Spot Forecast
Issued by NWS Mobile, AL

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132
FNUS74 KMOB 041119
FWSMOB

Spot Forecast for Desoto 6315 South...USFS
National Weather Service Mobile AL
619 AM CDT Sat May 4 2024

Forecast is based on ignition time of 1000 CDT on May 04.
If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather
Service.

.DISCUSSION....Scattered showers and storms are expected over a
portion of the today then isolated showers and storms on Sunday.
Afternoon relative humidity values will remain above critical levels
today and Sunday. Transport winds will be mainly southerly today and
Sunday. Dispersion index values will range from fair to generally
good today and then generally good on Sunday.

Fog potential and other remarks...Areas of fog, dense in some
locations, early this morning (through around 9 AM), and then again
late tonight.


.REST OF TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Partly sunny (45-55 percent). Chance of showers
                    and thunderstorms in the afternoon.
Chance of pcpn......30 percent.
LAL.................1 until 1300, then 3.
Max temperature.....Around 88.
Min humidity........53 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds becoming south 5 to 6 mph in the
                    afternoon. Gusty and erratic winds expected
                    near thunderstorms in the afternoon.
Mixing height.......5200 ft AGL.
Mixing height (m)...671-1585 meters AGL.
Transport winds.....South 6 to 10 mph.
Transport winds m/s.South 3 to 4 meters/second.
Dispersion index....18 increasing to 47.
LVORI...............2.
Stability class.....2.

TIME (CDT)      10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM
Sky (%).........42     55     61     60
Weather cov.....              CHANCE CHANCE
Weather type....NONE   NONE   RNSHWR RNSHWR
Tstm cov........              CHANCE CHANCE
Chc of pcpn (%).10     10     30     30
LAL.............1      1      3      3
Temp............81     86     88     87
RH..............72     59     54     53
20 FT wind dir..SSE    S      S      SSW
20 FT wind spd..3      5      7      7
20 FT wind gust.6      9      12     13
Mix hgt (ft)....2200   4300   4100   3000
Mix hgt (m).....670    1310   1250   910
Transp wind dir.S      SSW    SSW    SSW
Transp wind spd.6      8      9      10
Trans wind dir..S      SSW    SSW    SSW
Trans spd (m/s).3      4      4      4
Dispersion idx..18     41     48     43
LVORI...........3      1      1      1

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (50-60 percent) then becoming
                    partly cloudy (40-50 percent) then becoming
                    mostly cloudy (55-65 percent). Chance of
                    showers and thunderstorms early in the evening.
                    Patchy fog overnight.
Chance of pcpn......30 percent.
LAL.................3 until 1900, then 1.
Min temperature.....Around 66.
Max humidity........100 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Southwest winds 5 to 6 mph early in the evening
                    becoming light. Gusty and erratic winds
                    expected near thunderstorms early in the
                    evening.
Mixing height.......400 ft AGL.
Mixing height (m)...122-914 meters AGL.
Transport winds.....South 5 to 9 mph.
Transport winds m/s.South 2 to 4 meters/second.
Dispersion index....43 decreasing to 4.
LVORI...............5.
Stability class.....4.

TIME (CDT)      6 PM   8 PM   10 PM  MIDNGT 2 AM   4 AM
Sky (%).........57     49     37     45     54     65
Weather cov.....CHANCE                      PATCHY PATCHY
Weather type....RNSHWR NONE   NONE   NONE   FOG    FOG
Tstm cov........CHANCE
Chc of pcpn (%).30     10     10     10     0      0
LAL.............3      1      1      1      1      1
Temp............84     76     71     68     67     67
RH..............59     76     93     100    100    100
20 FT wind dir..SSW    SSW    S      S      SSE    SSE
20 FT wind spd..7      5      3      2      2      2
20 FT wind gust.10     8      6      5      5      3
Mix hgt (ft)....3000   500    500    400    400    400
Mix hgt (m).....910    150    150    120    120    120
Transp wind dir.S      SSW    SW     SSW    S      S
Transp wind spd.9      7      6      6      5      5
Trans wind dir..S      SSW    SW     SSW    S      S
Trans spd (m/s).4      3      3      3      2      2
Dispersion idx..43     4      3      3      2      2
LVORI...........1      4      6      8      9      9

.SUNDAY...

Sky/weather.........Partly sunny (45-55 percent). Patchy fog early
                    in the morning. Slight chance of showers and
                    thunderstorms in the afternoon.
Chance of pcpn......20 percent.
LAL.................1 until 1300, then 2.
Max temperature.....Around 88.
Min humidity........50 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds becoming south 5 to 8 mph late in
                    the morning. Gusty and erratic winds expected
                    near thunderstorms in the afternoon.
Mixing height.......5100 ft AGL.
Mixing height (m)...122-1554 meters AGL.
Transport winds.....South 3 to 12 mph.
Transport winds m/s.South 1 to 5 meters/second.
Dispersion index....4 increasing to 16 late in the morning, then
                    increasing to 30 late in the morning increasing
                    to 45 early in the afternoon increasing to 58
                    decreasing to 48 late in the afternoon.
LVORI...............6.
Stability class.....2.

TIME (CDT)      6 AM   8 AM   10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM
Sky (%).........60     55     50     41     44     58
Weather cov.....PATCHY PATCHY               S CHC  S CHC
Weather type....FOG    FOG    NONE   NONE   RNSHWR RNSHWR
Tstm cov........                            S CHC  S CHC
Chc of pcpn (%).0      0      0      0      20     20
LAL.............1      1      1      1      2      2
Temp............66     69     78     84     88     87
RH..............100    100    76     61     50     50
20 FT wind dir..SE     SE     SE     SSE    S      S
20 FT wind spd..1      2      5      8      9      9
20 FT wind gust.2      5      8      13     15     16
Mix hgt (ft)....400    800    2100   3600   4000   5100
Mix hgt (m).....120    240    640    1100   1220   1550
Transp wind dir.SSE    SSE    SSE    S      S      S
Transp wind spd.5      5      7      9      12     12
Trans wind dir..SSE    SSE    SSE    S      S      S
Trans spd (m/s).2      2      3      4      5      5
Dispersion idx..2      6      19     45     58     48
LVORI...........10     8      3      1      1      1

$$
Forecaster...12
Requested by...Cliff Willis
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2412441.6/MOB
.DELDT 05/04/24
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL clifton.willis@usda.gov