Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Tucson, AZ
Issued by NWS Tucson, AZ
843
FNUS55 KTWC 022203
FWFTWC
Fire Weather Planning Forecast for Southeast Arizona
National Weather Service Tucson AZ
303 PM MST Thu May 2 2024
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20-FOOT WIND FORECAST OF `LIGHT WINDS` INDICATES MAINLY
TERRAIN DRIVEN WINDS
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.DISCUSSION...High temperatures will remain above normal through
the remainder of the week. 20-ft winds will generally remain less
than 15 mph through Saturday. Min RHs in the valleys continue to be
in the single digits to the low teens for the lower valleys with
values in the teens to lower twenties for the mountains. A dry
weather system will be passing on Sunday to bring dry and windy
conditions in the afternoon. The combination of dry, windy, and warm
conditions will put areas from Sells eastward near critical to
critical fire weather conditions Sunday afternoon. Next week, winds
will return to the typical afternoon breeziness of 10 to 15 mph.
AZZ150-031300-
Arizona Fire Weather Zone 150
Sonoran FDRA-Most of Pima County-South Central Pinal County-
Tohono O`odham Nation-Tucson Metropolitan area-TDC-
303 PM MST Thu May 2 2024
.TONIGHT...
* Sky/Weather..............Mostly clear.
* Min Temperature..........52 to 62 degs.
* 24 hr Trend...........Little change.
* Max Humidity.............44 to 54 pct.
* 24 hr Trend...........Up 2 to 5 pct.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..Southwest around 15 mph shifting to the
south after midnight.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........South 10 to 15 mph.
* Chance of Precip.........0 pct.
* LAL......................1.
* Haines Index.............4 or low.
.FRIDAY...
* Sky/Weather..............Sunny.
* Max Temperature..........83 to 93 degs.
* 24 hr Trend...........Little change.
* Min Humidity.............10 to 20 pct.
* 24 hr Trend...........Little change.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..South around 10 mph shifting to the
southwest in the afternoon.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........South 10 to 15 mph.
* Chance of Precip.........0 pct.
* LAL......................1.
* Haines Index.............4 or low.
* Mixing Height............11335 ft agl.
* Transport Winds..........South 11 to 12 knots.
* Ventilation Category.....Excellent (136020 knot-ft).
.FRIDAY NIGHT...
* Sky/Weather..............Mostly clear.
* Min Temperature..........52 to 62 degs.
* 24 hr Trend...........Little change.
* Max Humidity.............39 to 49 pct.
* 24 hr Trend...........Down 5 to 9 pct.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..Southwest around 15 mph shifting to the
south after midnight.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........South 10 to 15 mph.
* Chance of Precip.........0 pct.
* LAL......................1.
* Haines Index.............5 or moderate.
.SATURDAY...
* Sky/Weather..............Mostly sunny.
* Max Temperature..........84 to 94 degs.
* 24 hr Trend...........Little change.
* Min Humidity.............8 to 18 pct.
* 24 hr Trend...........Down 1 to 4 pct.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..South 10 to 15 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........Southwest 10 to 15 mph.
* Chance of Precip.........0 pct.
* LAL......................1.
* Haines Index.............5 or moderate.
* Mixing Height............10855 ft agl.
* Transport Winds..........South 13 to 15 knots.
* Ventilation Category.....Excellent (162825 knot-ft).
.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
WINDS IN DAYS 3 THROUGH 5 ARE SURFACE 20 FT/10-MIN AVG
.SUNDAY...Mostly clear. Lows 52 to 62. Highs 80 to 90. Southwest
wind around 30 mph. Minimum Humidity 13 to 23 pct.
.MONDAY...Clear. Lows 49 to 59. Highs 79 to 89. Southwest wind
around 15 mph. Minimum Humidity 9 to 18 pct.
.TUESDAY...Clear. Lows 50 to 60. Highs 82 to 92. Southwest wind
around 15 mph. Minimum Humidity 7 to 17 pct.
