Spot Forecast
Issued by NWS Gaylord, MI
Issued by NWS Gaylord, MI
896 FNUS73 KAPX 300921 FWSAPX Spot Forecast for Fairview Opening RX...USFS National Weather Service Gaylord MI 521 AM EDT Tue Apr 30 2024 Forecast is based on ignition time of 1000 EDT on April 30. If conditions become unrepresentative... contact the National Weather Service. Please contact our office at (989)732-9306, if you have questions or concerns with this forecast. .DISCUSSION...The burn site will see some peeks of sunshine, mainly in the morning. Westerly breezes will be around 10 mph with occasional gusts to around 20 mph. Humidity levels will remain high. Rain chances arrive late tonight, and persist into Wednesday morning. .REST OF TODAY... Sky/weather.........Partly sunny (65-75 percent) then becoming cloudy (85-95 percent). Max temperature.....Around 62. Min humidity........62 percent. 20-foot winds.......West winds 7 to 8 mph. Transport winds.....West 15 to 17 mph. Mixing height.......2800-4100 ft AGL. Haines Index........2 or very low potential for large plume dominated fire growth. Ventilation index...Fair to good (452.0-689.0). TIME (EDT) 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM Sky (%).........69 91 88 92 93 91 91 90 Weather cov..... Weather type.... Tstm cov........ Temp............52 54 55 56 57 57 57 57 RH..............77 74 69 66 62 62 62 62 20 ft wind dir..W W W W W W W W 20 ft wind spd..10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 20 ft wind gust.18 18 20 20 20 18 18 18 Mix hgt (kft)...2.8 3.0 3.5 3.8 4.0 4.1 4.0 4.0 Haines index....2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 Transp wind dir.W W W W W W W W Transp wind spd.16 16 16 16 17 16 16 15 Vrate kt-ft.....452 490 562 606 689 654 646 598 Ventrate Cat....FR FR FR GD GD GD GD FR .TONIGHT... Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (65-75 percent) then becoming partly cloudy (25-35 percent) then becoming mostly cloudy (55-65 percent). Slight chance of rain showers overnight. Min temperature.....Around 40. Max humidity........93 percent. 20-foot winds.......West winds 5 to 7 mph early in the evening becoming light. Transport winds.....West 5 to 14 mph shifting to the north around 5 mph overnight, then shifting to the south 5 to 9 mph overnight. Mixing height.......2700-3500 ft AGL decreasing to 400-1200 ft AGL early in the evening. Haines Index........2 to 4 or very low to low potential for large plume dominated fire growth. Ventilation index...Poor to fair (18.0-479.0). TIME (EDT) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM Sky (%).........84 87 69 55 34 22 12 14 15 29 44 58 Weather cov..... SCH SCH SCH SCH Weather type.... RW RW RW RW Tstm cov........ Temp............56 54 54 51 48 46 46 45 44 43 42 42 RH..............62 66 64 68 80 86 83 82 89 93 93 93 20 ft wind dir..W W W NW NW NW SW SW SW S S S 20 ft wind spd..9 9 9 5 5 5 2 2 2 3 3 3 20 ft wind gust.15 15 15 10 10 10 5 5 5 6 6 6 Mix hgt (kft)...3.5 2.7 1.2 0.9 0.9 0.8 0.7 0.5 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 Haines index....2 2 3 3 3 3 3 3 4 4 4 4 Transp wind dir.W W W NW W W W N S SE S S Transp wind spd.14 12 8 6 6 6 5 5 5 6 7 9 Vrate kt-ft.....479 305 97 53 53 46 31 23 18 21 28 39 Ventrate Cat....FR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR .WEDNESDAY... Sky/weather.........Partly sunny (45-55 percent). Max temperature.....Around 72. Min humidity........31 percent. 20-foot winds.......Light winds becoming south 8 to 12 mph early in the morning, then shifting to the west 10 to 12 mph with gusts to around 26 mph in the afternoon. Transport winds.....South 12 to 21 mph shifting to the west 23 to 29 mph in the afternoon. Mixing height.......500-1500 ft AGL increasing to 5000-5300 ft AGL. Haines Index........3 to 4 or very low to low potential for large plume dominated fire growth. Ventilation index...Poor (61.0) increasing to very good to excellent (1188.0-1511.0). TIME (EDT) 6 AM 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM Sky (%).........60 63 61 53 40 47 Weather cov.....S CHC S CHC S CHC S CHC Weather type....RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR NONE NONE Tstm cov........ Temp............43 46 54 63 68 70 RH..............89 86 74 58 42 33 20 ft wind dir..S S S SW SW W 20 ft wind spd..10 10 14 15 15 15 20 ft wind gust.16 16 21 24 24 26 Mix hgt (ft)....500 700 1200 3000 4900 5300 Haines index....4 3 3 3 3 3 Transport wind..S 12 S 16 S 20 SW 23 W 24 W 29 Vrate kt-ft.....61 108 230 688 1188 1511 Ventrate Cat....POOR POOR POOR GOOD VYGD EXNT $$ Forecaster...JZ Requested by...Travis Wiltse Type of request...PRESCRIBED .TAG 2412690.1/APX .DELDT 04/30/24 .FormatterVersion 2.0.0 .EMAIL travis.a.wiltse@usda.gov