Spot Forecast
Issued by NWS Mobile, AL

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FNUS74 KMOB 181909
FWSMOB

Spot Forecast for Chick Cpt 403...USFS
National Weather Service Mobile AL
209 PM CDT Thu Apr 18 2024

Forecast is based on ignition time of 1400 CDT on April 18.
If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather
Service.

.DISCUSSION...
Dry conditions are expected today and Friday. Afternoon relative
humidity values remain above critical levels. A southerly transport
flow is expected today, becoming light southwesterly on Friday.
Dispersion index values will be generally good today and Friday.

Fog potential and other remarks...Patchy fog development is
expected again tonight. Fog may briefly become dense around or a
little before sunrise.

.REST OF TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (70-80 percent).
Chance of pcpn......10 percent.
LAL.................1.
Max temperature.....Around 84.
Min humidity........53 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........South winds 7 to 8 mph.
Mixing height.......3700 ft AGL.
Mixing height (m)...1067-1128 meters AGL.
Transport winds.....South around 13 mph.
Transport winds m/s.South around 6 meters/second.
Dispersion index....46.
LVORI...............1.
Stability class.....3.

TIME (CDT)      2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........80  70  69  69
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
Chc of pcpn (%).10  10  10  10
LAL.............1   1   1   1
Temp............82  84  84  84
RH..............56  53  53  53
20 FT wind dir..S   S   S   S
20 FT wind spd..8   8   8   7
20 FT wind gust.12  13  13  12
Mix hgt (kft)...3.6 3.7 3.5 3.5
Mix hgt (km)....1.1 1.1 1.1 1.1
Transp wind dir.S   S   S   S
Transp wind spd.13  13  13  13
Trans wind dir..S   S   S   S
Trans spd (m/s).6   6   6   6
Dispersion idx..45  46  45  45
LVORI...........1   1   1   1

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (60-70 percent). Patchy fog after
                    3 am.
Chance of pcpn......10 percent.
LAL.................1.
Min temperature.....Around 66.
Max humidity........100 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........South winds 5 to 7 mph in the evening becoming
                    light.
Mixing height.......500 ft AGL.
Mixing height (m)...152-1067 meters AGL.
Transport winds.....South 8 to 13 mph.
Transport winds m/s.Southwest 4 to 6 meters/second.
Dispersion index....45 decreasing to 7.
LVORI...............5.
Stability class.....4.

TIME (CDT)      6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
Sky (%).........64  81  70  61  53  58  62  65  66  71  75  76
Weather cov.....                                        PTY PTY
Weather type....                                        FOG FOG
Tstm cov........
Chc of pcpn (%).10  10  10  10  0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
LAL.............1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1
Temp............82  80  77  74  73  70  69  68  67  67  67  66
RH..............56  62  71  79  81  90  93  97  100 100 100 100
20 FT wind dir..S   S   S   S   S   S   S   SSW SSW SW  SW  SW
20 FT wind spd..8   8   7   7   7   6   6   5   5   3   3   3
20 FT wind gust.12  12  12  12  10  9   9   8   7   7   6   6
Mix hgt (kft)...3.5 0.7 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5
Mix hgt (km)....1.1 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2
Transp wind dir.S   S   S   S   S   S   S   SSW SW  SW  WSW WSW
Transp wind spd.10  12  12  13  13  12  12  12  9   9   9   8
Trans wind dir..S   S   S   S   S   S   S   SSW SW  SW  WSW WSW
Trans spd (m/s).4   5   5   6   6   5   5   5   4   4   4   4
Dispersion idx..45  9   8   8   8   8   8   7   6   5   4   4
LVORI...........1   3   3   4   4   5   7   8   9   9   9   9

.FRIDAY...

Sky/weather.........Partly sunny (55-65 percent). Patchy fog early
                    in the morning.
Chance of pcpn......0 percent.
LAL.................1.
Max temperature.....Around 87.
Min humidity........46 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds becoming southwest around 5 mph
                    late in the afternoon, then becoming light late
                    in the afternoon.
Mixing height.......5200 ft AGL.
Mixing height (m)...152-1585 meters AGL.
Transport winds.....West 6 to 8 mph.
Transport winds m/s.West 3 to 4 meters/second.
Dispersion index....9 increasing to 45.
LVORI...............5.
Stability class.....2.

TIME (CDT)      6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........76  78  70  69  68  64  56  49  47  41  43  39
Weather cov.....PTY PTY PTY
Weather type....FOG FOG FOG
Tstm cov........
Chc of pcpn (%).0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
LAL.............1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1
Temp............67  67  68  72  76  78  81  84  85  85  87  86
RH..............100 100 100 90  76  71  60  55  51  50  46  48
20 FT wind dir..SW  SW  SW  WSW WSW WSW WSW WSW WSW WSW WSW WSW
20 FT wind spd..3   3   3   5   5   5   5   5   5   5   6   5
20 FT wind gust.6   6   6   7   7   7   7   7   8   8   8   8
Mix hgt (kft)...0.5 0.5 1.2 1.9 2.7 3.2 3.7 4.2 4.7 5.0 5.2 5.2
Mix hgt (km)....0.2 0.2 0.4 0.6 0.8 1.0 1.1 1.3 1.4 1.5 1.6 1.6
Transp wind dir.WSW WSW WSW W   W   W   WSW WSW WSW WSW WSW W
Transp wind spd.8   6   8   8   8   7   6   6   6   7   7   8
Trans wind dir..WSW WSW WSW W   W   W   WSW WSW WSW WSW WSW W
Trans spd (m/s).4   3   4   4   4   3   3   3   3   3   3   4
Dispersion idx..4   7   13  21  26  27  24  31  34  42  47  47
LVORI...........9   8   5   4   3   3   2   1   1   1   1   1

$$
Forecaster...21
Requested by...Ryan Barnett
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2411312.1/MOB
.DELDT 04/18/24
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL ryan.barnett@usda.gov


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