Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS
Issued by NWS
096
FNAK51 PAFC 131205
FWFAER
FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE AK
405 AM AKDT Mon May 13 2024
.DISCUSSION...An upper level low sitting overhead of Southcentral
along with disturbances rotating around it will help produce
isolated to scattered showers today. In particular, showers look
favorable from the Mat Valley south across Anchorage and the
interior Kenai Peninsula. There could even be a few lightning
strikes over the western Kenai and the southern Susitna Valley
where some of the warmest most unstable air is located. Expect
fewer showers Tuesday as the upper low exits into the Gulf and
a ridge begins to build in from the west. The next couple days
will trend marginally warmer, with RHs holding steady or dropping
a bit for most locations.
AKZ101-140230-
ANCHORAGE-
INCLUDING...ANCHORAGE...EAGLE RIVER...INDIAN...EKLUTNA
405 AM AKDT Mon May 13 2024
.ABOVE 1500 FT...
TODAY TONIGHT TUE
CLOUD COVER MCLDY MCLDY PCLDY
PRECIP TYPE SHWRS SHWRS SHWRS
CHANCE PRECIP (%) 40 40 30
TEMP (24H TREND) 50 (0) 33 (+2) 53
RH % (24H TREND) 37-48 (-5) 89 (+1) 45-53
20FTWND(MPH) NW 3-6 NW 1-6 W 1-5
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL) 4649 4749
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)N 7 SW 7
VENT RATE (KT-FT) 31791 31066
CWR 20 20 5
LAL 1 1 1
REMARKS...NONE.
.BELOW 1500 FT...
TODAY TONIGHT TUE
CLOUD COVER MCLDY MCLDY PCLDY
PRECIP TYPE SHWRS SHWRS NONE
CHANCE PRECIP (%) 30 30 20
TEMP (24H TREND) 56 (+2) 38 (+1) 59
RH % (24H TREND) 38-46 (-2) 89 (0) 47
20FTWND(MPH) NW 3-5 SW 1-6 W 3-6
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL) 4831 5019
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)NW 6 SW 6
VENT RATE (KT-FT) 23867 28140
CWR 10 10 0
LAL 1 1 1
REMARKS...NONE.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE
LOWER 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS AROUND 50.
WEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.FRIDAY...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN
THE UPPER 40S. SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
$$
AKZ111-140230-
MATANUSKA VALLEY-
INCLUDING...PALMER...WASILLA...SUTTON...CHICKALOON
405 AM AKDT Mon May 13 2024
.ABOVE 1500 FT...
TODAY TONIGHT TUE
CLOUD COVER MCLDY MCLDY MCLDY
PRECIP TYPE SHWRS SHWRS SHWRS
CHANCE PRECIP (%) 40 40 40
TEMP (24H TREND) 42-48 (+3) 33 (+2) 44-51
RH % (24H TREND) 40-57 (-2) 85-91 (0) 44-55
20FTWND(MPH) NW 3-6 NW 0-6 W 2-5
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL) 4854 5378
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)NW 6 W 7
VENT RATE (KT-FT) 25076 26467
CWR 20 20 0
LAL 1 1 1
REMARKS...NONE.
.BELOW 1500 FT...
TODAY TONIGHT TUE
CLOUD COVER MCLDY MCLDY MCLDY
PRECIP TYPE SHWRS SHWRS SHWRS
CHANCE PRECIP (%) 40 40 20
TEMP (24H TREND) 58 (+3) 37 (+1) 59
RH % (24H TREND) 39-45 (-2) 85-91 (0) 45
20FTWND(MPH) LGT/VAR SW 1-6 SW 2-7
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL) 5381 6092
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)N 6 SW 6
VENT RATE (KT-FT) 39523 47169
CWR 20 20 0
LAL 1 1 1
REMARKS...NONE.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE
LOWER 50S. SOUTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE
LOWER 50S. SOUTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.FRIDAY...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS
AROUND 50. SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
$$
AKZ121-140230-
WESTERN KENAI PENINSULA-
INCLUDING...KENAI...SOLDOTNA...HOMER...COOPER LANDING
405 AM AKDT Mon May 13 2024
.INLAND AREAS...
TODAY TONIGHT TUE
CLOUD COVER MCLDY PCLDY PCLDY
PRECIP TYPE SHWRS TSTMS SHWRS
CHANCE PRECIP (%) 40 30 30
TEMP (24H TREND) 49-56 (+6) 35 (+1) 51-58
RH % (24H TREND) 34-51 (-17) 84-90 (0) 39-48
20FTWND(MPH) NE 2-7 W 2-6 NW 2-6
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL) 5630 6011
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)N 7 W 7
VENT RATE (KT-FT) 33668 42672
CWR 20 20 0
LAL 1 2 1
REMARKS...NONE.
.COASTAL AREAS...
TODAY TONIGHT TUE
CLOUD COVER MCLDY PCLDY PCLDY
PRECIP TYPE SHWRS NONE NONE
CHANCE PRECIP (%) 30 0 0
TEMP (24H TREND) 48-54 (+5) 37 (+1) 50-56
RH % (24H TREND) 39-58 (-17) 92 (0) 45-54
20FTWND(MPH) N 5-9 W 3-8 W 3-7
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL) 5340 5305
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)N 8 W 7
VENT RATE (KT-FT) 35975 36260
CWR 0 0 0
LAL 1 1 1
REMARKS...NONE.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE
LOWER 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS AROUND 50.
SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.FRIDAY...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN
THE UPPER 40S. SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
$$
AKZ125-140230-
WESTERN PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND-
INCLUDING...WHITTIER...SEWARD...GIRDWOOD...MOOSE PASS
405 AM AKDT Mon May 13 2024
.INLAND AREAS...
TODAY TONIGHT TUE
CLOUD COVER MCLDY MCLDY PCLDY
PRECIP TYPE SHWRS SHWRS SHWRS
CHANCE PRECIP (%) 60 30 20
TEMP (24H TREND) 39-50 (+3) 32 (-1) 41-52
RH % (24H TREND) 50-73 (-5) 85-93 (0) 51-68
20FTWND(MPH) NE 1-11 W 1-8 LGT/VAR
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL) 3775 4489
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)NE 8 SW 8
VENT RATE (KT-FT) 25248 35208
CWR 10 0 0
LAL 1 1 1
REMARKS...NONE.
.COASTAL AREAS...
TODAY TONIGHT TUE
CLOUD COVER MCLDY MCLDY PCLDY
PRECIP TYPE SHWRS SHWRS NONE
CHANCE PRECIP (%) 80 20 0
TEMP (24H TREND) 40-47 (+2) 30-36 (-1) 41-49
RH % (24H TREND) 63-80 (-3) 87-94 (0) 61-69
20FTWND(MPH) N 2-10 W 2-11 LGT/VAR
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL) 2607 2591
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)NE 8 NE 6
VENT RATE (KT-FT) 28194 16420
CWR 20 0 0
LAL 1 1 1
REMARKS...NONE.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE
MID 40S. WEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE
LOWER 40S. SOUTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.FRIDAY...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW. LOWS IN THE MID 30S.
HIGHS IN THE LOWER 40S. SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH.
$$
AKZ141-140230-
COPPER RIVER BASIN-
INCLUDING...GLENNALLEN...EUREKA...MCCARTHY...PAXSON...SLANA
405 AM AKDT Mon May 13 2024
.ABOVE 2500 FT...
TODAY TONIGHT TUE
CLOUD COVER MCLDY MCLDY MCLDY
PRECIP TYPE SHWRS SHWRS SHWRS
CHANCE PRECIP (%) 30 30 60
TEMP (24H TREND) 30-43 (+1) 20-28 (+2) 32-46
RH % (24H TREND) 41-61 (0) 78-87 (-3) 42-62
20FTWND(MPH) NW 2-6 NW 2-8 NW 1-6
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL) 6412 6332
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)NE 6 NW 7
VENT RATE (KT-FT) 43829 48112
CWR 10 10 20
LAL 1 1 1
REMARKS...NONE.
.BELOW 2500 FT...
TODAY TONIGHT TUE
CLOUD COVER PCLDY MCLDY MCLDY
PRECIP TYPE SHWRS SHWRS SHWRS
CHANCE PRECIP (%) 20 20 40
TEMP (24H TREND) 53 (+1) 33 (+1) 55
RH % (24H TREND) 33 (-3) 78-86 (+4) 36
20FTWND(MPH) SW 1-5 W 2-6 SW 2-5
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL) 7191 7113
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)W 3 W 6
VENT RATE (KT-FT) 45240 51488
CWR 5 5 20
LAL 1 1 1
REMARKS...NONE.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE
LOWER 50S. WEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE
LOWER 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S.
HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S. SOUTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
$$
AKZ145-140230-
SUSITNA VALLEY-
INCLUDING...TALKEETNA...WILLOW
405 AM AKDT Mon May 13 2024
.ABOVE 1500 FT...
TODAY TONIGHT TUE
CLOUD COVER MCLDY MCLDY PCLDY
PRECIP TYPE SHWRS SHWRS SHWRS
CHANCE PRECIP (%) 30 30 30
TEMP (24H TREND) 40-48 (+2) 32 (0) 42-51
RH % (24H TREND) 43-57 (+3) 77-83 (-7) 38-52
20FTWND(MPH) W 1-5 W 0-6 W 2-6
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL) 4969 5615
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)NW 5 SW 6
VENT RATE (KT-FT) 31367 38840
CWR 20 20 0
LAL 1 1 1
REMARKS...NONE.
.BELOW 1500 FT...
TODAY TONIGHT TUE
CLOUD COVER MCLDY PCLDY PCLDY
PRECIP TYPE TSTMS TSTMS NONE
CHANCE PRECIP (%) 20 0 0
TEMP (24H TREND) 52-58 (+3) 35 (0) 60
RH % (24H TREND) 35-44 (-2) 79-87 (-5) 33-39
20FTWND(MPH) W 2-5 W 2-6 SW 2-6
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL) 6724 6934
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)NW 6 SW 5
VENT RATE (KT-FT) 40346 30885
CWR 20 20 0
LAL 2 2 1
REMARKS...NONE.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE
LOWER 50S. SOUTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 40S. SOUTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.FRIDAY...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN
THE UPPER 40S. SOUTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
$$