Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS San Angelo, TX

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000
FXUS64 KSJT 231125
AFDSJT

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service San Angelo TX
625 AM CDT Sat Mar 23 2024

...New AVIATION...

.SHORT TERM...
(Today and tonight)
Issued at 421 AM CDT Sat Mar 23 2024

With the low pressure system well off to the east now, we will
largely be under westerly flow aloft today. This will largely
leave a benign weather pattern in place. A weak frontal passage
will leave today a touch cooler than Friday. Highs will be in the
upper 60s to lower 70s. Expect winds to switch to more of a
southerly direction by the later part of this afternoon. Some
minor wind gusts are also possible by the afternoon.

&&

.LONG TERM...
(Sunday through Friday)
Issued at 257 AM CDT Sat Mar 23 2024

Not much has changed in the forecast for the longer term, with the
best chance of storms coming Sunday night.

Dryline shifts east into the area on Sunday afternoon with gusty
southwest winds following in its wake. Aloft cap is strong and
doesn`t appear like instability will be enough to overcomes it.
Dryline shifts back west, likely back west of a San Angelo to
Abilene line. Pacific front overtakes the dryline and this may be
enough to break the cap and get convection going. Best chances
will be across the Heartland and Hill Country mainly late in the
evening and into the early morning hours on Monday.

Cooler on Monday behind the Pacific front, and then even cooler on
Tuesday as another front moves south into the area and bring a
little cooler air mass into the area. Next shortwaves drops into
the trough and across the ares on Wednesday and brings a slight
chance of showers and storms into the Big Country and Heartland.

Warming trend starts on Thursday with readings climbing well back
into the 80s for the weekend.

&&

.AVIATION...
(12Z TAFS)
Issued at 622 AM CDT Sat Mar 23 2024

A brief period of MVFR conditions are possible across the region
on Saturday morning. Current (as of 1120z) ASOS readings show
MVFR conditions at KSJT, and another patch of MVFR conditions not
too far away from KJCT. Intermittent MVFR conditions will
probably continue through 15z. Otherwise, breezy conditions may
develop across some of the terminals Saturday afternoon and
evening.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Abilene     70  57  77  50 /   0   0  10  40
San Angelo  74  55  78  47 /   0   0   0  40
Junction    76  52  75  52 /   0   0   0  70
Brownwood   69  54  72  52 /   0   0   0  60
Sweetwater  70  57  78  49 /   0   0  10  10
Ozona       73  52  76  46 /   0   0   0  30
Brady       70  55  72  52 /   0   0   0  70

&&

.SJT WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...41
LONG TERM....07
AVIATION...41


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