Spot Forecast
Issued by NWS Grand Forks, ND

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000
FNUS73 KFGF 130943
FWSFGF

Spot Forecast for Old Aalalen WPA...USFWS
National Weather Service Grand Forks ND
443 AM CDT Sat Apr 13 2024

Forecast is based on ignition time of 1000 CDT on April 13.
If conditions become unrepresentative, contact the National Weather
Service.

Please call the NWS in Grand Forks at 701-795-5127 for additional
information and monitor our website (www.weather.gov/fgf) or NOAA
All-Hazards Radio for the latest updates.

.DISCUSSION...

There is a slight chance for very light rain showers/sprinkles
through midday across northeast ND, which should not cause
wetting rain. However, winds may be erratic near these showers
with occasional gusts to 20 mph. Prevailing winds should decrease
and shift to the west by the time the prescribed burn is
scheduled, with occasional gusts around 15 mph. Warm temperatures
and dry low levels should result in RH values falling to around 25
percent during the afternoon, and winds should begin to increase
again late afternoon into the evening. As winds increase gusts to
around 25 mph will become possible. This may result in a period of
near critical fire weather conditions 3 to 7 PM in the area of
the burn.


.REST OF TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Partly sunny (60-70 percent). Slight chance of
                    rain showers late in the morning. Slight chance
                    of rain showers late in the afternoon.
Max temperature.....Around 71.
Min humidity........26 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........West winds 10 to 15 mph. Gusts up to 28 mph
                    late in the afternoon.
Mixing height.......6300 ft AGL.
Mixing winds........West 15 to 20 mph increasing to around 30 mph
                    late in the afternoon.
Smoke dispersal.....12500 knot-ft early in the morning increasing
                    to 111400 knot-ft in the afternoon increasing
                    to (148400 knot-ft) late in the afternoon.

TIME (CDT)      10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........60  61  65  79  75  64  55  55
Weather cov.....SCH SCH             SCH SCH
Weather type....RW  RW              RW  RW
Tstm cov........
Temp............54  59  63  67  69  69  69  70
RH..............52  44  40  28  27  27  27  26
20 FT wind dir..W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W
20 FT wind spd..10  10  10  10  10  15  15  15
20 FT wind gust.18  15  15  14  18  21  23  25
Mix hgt (kft)...0.9 1.2 1.7 3.4 5.5 5.9 6.2 6.3
Mixing wind dir.W   W   W   W   NW  W   W   W
Mixing wind spd.15  15  15  15  20  20  30  30
Vrate kt-ft/1K..13  16  21  44  94  111 148 150

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (45-55 percent) then becoming
                    mostly clear (10-20 percent).
Min temperature.....Around 39.
Max humidity........84 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Northwest winds around 15 mph with gusts to
                    around 23 mph decreasing to around 10 mph with
                    gusts to around 19 mph in the late evening and
                    overnight.
Mixing height.......300 ft AGL.
Mixing winds........West around 25 mph becoming northwest 10 to 15
                    mph early in the evening.
Smoke dispersal.....130200 knot-ft early in the evening decreasing
                    to 58400 knot-ft late in the night decreasing
                    to (3400 knot-ft) early in the evening.

TIME (CDT)      6 PM   8 PM   10 PM  MIDNGT 2 AM   4 AM
Sky (%).........51     14     21     17     8      8
Weather cov.....
Weather type....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
Tstm cov........
Temp............69     64     55     50     46     42
RH..............26     31     55     63     71     82
20 ft wind......W 15   NW 15  NW 10  N 10   NW 10  NW 10
20 ft wind gust.23     22     18     15     14     14
Mix hgt (ft)....5700   800    600    400    400    400
Mixing wind.....W 25   NW 15  NW 15  N 15   NW 15  NW 15
Vrate kt-ft/1K..130    11     9      5      5      5

.SUNDAY...

Sky/weather.........Sunny (5-15 percent).
Max temperature.....Around 64.
Min humidity........23 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Northwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
Mixing height.......6900 ft AGL.
Mixing winds........Northwest 15 to 20 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....4500 knot-ft early in the morning increasing to
                    97900 knot-ft in the afternoon increasing to
                    (80900 knot-ft) in the afternoon.

TIME (CDT)      6 AM      9 AM      NOON      3 PM
Sky (%).........6         5         4         7
Weather cov.....
Weather type....NONE      NONE      NONE      NONE
Tstm cov........
Temp............41        46        59        63
RH..............80        62        30        24
20 FT wind......NW 10G14  NW 10G15  NW 10G20  NW 10G20
Mix hgt (ft)....400       800       5300      6700
Mixing wind.....NW 15     NW 15     NW 20     NW 20
Vrate kt-ft/1K..5         9         98        109

$$
Forecaster...DJR
Requested by...Jason Wagner
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2410574.0/FGF
.DELDT 04/13/24
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL jason_wagner@fws.gov


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