Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Little Rock, AR
Issued by NWS Little Rock, AR
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553 FXUS64 KLZK 300528 AAA AFDLZK Area Forecast Discussion...UPDATED National Weather Service Little Rock AR 1228 AM CDT Tue Apr 30 2024 ...New AVIATION... .SHORT TERM... (This evening through Wednesday) Issued at 236 PM CDT Mon Apr 29 2024 A weak and dissipating cold front is presently located in the northwest part of Arkansas, and will slowly make its way across much of the state overnight. A wind shift will be barely perceptible on this weakening front, but dewpoints will lower notably. Showers and thunderstorms have developed along and ahead of the front this afternoon, at present extending from north central Arkansas into western Arkansas in a few bands. Another point of concern tonight will be the development of fog as the weak cold front rolls into areas that recently received rain. With light winds and clearing skies, patchy fog will be present over a good portion of the area, with potential dense fog in some areas. && .LONG TERM... (Wednesday Night through next Monday) Issued at 236 PM CDT Mon Apr 29 2024 Chances for showers and thunderstorms will remain in the forecast at times through the period across the state. Prior indications of at least a couple of days of dry weather and cooler temperatures appear more unlikely attm. At the sfc, warm/humid conditions will persist across much of the region with above normal temperatures expected each day. Aloft, H500 flow will largely be out of the SW ahead of a trough swinging across the Northern/Central Plains toward the Great Lakes. Mid-level ridging is expected to build across the SE US which will further influence the amplified flow across the region. From Thu-Fri as a leading shortwave lifts north across the area, showers and thunderstorms are expected to develop. This activity will be aided by a cold front set to move across the state. The front will only briefly linger before retreating back to the north. Some additional disturbances are likely to lift north in the SW flow aloft and help to provide periodic rain chances across the state through the end of the period. && .AVIATION... (06Z TAFS) Issued at 1223 AM CDT Tue Apr 30 2024 Expect VFR condns over the next few hours at area terminals, with areas of dense fog expected to develop around much of the state. MVFR to IFR VISBY`s are anticipated, w/ lower VIS over Cntrl to Srn terminals. Shortly after daybreak Tues mrng, fog should begin to mix out w/ the onset of diurnal heating/mixing, and VFR condns should resume thru the day, w/ winds bcmg Srly. /72/ && .PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS... Batesville AR 82 61 87 64 / 0 0 10 10 Camden AR 85 60 88 65 / 0 0 20 10 Harrison AR 82 59 85 64 / 0 10 10 10 Hot Springs AR 84 60 87 65 / 0 0 20 10 Little Rock AR 85 63 89 66 / 0 0 10 10 Monticello AR 83 62 88 66 / 0 0 10 0 Mount Ida AR 85 60 87 65 / 0 0 20 10 Mountain Home AR 82 59 87 64 / 0 10 10 10 Newport AR 81 60 86 64 / 0 0 10 0 Pine Bluff AR 83 61 87 64 / 0 0 10 10 Russellville AR 84 60 88 64 / 0 0 10 10 Searcy AR 82 59 87 62 / 0 0 10 10 Stuttgart AR 82 62 86 65 / 0 0 10 0 && .LZK WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... Dense Fog Advisory until 8 AM CDT this morning for ARZ007-008- 014>017-024-025-031>034-039-042>047-052>057-062>069-123-141-223- 241-341. && $$ SHORT TERM...53 LONG TERM....67 AVIATION...72