Text Products for FWS Issued by ILN

Spot Forecast
Issued by NWS Wilmington, OH
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000
FNUS71 KILN 150852
FWSILN

Spot Forecast for CH prsc burn...Five Rivers Metroparks
National Weather Service Wilmington OH
452 AM EDT Mon Apr 15 2024

Forecast is based on ignition time of 10:00-11:00 EDT on April 15.
Please contact our office if you have questions or concerns with
this forecast.

.DISCUSSION...
A cold front will move south through the area today, dissipating
just south of the Ohio River this evening. The remnants of this
front will then be pulled to the north-northeast as a warm front
on Tuesday. Tuesday evening and overnight will see warm sector
showers develop and move east as a strong moisture feed comes
together.

Due to the front, winds will shift from southwest near daybreak
to northwest, and then northeast this evening. Wind speeds will be
under 10 mph and any significant gusts are not expected.

.TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Sunny (15-25 percent).
Chance of pcpn......0 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 78.
Min humidity........41 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Southwest winds 5 to 6 mph shifting to the
                    north late in the afternoon.
Mixing height.......3900 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....West 6 to 7 mph shifting to the northwest late
                    in the morning.
Haines Index........2 to 5 or very low to moderate potential for
                    large plume dominated fire growth.

TIME (EDT)      6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........14  15  20  17  16  18  23  29  31  27  19  11
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
Chc of pcpn (%).0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
Temp............59  58  60  62  67  69  73  75  76  77  77  78
RH..............82  86  84  82  75  71  62  57  50  48  45  42
20 FT wind dir..SW  SW  SW  W   W   NW  NW  NW  N   N   N   N
20 FT wind spd..6   5   5   6   6   6   6   6   7   7   7   8
20 FT wind gust.8   7   8   8   8   8   7   7   10  10  10  10
Mix hgt (kft)...0.4 0.4 0.1 0.6 1.2 1.7 2.4 3.0 3.6 3.7 3.8 3.9
Transp wind dir.SW  W   SW  W   W   NW  NW  NW  N   N   N   N
Transp wind spd.7   7   6   6   7   7   7   6   6   6   7   7
Haines index....2   2   4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4   5   5

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Mostly clear (0-10 percent).
Chance of pcpn......0 percent.
Min temperature.....Around 53.
Max humidity........73 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Northeast winds 5 to 6 mph shifting to the east
                    around 5 mph overnight.
Mixing height.......0 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Northeast 6 to 7 mph shifting to the east
                    around 6 mph overnight.
Haines Index........5 to 6 or moderate to high potential for large
                    plume dominated fire growth.

TIME (EDT)      6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
Sky (%).........5   2   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   5   10  14
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
Chc of pcpn (%).0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
Temp............76  75  72  66  63  61  59  57  56  55  54  54
RH..............42  42  45  52  56  59  64  66  68  68  69  73
20 FT wind dir..N   N   N   N   NE  NE  NE  E   E   E   E   E
20 FT wind spd..7   6   6   6   6   6   6   6   6   6   6   6
20 FT wind gust.10  10  8   10  8   8   8   8   10  8   8   8
Mix hgt (kft)...2.6 1.4 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1
Transp wind dir.N   N   N   NE  NE  NE  NE  E   E   E   E   E
Transp wind spd.7   6   6   6   6   6   6   6   6   6   6   6
Haines index....5   6   6   6   6   6   6   6   6   6   6   6

.TUESDAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (35-45 percent) then becoming
                    mostly cloudy (75-85 percent). Slight chance of
                    thunderstorms in the morning. Chance of rain
                    showers through the day. Chance of
                    thunderstorms in the afternoon.
Chance of pcpn......50 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 77.
Min humidity........53 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Southeast winds 6 to 8 mph shifting to the
                    south around 9 mph late in the afternoon. Gusty
                    and erratic winds expected near thunderstorms
                    early in the morning. Gusty and erratic winds
                    expected near thunderstorms late in the
                    afternoon.
Mixing height.......1800 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southeast 9 to 15 mph increasing to 12 to 15
                    mph late in the afternoon.
Haines Index........2 to 5 or very low to moderate potential for
                    large plume dominated fire growth.

TIME (EDT)      6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........16  19  24  34  47  60  70  80  85  83  77  72
Weather cov.....        SCH CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC
Weather type....        RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW
Tstm cov........        SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH CHC CHC CHC CHC
Chc of pcpn (%).0   10  20  30  30  40  40  50  50  50  40  40
Temp............54  53  55  57  63  67  70  73  75  76  77  77
RH..............72  75  72  70  63  61  56  55  54  54  53  53
20 FT wind dir..E   E   SE  E   SE  SE  SE  S   S   S   SE  SE
20 FT wind spd..6   6   7   6   8   8   8   8   8   8   8   8
20 FT wind gust.10  10  11  10  11  12  11  11  12  12  12  12
Mix hgt (kft)...0.2 0.3 0.4 0.6 0.8 1.0 1.2 1.3 1.4 1.6 1.8 1.8
Transp wind dir.E   E   E   E   E   SE  SE  SE  S   SE  SE  SE
Transp wind spd.9   12  15  15  13  12  10  10  12  13  14  15
Haines index....5   3   2   2   2   2   2   2   4   4   4   4

$$
Forecaster...Franks
Requested by...J. Latham
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2410797.0/ILN
.DELDT 04/15/24
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL latham-j@sbcglobal.net
National Weather Service Weather Forecast Office
