Spot Forecast
Issued by NWS Jacksonville, FL

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FNUS72 KJAX 131237
FWSJAX

Spot Forecast for ILSF TT10...FFS
National Weather Service Jacksonville FL
837 AM EDT Mon May 13 2024

Forecast is based on ignition time of 0900 EDT on May 13.
If conditions become unrepresentative, contact the National Weather
Service.

Please contact our office at (904) 741-4370 if you have questions
or concerns with this forecast.

.DISCUSSION...

Rain and isolated thunderstorm chances will begin this afternoon
for the local area, lasting through Tuesday night. Some of these
storms may be strong or severe, with gusty and erratic winds
and locally heavy downpours being the primary hazards. Elevated
southeasterly winds today will allow for high dispersion values,
winds will shift southwesterly Tuesday and increase, further
increasing dispersion values.

.REST OF TODAY...
TIME (EDT)      9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........60  68  79  73  77  82  87  95  95
Weather cov.....                    CHC CHC LKY LKY
Weather type....                    RW  RW  RW  RW
Tstm cov........                    CHC CHC LKY LKY
Chc of pcpn (%).0   0   0   10  10  30  50  60  70
LAL.............1   1   1   1   1   3   3   4   4
Temp............77  80  83  86  89  90  90  88  85
RH..............71  67  61  55  48  47  49  52  59
Heat index (F)..77  83  86  89  92  93  94  92  89
Wind chill (F)..77  80  83  86  89  90  90  88  85
20 FT wind dir..SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  S   S
20 FT wind spd..9   12  12  10  9   9   8   8   8
20 FT wind gust.14  17  17  16  14  14  13  13  13
Mix hgt (kft)...1.7 2.7 3.5 4.2 4.8 5.5 5.6 4.6 3.1
Transp wind dir.SE  SE  SE  SE  S   S   S   S   SE
Transp wind spd.14  15  16  15  14  13  12  10  10
Dispersion idx..31  47  56  59  78  79  72  57  38
LVORI...........3   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1

.TONIGHT...
TIME (EDT)      6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
Sky (%).........95  97  98  96  95  94  81  64  54  58  70  83
Weather cov.....LKY LKY CHC CHC CHC CHC SCH SCH             SCH
Weather type....RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW              RW
Tstm cov........LKY LKY CHC CHC CHC CHC SCH SCH             SCH
Chc of pcpn (%).70  70  50  50  40  30  20  20  10  10  10  20
LAL.............4   4   3   3   3   3   2   2   1   1   1   2
Temp............83  81  77  75  74  74  73  72  72  71  71  71
RH..............65  69  82  87  87  87  90  90  93  97  97  100
Heat index (F)..87  85  77  75  74  74  73  72  72  71  71  71
Wind chill (F)..83  81  77  75  74  74  73  72  72  71  71  71
20 FT wind dir..SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  S   S   S
20 FT wind spd..7   7   7   7   7   7   7   7   7   7   7   7
20 FT wind gust.10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10
Mix hgt (kft)...1.9 1.3 1.1 0.9 0.8 0.8 0.8 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5
Transp wind dir.SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  S   S   S   S
Transp wind spd.9   9   9   10  12  13  14  14  14  14  14  13
Dispersion idx..22  15  8   8   9   10  10  10  11  9   9   9
LVORI...........2   3   4   5   5   5   5   5   6   6   7   8

.TUESDAY...
TIME (EDT)      6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........87  86  80  80  80  80  80  80  67  67  67  67
Weather cov.....SCH CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC LKY LKY LKY LKY
Weather type....RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW
Tstm cov........SCH CHC SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH LKY LKY LKY LKY
Chc of pcpn (%).20  30  40  40  40  40  40  40  70  70  70  70
LAL.............2   3   2   2   2   2   2   2   4   4   4   4
Temp............71  71  73  77  82  85  88  91  93  93  93  91
RH..............100 100 97  87  74  70  61  56  51  51  49  52
Heat index (F)..71  71  73  77  87  93  96  100 101 101 10and 0 98
Wind chill (F)..71  71  73  77  82  85  88  91  93  93  93  91
20 FT wind dir..S   S   S   S   S   S   S   SW  SW  SW  SW  SW
20 FT wind spd..7   8   12  13  14  15  16  16  17  17  18  18
20 FT wind gust.10  13  17  20  21  23  24  24  26  26  28  28
Mix hgt (kft)...0.6 0.6 0.7 1.7 2.6 3.6 4.4 5.3 6.1 5.5 4.9 4.3
Transp wind dir.S   S   S   S   S   SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  W
Transp wind spd.13  13  13  15  17  20  21  22  22  22  23  22
Dispersion idx..9   11  12  26  38  51  60  66  71  71  69  86
LVORI...........8   7   5   4   3   1   1   1   1   1   1   1

$$
Forecaster...Klingler
Requested by...Justin Kilcrease
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2413933.0/JAX
.DELDT 05/13/24
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL justin.kilcrease@fdacs.gov