Spot Forecast
Issued by NWS Duluth, MN

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223
FNUS73 KDLH 092315
FWSDLH

Spot Forecast for Bass Lake West RX...Wisconsin DNR
National Weather Service Duluth MN
615 PM CDT Thu May 9 2024

Forecast is based on ignition time of 1900 CDT on May 09.
If there are questions or concerns with this forecast, or if
conditions become unrepresentative, contact the National
Weather Service in Duluth at 218-729-0653.

.DISCUSSION...

The gusty winds will diminish over the next 1 to 2 hours with
winds becoming light and variable overnight. An inversion will
lead to poor smoke dispersion tonight. Winds will veer through
the day Friday as a cold front moves through switching winds from
southerly to northwest. Showers and a few thunderstorms will be
possible Friday. Gusty and erratic outflow winds to 40 mph and
small hail are possible thunderstorm hazards tomorrow afternoon.

.REST OF TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Mostly clear (5-15 percent). Areas of frost
                    overnight. Widespread frost after 3 am.
Chance of pcpn......0 percent.
LAL.................1.
Min temperature.....Around 32.
Max humidity........86 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Northeast winds 5 to 7 mph early in the evening
                    becoming light.
Mixing height.......2100 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....East 3 to 10 mph shifting to the south 3 to 6
                    mph overnight.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor to fair (1100-18500 knot-ft).
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Pcpn amount.........0.00 inches.

TIME (CDT)      7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
Sky cover.......MCR MCR MCR CLR CLR CLR MCR MCR MCR MCR MCR
Weather cov.....                    ARS ARS ARS WID WID WID
Weather type....                    FST FST FST FST FST FST
Tstm cov........
Chc of pcpn (%).0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
LAL.............1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1
Temp............51  47  42  39  38  37  35  35  34  34  34
RH..............52  58  65  73  76  75  82  78  83  83  83
20 FT wind dir..E   E   E   E   E   E   SE  SE  S   S   S
20 FT wind spd..7   6   4   3   2   2   2   2   3   3   4
20 FT wind gust.13  11  7   6   5   3   3   3   5   5   6
Mix hgt (kft)...2.1 1.2 0.5 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.3 0.3
Transp wind dir.E   E   E   E   E   E   SE  SE  S   S   S
Transp wind spd.10  9   6   6   5   5   3   3   5   6   6
Haines index....4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4
SDspl kt-ft/100019  10  2   2   2   2   1   1   1   2   2

.FRIDAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (35-45 percent) then becoming
                    mostly cloudy (75-85 percent). Widespread frost
                    early in the morning, then areas of frost early
                    in the morning. Chance of rain showers in the
                    morning, then rain showers and slight chance of
                    thunderstorms in the afternoon.
Chance of pcpn......80 percent.
LAL.................1 until 1300, then 2.
Max temperature.....Around 62.
Min humidity........47 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Southwest winds 5 to 7 mph shifting to the west
                    7 to 9 mph in the afternoon. Gusty and erratic
                    winds expected near thunderstorms in the
                    afternoon.
Mixing height.......1900 ft AGL increasing to 3300 ft AGL late in
                    the morning.
Transport winds.....Southwest 7 to 12 mph shifting to the west 12
                    to 16 mph in the late morning and afternoon.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor to fair (2000-20600 knot-ft) increasing to
                    fair to good (20800-34400 knot-ft) late in the
                    morning.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Pcpn amount.........0.12 inches.

TIME (CDT)      6 AM   8 AM   10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM
Sky cover.......MCLEAR PCLDY  MCLDY  MCLDY  MCLDY  MCLDY
Weather cov.....WIDSPD        S CHC  CHANCE DEFNTE LIKELY
Weather type....FROST  NONE   RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR
Tstm cov........                            S CHC  S CHC
Chc of pcpn (%).0      10     20     50     80     60
LAL.............1      1      1      1      2      2
Temp............33     41     53     58     59     58
RH..............86     70     49     47     54     57
20 ft wind......S 4    SW 6   SW 8   W 9    W 9    NW 10
20 ft wind gust.6      9      14     14     14     15
Mix hgt (ft)....300    700    1900   3100   2100   2400
Transport wind..S 7    SW 9   W 13   W 13   W 14   NW 16
Haines index....4      4      4      4      4      4
SDspl kt-ft/10002      6      21     34     25     34

.FRIDAY NIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (55-65 percent) then becoming
                    partly cloudy (30-40 percent). Chance of rain
                    showers early in the evening. Slight chance of
                    thunderstorms early in the evening. Slight
                    chance of rain showers in the evening.
Chance of pcpn......30 percent.
LAL.................2 until 2200, then 1.
Min temperature.....Around 39.
Max humidity........94 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Northwest winds 6 to 8 mph. Gusty and erratic
                    winds expected near thunderstorms early in the
                    evening.
Mixing height.......1800 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Northwest 9 to 13 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor to fair (3200-20000 knot-ft).
Haines Index........3 to 4 or very low to low potential for large
                    plume dominated fire growth.
Pcpn amount.........0.04 inches.

TIME (CDT)      6 PM   8 PM   10 PM  MIDNGT 2 AM   4 AM
Sky cover.......MCLDY  PCLDY  PCLDY  PCLDY  PCLDY  MCLEAR
Weather cov.....CHANCE S CHC  S CHC
Weather type....RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR NONE   NONE   NONE
Tstm cov........S CHC  S CHC
Chc of pcpn (%).30     20     20     10     10     10
LAL.............2      2      1      1      1      1
Temp............58     53     48     45     42     40
RH..............55     69     77     82     87     92
20 ft wind......NW 10  NW 8   W 5    NW 6   NW 6   NW 6
20 ft wind gust.15     14     9      9      9      9
Mix hgt (ft)....1800   800    600    600    500    500
Transport wind..NW 13  NW 10  NW 10  N 10   N 9    N 9
Haines index....4      4      4      4      3      3
SDspl kt-ft/100020     7      5      5      4      4

$$
Forecaster...Dean M
Requested by...Eric Sirrine
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2413538.1/DLH
.DELDT 05/09/24
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL eric.sirrine@wi.gov