Spot Forecast
Issued by NWS
Issued by NWS
082 FNUS74 KEPZ 051616 FWSEPZ Spot Forecast for OAKMONT...NEW MEXICO STATE FORESTRY National Weather Service El Paso Tx/Santa Teresa NM 1016 AM MDT Sun May 5 2024 Forecast is based on forecast start time of 1000 MDT on May 05. If conditions become unrepresentative, contact the National Weather Service. ...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 PM MDT THIS EVENING... ...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM NOON TO 9 PM MDT MONDAY... .DISCUSSION... The light southeast winds will be replaced with breezy southwest winds by early this afternoon. The southwest winds will also sweep drier air back into the area to drop min RH`s down close to 10%. We will have poor RH recoveries tonight (30%) and then more breezy and very dry conditions on Monday and Tuesday. We will be close to critical fire weather conditions today and then we will likely see critical fire weather conditions for both winds and RH`s on both Monday and Tuesday. Still no rain in the forecast through the end of next week. .REST OF TODAY... Sky/weather.........Sunny (0-10 percent). Chance of pcpn......0 percent. LAL.................1. Max temperature.....Around 72. Min humidity........11 percent. Wind (20 ft)........Southwest winds 10 to 18 mph. Mixing height.......8200 ft AGL. Transport winds.....Southwest 17 to 24 mph. Smoke dispersal.....Very good (130300 knot-ft) early in the morning increasing to excellent (179900 knot-ft) in the afternoon. Haines Index........3 to 5 or very low to moderate potential for large plume dominated fire growth. TIME (MDT) 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM Sky (%).........6 1 1 2 Weather cov.....NONE NONE NONE NONE Weather type....NONE NONE NONE NONE Tstm cov........NONE NONE NONE NONE Chc of pcpn (%).0 0 0 0 LAL.............1 1 1 1 Temp............59 66 70 72 RH..............51 30 20 12 20 ft wind......S 10 SW 15 SW 15 SW 18 20 ft wind gust.17 24 24 26 Mix hgt (ft)....7100 7100 8200 8200 Transport wind..SW 17 SW 17 SW 24 SW 24 Haines index....3 2 3 4 Vrate kt-ft/1K..130 130 180 180 Ventrate Cat....VYGD VYGD EXNT EXNT .TONIGHT... Sky/weather.........Mostly clear (0-10 percent). Chance of pcpn......0 percent. LAL.................1. Min temperature.....Around 43. Max humidity........38 percent. Wind (20 ft)........Southwest winds 15 to 20 mph. Mixing height.......600 ft AGL. Transport winds.....Southwest 20 to 23 mph. Smoke dispersal.....Excellent (158000 knot-ft) decreasing to poor (11000 knot-ft) in the late evening and overnight. Haines Index........3 to 5 or very low to moderate potential for large plume dominated fire growth. TIME (MDT) 6 PM 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM Sky (%).........4 4 7 6 6 7 Weather cov.....NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE Weather type....NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE Tstm cov........NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE Chc of pcpn (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 LAL.............1 1 1 1 1 1 Temp............68 58 53 49 46 44 RH..............12 15 18 22 27 35 20 ft wind......SW 16 SW 16 SW 15 W 20 W 20 W 20 20 ft wind gust.26 26 29 36 36 35 Mix hgt (ft)....7200 7200 600 600 600 600 Transport wind..SW 20 SW 20 SW 20 SW 20 W 23 W 23 Haines index....5 5 5 4 4 4 Vrate kt-ft/1K..158 158 11 11 11 11 Ventrate Cat....EXNT EXNT POOR POOR POOR POOR .MONDAY... Sky/weather.........Sunny (0-10 percent). Chance of pcpn......0 percent. LAL.................1. Max temperature.....Around 69. Min humidity........14 percent. Wind (20 ft)........Breezy. West winds 21 to 26 mph. Mixing height.......6800 ft AGL. Transport winds.....West 31 to 38 mph. Smoke dispersal.....Good (91000 knot-ft) early in the morning increasing to excellent (151100 knot-ft) in the afternoon increasing to excellent (235100 knot-ft) late in the afternoon. Haines Index........3 to 5 or very low to moderate potential for large plume dominated fire growth. TIME (MDT) 6 AM 9 AM NOON 3 PM Sky (%).........8 1 1 3 Weather cov.....NONE NONE NONE NONE Weather type....NONE NONE NONE NONE Tstm cov........NONE NONE NONE NONE Chc of pcpn (%).0 0 0 0 LAL.............1 1 1 1 Temp............43 54 64 68 RH..............38 28 23 17 20 FT wind......W 21G38 W 26G41 W 26G40 W 25G39 Mix hgt (ft)....2800 2800 5000 6800 Transport wind..W 31 W 31 W 35 W 38 Haines index....3 2 3 3 Vrate kt-ft/1K..91 91 151 235 Ventrate Cat....GOOD GOOD EXNT EXNT .FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5... .TUESDAY... Clear. Breezy. Lows in the lower 40s. Highs in the lower 70s. West winds around 20 mph. .WEDNESDAY... Clear. Breezy. Lows in the mid 40s. Highs in the lower 70s. West winds around 21 mph. .THURSDAY... Clear. Lows in the lower 40s. Highs in the lower 70s. West winds around 13 mph. $$ Forecaster...BRICE Requested by...HALEY BOSS (IC-t) Type of request...WILDFIRE .TAG 2413200.0/EPZ .DELDT 05/05/24 .FormatterVersion 2.0.0 .EMAIL NMADC@FIRENET.GOV