Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Detroit/Pontiac, MI
Issued by NWS Detroit/Pontiac, MI
911
FNUS53 KDTX 020840
FWFDTX
Fire Weather Planning Forecast for Southeast Michigan
National Weather Service Detroit/Pontiac MI
440 AM EDT Thu May 2 2024
.DISCUSSION...Light northerly winds eventually veer toward the
southeast by this afternoon as high pressure cross the Great lakes.
Showers arrive tonight and expand in coverage Friday. Some storms
are also possible, especially Friday afternoon/evening ahead of a
cold front. Minimum RHs jump from the lower 40s today to lower 60s
Friday with prevailing wind speeds below 15 mph.
MIZ047-048-053-060-061-022115-
Midland-Bay-Saginaw-Shiawassee-Genesee-
Including the cities of Midland-Bay City-Saginaw-Owosso-Flint
440 AM EDT Thu May 2 2024
.TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (40-50 percent). Slight chance of
showers after 5 pm. Chance of
precipitation 20 percent.
Max temperature.....62-68.
24 hr trend......5 degrees cooler.
Min humidity........39-49 percent.
24 hr trend......12 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......Northwest around 5 mph becoming east in the
late morning and afternoon.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......3950-4450 ft agl.
Transport winds.....North around 10 mph becoming southeast in the
late morning and afternoon.
Smoke dispersal.....Good (423).
Pcpn amount.........None.
.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (65-75 percent). Chance of rain
showers. Chance of thunderstorms after 11 pm
until 5 am, then slight chance of
thunderstorms. Chance of precipitation 40
percent.
Min temperature.....50-54.
24 hr trend......8 degrees warmer.
Max humidity........76-84 percent.
24 hr trend......1 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......Southeast 10 to 15 mph diminishing to around 5
mph after midnight.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......800-1000 ft agl.
Transport winds.....Southeast 10 to 15 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (19).
Pcpn amount.........0.11-0.25 in.
.FRIDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (75-85 percent). Chance of rain
showers until 2 pm. Chance of thunderstorms
after 11 am until 5 pm. Rain showers likely
after 2 pm. Chance of precipitation 70 percent.
Max temperature.....68-74.
24 hr trend......2 degrees warmer.
Min humidity........53-63 percent.
24 hr trend......21 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......South around 5 mph becoming northwest early in
the afternoon.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
fire growth.
Mixing height.......2170-2670 ft agl.
Transport winds.....South around 10 mph becoming northwest early in
the afternoon.
Smoke dispersal.....Good (409).
Pcpn amount.........0.26-0.50 in.
$$
MIZ049-054-055-062-022115-
Huron-Tuscola-Sanilac-Lapeer-
Including the cities of Bad Axe-Caro-Sandusky-Lapeer
440 AM EDT Thu May 2 2024
.TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (35-45 percent).
Max temperature.....60-64.
24 hr trend......10 degrees cooler.
Min humidity........41-51 percent.
24 hr trend......15 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......Northwest around 5 mph becoming east in the
late morning and afternoon.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
fire growth.
Mixing height.......3430-3930 ft agl.
Transport winds.....Northwest around 5 mph becoming north early in
the morning, then becoming east in the late
morning and afternoon.
Smoke dispersal.....Good (335).
Pcpn amount.........None.
.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (60-70 percent). Slight chance of
showers and thunderstorms until 2 am, then
chance of showers and thunderstorms. Chance of
precipitation 30 percent.
Min temperature.....46-52.
24 hr trend......6 degrees warmer.
Max humidity........76-86 percent.
24 hr trend......5 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......Southeast 10 to 15 mph.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......800-1000 ft agl.
Transport winds.....East around 15 mph becoming southeast in the
late evening and overnight.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (22).
Pcpn amount.........0.06-0.10 in.
.FRIDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (70-80 percent). Chance of rain
showers until 2 pm. Chance of thunderstorms
after 11 am until 5 pm. Rain showers likely
after 2 pm. Chance of precipitation 70 percent.
Max temperature.....70-74.
24 hr trend......7 degrees warmer.
Min humidity........56-66 percent.
24 hr trend......16 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......Southeast around 10 mph becoming southwest in
the late morning and early afternoon, then
becoming northwest early in the afternoon.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......2780-3280 ft agl.
Transport winds.....South around 15 mph becoming southwest in the
late morning and early afternoon, then becoming
northwest early in the afternoon.
Smoke dispersal.....Good (500).
Pcpn amount.........0.51-0.75 in.
$$
MIZ063-068>070-075-076-082-083-022115-
St Clair-Livingston-Oakland-Macomb-Washtenaw-Wayne-Lenawee-Monroe-
Including the cities of Port Huron-Howell-Pontiac-Warren-Ann
Arbor-Detroit-Adrian-Monroe
440 AM EDT Thu May 2 2024
.TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (30-40 percent).
Max temperature.....66-70.
24 hr trend......7 degrees cooler.
Min humidity........38-48 percent.
24 hr trend......19 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......North around 5 mph becoming northeast early in
the morning, then becoming southeast 10 to 15
mph in the late morning and afternoon.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
fire growth.
Mixing height.......3290-3790 ft agl.
Transport winds.....North around 10 mph becoming southeast in the
late morning and afternoon.
Smoke dispersal.....Good (392).
Pcpn amount.........None.
.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (55-65 percent). Slight chance of
showers and thunderstorms. Chance of
precipitation 20 percent.
Min temperature.....50-56.
24 hr trend......7 degrees warmer.
Max humidity........77-87 percent.
24 hr trend......3 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......Southeast 5 to 10 mph.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......760-960 ft agl.
Transport winds.....Southeast 10 to 15 mph becoming around 10 mph
after midnight.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (19).
Pcpn amount.........0.11-0.25 in.
.FRIDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (70-80 percent). Chance of rain
showers until 2 pm. Chance of thunderstorms
after 11 am. Rain showers likely after 2 pm.
Chance of precipitation 70 percent.
Max temperature.....75-80.
24 hr trend......5 degrees warmer.
Min humidity........53-63 percent.
24 hr trend......14 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......South around 5 mph becoming west early in the
afternoon.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......3680-4180 ft agl.
Transport winds.....South around 10 mph becoming northwest early in
the afternoon.
Smoke dispersal.....Excellent (650).
Pcpn amount.........0.51-0.75 in.
$$
.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SATURDAY...Mostly cloudy with showers likely and chance of
thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 50s. Highs in the lower 70s.
Northeast winds around 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers and slight chance of
thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 50s. Highs in the lower 70s.
Northwest winds around 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 40s. Highs in the lower
70s. East winds around 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Partly cloudy. Showers likely. Lows in the lower 50s.
Highs in the mid 70s.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly cloudy. Showers likely and chance of
thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 50s. Highs in the upper 70s.
$$
KGK