Severe Storm Outlook Narrative (AC)
Issued by NWS

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000
ACUS01 KWNS 310531
SWODY1
SPC AC 310529

DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1229 AM CDT MON AUG 31 2015

VALID 311200Z - 011200Z

...NO SVR TSTM AREAS FORECAST...

...SUMMARY...
ORGANIZED SEVERE STORMS ARE NOT EXPECTED OVER THE CONTIGUOUS UNITED
STATES THROUGH EARLY TUESDAY.

...DISCUSSION...
A QUIESCENT PATTERN FOR ORGANIZED SEVERE STORMS IS ANTICIPATED
DURING THE PERIOD. A SHORTWAVE TROUGH OVER WRN MT WILL RAPIDLY
PROGRESS TOWARDS JAMES BAY. FORCING FOR ASCENT ASSOCIATED WITH THIS
FEATURE WILL SHIFT ENTIRELY N OF THE INTERNATIONAL BORDER LATER
TODAY. WHILE A COLD FRONT WILL MARCH E INTO THE UPPER MIDWEST THIS
AFTERNOON...MODIFIED MARITIME TROPICAL AIR /CURRENTLY ACROSS THE
MID-MS VALLEY TO OZARK PLATEAU/ SHOULD REMAIN DIVORCED FROM THE
FRONT THROUGH PEAK HEATING. POTENTIAL APPEARS NEGLIGIBLE FOR
SURFACE-BASED TSTMS WHERE THE TRAILING BELT OF AT LEAST MODERATE
MID-LEVEL SWLYS IS PREVALENT IN THE NWRN MN AREA.

ELSEWHERE...LOW-LEVEL WINDS WILL DIMINISH LATER THIS MORNING ACROSS
THE CAROLINA COASTAL PLAIN AS A SHORTWAVE IMPULSE OVER THE SRN
APPALACHIANS DECAYS ACROSS THE LOWER MID-ATLANTIC REGION. THE RISK
FOR LOCALLY DAMAGING WINDS APPEARS MINIMAL TODAY.

..GRAMS/PICCA.. 08/31/2015



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