Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Wichita, KS
Issued by NWS Wichita, KS
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393 FXUS63 KICT 082344 AFDICT Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Wichita KS 644 PM CDT Wed May 8 2024 .KEY MESSAGES... - Seasonably mild days/cool nights thru the end of the week. - Modest chances for rain/storms return by early next week. && .DISCUSSION... Issued at 251 PM CDT Wed May 8 2024 Chamber of commerce type weather expected the next few days with seasonably mild days and a relatively tame Kansas wind. Surface convection has exited stage right at mid-afternoon as the cold front has moved out of our southeast Kansas counties. A secondary weak front will slide south from Nebraska and reinforce the modestly cooler/drier (yet seasonably mild) air across the area for Thursday as sort of a col develops aloft over Nebraska by Thursday afternoon, between the upper trof across the Great Lakes and upper low over the Canyonland region of eastern Utah. The seasonably mild days and cool nights look to prevail through Friday with a slight warm-up by Saturday under weak ridging aloft, between another trof moving across the Great Lakes and upper low center wobbling from the Four Corners region west into a portion of the Great Basin. The western conus upper low/trof looks to move slowly eastward toward and across the central Plains by early next week bringing modest rain/thunder chances to the area again. Upper flow and instability combo appear rather modest as well, so risk for organized deep convection/severe weather looks low as well. Darmofal && .AVIATION /00Z TAFS THROUGH 00Z FRIDAY/... Issued at 637 PM CDT Wed May 8 2024 Aviation concerns are expected to remain on the low side through the next 24 hours. Cold front extends from central MO down into eastern OK with storms developing along it. Meanwhile, much drier air continues to filter-in from the northwest. Confidence is high that VFR conditions will remain in place through this TAF period. Winds will quickly decrease this evening but will pick back up by early Thu afternoon, with gusts around 30 mph possible. && .ICT WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... None. && $$ DISCUSSION...KED AVIATION...RBL