0 /  -5.9 /  -7.6 /  -7.7
:     Mar 06   /  -7.1 / -13.5 / -16.0 / -11.4
:     Mar 07   /  -3.3 /  -6.9 /  -8.2
:____________________________________________________________________

: Cannelton Dam - Ohio River - LMK
: Zero Datum 348.0 ft (Ohio River)
: Perry County, IN
: Record Tailwater Stage     60.8 ft
: Major Tailwater Stage      50.0 ft
: Moderate Tailwater Stage   46.0 ft
: Flood Tailwater Stage      42.0 ft
: Action Tailwater Stage     40.0 ft
:
: Time series data are in 6-hour increments.
:
: Rise above flood tailwater stage around 1PM EDT on Sun, Mar 8
:  Obsv Valid  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:     Mar 03                           /  14.7
:     Mar 04   /  14.8 /  16.2 /  19.0 /  21.7
:     Mar 05   /  24.8 /  27.5 /  29.4
:
: Latest Observed Tailwater Stage 29.6 ft at 1000am EST on Thu, Mar 5
:
.ER CNNI3 20150305 Z DC201503051636/DUE/DQG/DH18/HTIFF/DIH6
:
:  Fcst Valid  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
.E1 : Mar 05 :                         /  31.5
.E2 : Mar 06 : /  33.8 /  35.7 /  36.8 /  37.5
.E3 : Mar 07 : /  38.3 /  39.2 /  40.1 /  40.8
.E4 : Mar 08 : /  41.3 /  41.6 /  41.8 /  42.0
.E5 : Mar 09 : /  42.2 /  42.4 /  42.6 /  42.8
.E6 : Mar 10 : /  42.9 /  43.1 /  43.3
:
: Local observed 6-hr basin-averaged precip [MAPX] (72 hours):
: Valid Times  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:     Mar 02                           /  0.00
:     Mar 03   /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.08
:     Mar 04   /  0.21 /  0.62 /  0.80 /  0.40
:     Mar 05   /  0.27 /  0.40 /  0.29
:
: Local forecast 6-hr basin-averaged precip [MAPX] (48 hours):
: Valid Times  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:     Mar 05                           /  0.02
:     Mar 06   /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.00
:     Mar 07   /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.00
:
: Local 6-hr basin-averaged temperatures (C) [MAT] (120 hours):
: Valid Times  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:     Mar 02                           /  -1.2
:     Mar 03   /   3.5 /   0.0 /   0.3 /   4.4
:     Mar 04   /  13.0 /  10.0 /   5.9 /   2.9
:     Mar 05   /  -1.1 /  -5.9 /  -7.5 /  -7.4
:     Mar 06   /  -6.7 / -13.5 / -17.2 / -11.8
:     Mar 07   /  -3.2 /  -7.8 /  -9.3
:____________________________________________________________________

: Tell City - Ohio River - LMK
: Zero Datum 347.62 ft (NGVD 29)
: Perry County, IN
: Record River Stage     57.0 ft
: Major River Stage      50.0 ft
: Moderate River Stage   44.0 ft
: Flood River Stage      38.0 ft
: Action River Stage     36.0 ft
:
: Time series data are in 6-hour increments.
:
: Rise above flood river stage around 5PM EST on Fri, Mar 6
:  Obsv Valid  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:     Mar 03                           /  15.7E
:     Mar 04   /  16.2E/  16.9E/  19.3E/  22.5E
:     Mar 05   /  25.9E/  28.3E/  30.6E
: Observed values (above) with a trailing E indicate missing values
: that were replaced with estimates from model simulations.
:
: Latest Observed River Stage MISSING
:
.ER TELI3 20150305 Z DC201503051636/DUE/DQG/DH18/HGIFF/DIH6
:
:  Fcst Valid  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
.E1 : Mar 05 :                         /  32.7
.E2 : Mar 06 : /  34.6 /  36.0 /  36.8 /  37.5
.E3 : Mar 07 : /  38.2 /  39.0 /  39.8 /  40.3
.E4 : Mar 08 : /  40.7 /  41.1 /  41.3 /  41.6
.E5 : Mar 09 : /  41.7 /  41.9 /  42.1 /  42.2
.E6 : Mar 10 : /  42.4 /  42.6 /  42.8
:
: Local observed 6-hr basin-averaged precip [MAPX] (72 hours):
: Valid Times  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:     Mar 02                           /  0.00
:     Mar 03   /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.08
:     Mar 04   /  0.21 /  0.62 /  0.80 /  0.40
:     Mar 05   /  0.27 /  0.40 /  0.29
:
: Local forecast 6-hr basin-averaged precip [MAPX] (48 hours):
: Valid Times  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:     Mar 05                           /  0.02
:     Mar 06   /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.00
:     Mar 07   /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.00
:
: Local 6-hr basin-averaged temperatures (C) [MAT] (120 hours):
: Valid Times  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:     Mar 02                           /  -1.2
:     Mar 03   /   3.5 /   0.0 /   0.3 /   4.4
:     Mar 04   /  13.0 /  10.0 /   5.9 /   2.9
:     Mar 05   /  -1.1 /  -5.9 /  -7.5 /  -7.4
:     Mar 06   /  -6.7 / -13.5 / -17.2 / -11.8
:     Mar 07   /  -3.2 /  -7.8 /  -9.3
:____________________________________________________________________

$$
: Trent Schade
:...END of MESSAGE...




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