Severe Storm Outlook Narrative (AC)
Issued by NWS

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000
ACUS01 KWNS 261910
SWODY1
SPC AC 261908

DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0108 PM CST WED NOV 26 2014

VALID 262000Z - 271200Z

...NO TSTM AREAS FORECAST...

...SUMMARY...
A COUPLE OF THUNDERSTORMS EMBEDDED WITHIN A MORE GENERAL AREA OF
PRECIPITATION ARE POSSIBLE THIS AFTERNOON FROM SOUTHEASTERN NEW YORK
INTO SOUTHERN NEW ENGLAND. HOWEVER...COVERAGE OF ANY SUCH ACTIVITY
WILL REMAIN SPARSE.

...DISCUSSION...

A COUPLE OF LIGHTNING STRIKES REMAIN POSSIBLE THIS AFTERNOON OVER
SOUTHERN NEW ENGLAND WHERE A WEAK BUT SHALLOW UNSTABLE LAYER ALOFT
WILL DEVELOP NWD IN ASSOCIATION WITH STRONG WARM ADVECTION AROUND
700 MB. COVERAGE OF ANY ADDITIONAL LIGHTNING ACTIVITY IS EXPECTED TO
REMAIN VERY LIMITED.

..DIAL.. 11/26/2014

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 1017 AM CST WED NOV 26 2014/

...SYNOPSIS...
A SURFACE CYCLONE NEAR THE NC OUTER BANKS WILL DEEPEN AND MOVE NNEWD
TO JUST OFF THE SE NEW ENGLAND COAST TONIGHT...AS A SHORTWAVE TROUGH
EJECTS NEWD FROM THE SRN APPALACHIANS.  ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS WILL
BE POSSIBLE FOR THE NEXT COUPLE OF HOURS ACROSS ERN NC/SE VA WITH
LINGERING BUOYANCY /ROOTED ABOVE THE SURFACE/ NEAR THE LOW.  FARTHER
S...THE THUNDERSTORM RISK APPEARS TO BE ENDING IN S FL WITH COLD
FRONTAL PASSAGE.  OTHERWISE...A SHORTWAVE TROUGH WILL WEAKEN AS IT
APPROACHES THE PAC NW COAST AND THE MEAN RIDGE POSITION.




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