Spot Forecast
Issued by NWS Charleston, WV

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FNUS71 KRLX 241908
FWSRLX

Spot Forecast for Long Ridge Unit 45...USDA/USFS
National Weather Service Charleston WV
308 PM EDT Sun Mar 24 2024

Forecast is based on ignition time of 1500 EDT on March 24.
If conditions become unrepresentative, contact the National Weather
Service.

.DISCUSSION...
Dry weather persists through Monday, with a warming trend, as
high pressure passes north of the area. Relative humidity
percentages have lowered into the teens to 20s this afternoon,
and are expected to reach low 20s again Monday afternoon.
Winds should remain relatively light for the rest of today,
but by Monday, gusty southeast winds are expected to develop
out ahead of an approaching system.

A wetting rain is likely Tuesday and Tuesday night.


.REST OF TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Sunny (0-10 percent).
CWR.................0 percent.
Chance of pcpn......0 percent.
LAL.................No Tstms.
Max temperature.....Around 52.
Min humidity........22 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........East winds around 7 mph.
Mixing height.......3300 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....East 10 to 12 mph.
LVORI...............1.
ADI.................41 to 45.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.

TIME (EDT)      3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........2   6   6
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
CWR.............0   0   0
Chc of pcpn (%).0   0   0
LAL.............1   1   1
Temp............49  51  52
RH..............23  22  22
20 FT wind dir..E   E   E
20 FT wind spd..7   7   7
20 FT wind gust.10  10  10
Mix hgt (kft)...3.3 3.3 3.2
Transp wind dir.E   E   E
Transp wind spd.10  12  12
LVORI...........1   1   1
ADI.............41  44  45
Haines index....5   5   5

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (25-35 percent).
CWR.................0 percent.
Chance of pcpn......0 percent.
LAL.................No Tstms.
Min temperature.....Around 35.
Max humidity........56 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........East winds 5 to 7 mph.
Mixing height.......400 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....East 7 to 10 mph.
LVORI...............3.
ADI.................3 to 7.
Haines Index........3 to 5 or very low to moderate potential for
                    large plume dominated fire growth.

TIME (EDT)      6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
Sky (%).........13  29  34  18  20  27  25  29  30  34  40  42
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
CWR.............0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
Chc of pcpn (%).0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
LAL.............1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1
Temp............52  49  45  42  40  39  38  38  38  37  36  36
RH..............24  28  34  38  40  43  48  50  53  54  55  56
20 FT wind dir..E   E   E   E   E   E   E   SE  SE  SE  SE  SE
20 FT wind spd..7   6   5   6   6   6   6   7   7   7   7   7
20 FT wind gust.8   7   6       7   7   8   8   8   10  8   8
Mix hgt (kft)...3.1 2.0 0.5 0.4 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5
Transp wind dir.E   E   E   E   E   E   E   SE  SE  SE  SE  SE
Transp wind spd.10  8   7   7   7   8   8   8   8   8   8   8
LVORI...........2   2   2   2   2   2   2   2   2   2   3   3
ADI.............7   4   3   3   3   5   5   5   5   5   5   7
Haines index....5   4   4   4   4   4   4   3   3   3   3   3

.MONDAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (40-50 percent).
CWR.................0 percent.
Chance of pcpn......0 percent.
LAL.................No Tstms.
Max temperature.....Around 68.
Min humidity........20 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Southeast winds 6 to 9 mph.
Mixing height.......3700 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southeast 8 to 16 mph increasing to 18 to 20
                    mph late in the afternoon.
LVORI...............2.
ADI.................8 early in the morning increasing to 69 in the
                    afternoon.
Haines Index........3 to 5 or very low to moderate potential for
                    large plume dominated fire growth.

TIME (EDT)      6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........43  49  54  50  53  45  52  38  44  35  35  38
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
CWR.............0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
Chc of pcpn (%).0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
LAL.............1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1
Temp............36  35  36  39  45  50  55  60  63  66  67  68
RH..............56  56  54  47  38  30  26  24  22  20  20  20
20 FT wind dir..SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE
20 FT wind spd..7   6   7   7   7   8   8   8   8   9   9   9
20 FT wind gust.8   7   8   10  10  11  11  12  12  13  14  14
Mix hgt (kft)...0.5 0.5 0.5 1.0 1.7 1.9 2.1 2.4 2.8 3.4 3.6 3.7
Transp wind dir.SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE
Transp wind spd.8   8   8   9   10  12  13  13  14  16  18  20
LVORI...........2   2   2   2   2   2   1   1   1   1   1   1
ADI.............8   8   8   10  22  27  32  37  43  56  66  69
Haines index....3   3   3   3   4   4   4   5   5   5   5   5

$$
Forecaster...JLB
Requested by...Jeremy Waite
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2408312.0/RLX
.DELDT 03/24/24
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL jeremy.waite@usda.gov


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