024
FNUS71 KCTP 030855
FWSCTP

Spot Forecast for SGL 120 Unit 9...PA Game Commission
National Weather Service State College PA
455 AM EDT Fri May 3 2024

Forecast is based on ignition time of 0800 EDT on May 03.

If conditions become unrepresentative, or if you have questions or
concerns with this forecast, contact the National Weather Service
in State College.


.DISCUSSION...
Dry conditions this morning followed by an increasing chance for
rain this afternoon through tonight. Cloudy and noticeably cooler
to start the weekend with periods of rain/showers into Sunday.


.REST OF TODAY...

Sky/Weather.........Partly sunny (55-65 percent). Chance of showers
                    and thunderstorms in the afternoon.
LAL.................No Tstms until 1500, then 9-15 strikes until
                    1700, then 16-25 strikes.
Max Temperature.....Around 78.
Min Humidity........41 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Southeast winds 5 to 10 mph. Gusty and erratic
                    winds expected near thunderstorms in the
                    afternoon.
Mixing Height.......3500 ft AGL.
Transport Winds.....Southeast 10 to 20 mph.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
LVORI...............2.
ADI.................24 to 38.

TIME (EDT)          8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%)...........  52  59  65  72  70  67  64  62  60  58
Weather Cov.......                              SCH CHC CHC
Weather Type......                              RW  RW  RW
Tstm Cov..........                              SCH SCH CHC
LAL...............  1   1   1   1   1   1   1   3   4   4
Temp..............  58  62  65  69  72  75  77  78  77  77
RH................  62  56  52  49  44  41  42  42  43  45
20 FT Wind Dir....  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE
20 FT Wind Spd....  8   8   8   8   7   7   7   8   8   8
20 FT Wind Gust...  14  14  13  12  11  11  11  11  12  13
Mix Hgt (kft).....  1.1 1.3 1.7 1.8 2.2 2.5 3.0 3.4 3.5 2.9
Transp Wind Dir...  SE  SE  S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S
Transp Wind Spd...  17  16  16  15  14  13  14  15  14  16
LVORI.............  2   2   2   2   2   2   1   1   1   1
ADI...............  24  28  28  28  33  33  33  38  38  38
Haines Index......  5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5

.TONIGHT...

Sky/Weather.........Mostly cloudy (75-85 percent). Chance of
                    showers and thunderstorms in the evening, then
                    rain showers likely and slight chance of
                    thunderstorms overnight.
LAL.................16-25 strikes until 2100, then 9-15 strikes
                    until 0100, then No Tstms.
Min Temperature.....Around 50.
Max Humidity........86 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Southeast winds 5 to 10 mph. Gusty and
                    erratic winds expected near thunderstorms
Mixing Height.......800 ft AGL.
Transport Winds.....Southeast 12 to 16 mph.
Haines Index........3 to 5 or very low to moderate potential for
                    large plume dominated fire growth.
LVORI...............3.
ADI.................12 to 19.

TIME (EDT)          6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
Sky (%)...........  66  74  82  84  85  87  88  89  91  91  92  92
Weather Cov.......  CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC LKY LKY LKY LKY
Weather Type......  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RN  RN  RN
Tstm Cov..........  CHC CHC CHC SCH SCH SCH SCH
LAL...............  4   4   4   4   4   4   4   1   1   1   1   1
Temp..............  74  72  68  65  63  62  60  58  57  56  55  53
RH................  51  57  68  73  75  75  78  80  80  80  83  86
20 FT Wind Dir....  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE
20 FT Wind Spd....  8   7   7   8   9   9   9   10  10  10  9   9
20 FT Wind Gust...  12  11  12  14  14  14  14  14  16  14  14  14
Mix Hgt (kft).....  3.0 1.5 0.9 0.8 1.1 1.0 1.2 1.3 1.2 1.2 1.2 1.2
Transp Wind Dir...  S   SE  SE  S   S   S   S   SE  SE  SE  SE  SE
Transp Wind Spd...  14  12  13  13  14  13  15  16  15  16  15  15
LVORI.............  2   2   3   3   4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4
ADI...............  19  19  19  12  12  12  14  14  14  14  14  14
Haines Index......  5   5   4   4   4   4   4   4   3   3   3   3

.SATURDAY...

Sky/Weather.........Cloudy (90-100 percent). Periods of rain.
LAL.................No Tstms.
Max Temperature.....Around 57.
Min Humidity........83 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Southeast winds 10 to 15 mph. Gusts up to 25 mph.
Mixing Height.......1400 ft AGL.
Transport Winds.....Southeast 15 to 25 mph.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
LVORI...............5.
ADI.................23 to 35.

TIME (EDT)          6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%)...........  92  92  93  93  94  95  95  96  96  96  96  96
Weather Cov.......  DEF DEF DEF DEF DEF DEF DEF DEF DEF DEF DEF DEF
Weather Type......  RN  RN  RN  RN  RN  RN  RN  RN  RN  RN  RN  RN
Tstm Cov..........
LAL...............  1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1
Temp..............  53  52  51  52  52  53  53  54  54  55  55  55
RH................  86  86  93  93  93  93  93  90  90  86  86  83
20 FT Wind Dir....  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE
20 FT Wind Spd....  9   9   10  10  10  11  11  11  11  12  12  12
20 FT Wind Gust...  14  14  16  16  17  17  18  18  18  18  18  19
Mix Hgt (kft).....  1.2 1.2 1.2 1.2 1.2 1.2 1.3 1.3 1.3 1.4 1.4 1.4
Transp Wind Dir...  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE
Transp Wind Spd...  15  16  16  18  18  20  21  21  22  22  22  22
LVORI.............  4   4   5   4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4
ADI...............  23  23  23  29  29  29  34  34  34  35  35  35
Haines Index......  3   3   3   3   3   3   3   3   3   3   3   3

$$
Forecaster...Steinbugl
Requested by...Neil  Itle
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2413049.0/CTP
.DELDT 05/03/24
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL neitle@PA.GOV