.WEDNESDAY...Clear. Lows 52 to 62. Highs 83 to 93.
.THURSDAY...Mostly clear. Lows 52 to 62. Highs 83 to 93.
NOTE TO USERS - ZONE 150 VENTILATION CATEGORY...MIXING HEIGHT AND
TRANSPORT WINDS ARE BASED ON THE TUCSON INTERNATIONAL AIRPORT
LOCATION (2550 MSL)
$$
AZZ151-031300-
Arizona Fire Weather Zone 151
Western half Desert Grasslands FDRA including elevations up to
5500 feet in Southeast corner of Pinal County-
Extreme Eastern Pima County-Western third of Cochise County-
Santa Cruz County-TDC-
303 PM MST Thu May 2 2024
.TONIGHT...
* Sky/Weather..............Clear.
* Min Temperature..........46 to 56 degs.
* 24 hr Trend...........Little change.
* Max Humidity.............48 to 58 pct.
* 24 hr Trend...........Up 1 to 4 pct.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..Southwest 10 to 15 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........Southwest 10 to 15 mph.
* Chance of Precip.........0 pct.
* LAL......................1.
* Haines Index.............4 or low.
.FRIDAY...
* Sky/Weather..............Sunny.
* Max Temperature..........78 to 88 degs.
* 24 hr Trend...........Up 1 to 4 degs.
* Min Humidity.............8 to 16 pct.
* 24 hr Trend...........Little change.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..Southeast around 15 mph shifting to the
southwest in the afternoon.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........Southwest 10 to 15 mph.
* Chance of Precip.........0 pct.
* LAL......................1.
* Haines Index.............4 or low.
* Mixing Height............9345 ft agl.
* Transport Winds..........South 11 to 14 knots.
* Ventilation Category.....Excellent (130830 knot-ft).
.FRIDAY NIGHT...
* Sky/Weather..............Mostly clear.
* Min Temperature..........47 to 57 degs.
* 24 hr Trend...........Little change.
* Max Humidity.............40 to 50 pct.
* 24 hr Trend...........Down 6 to 10 pct.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..Southwest 10 to 15 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........Southwest 10 to 15 mph.
* Chance of Precip.........0 pct.
* LAL......................1.
* Haines Index.............4 or low.
.SATURDAY...
* Sky/Weather..............Mostly sunny.
* Max Temperature..........78 to 88 degs.
* 24 hr Trend...........Little change.
* Min Humidity.............8 to 14 pct.
* 24 hr Trend...........Little change.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..South around 10 mph increasing to
southwest around 20 mph in the afternoon.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........Southwest 10 to 15 mph.
* Chance of Precip.........0 pct.
* LAL......................1.
* Haines Index.............5 or moderate.
* Mixing Height............9301 ft agl.
* Transport Winds..........South 11 to 17 knots.
* Ventilation Category.....Excellent (158117 knot-ft).
.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
WINDS IN DAYS 3 THROUGH 5 ARE SURFACE 20 FT/10-MIN AVG
.SUNDAY...Clear. Patchy blowing dust. Lows 46 to 56. Highs 78 to
88. Southwest wind around 30 mph. Minimum Humidity 9 to 17 pct.
.MONDAY...Clear. Lows 44 to 54. Highs 75 to 85. Southwest wind
around 15 mph. Minimum Humidity 12 to 19 pct.
.TUESDAY...Clear. Lows 45 to 55. Highs 78 to 88. Southwest wind
around 15 mph. Minimum Humidity 9 to 14 pct.
.WEDNESDAY...Clear. Lows 47 to 57. Highs 79 to 89.
.THURSDAY...Mostly clear. Lows 47 to 57. Highs 79 to 89.
NOTE TO USERS - ZONE 151 VENTILATION CATEGORY...MIXING HEIGHT AND
TRANSPORT WINDS ARE BASED ON THE BUENOS AIRES N.W.R. LOCATION
(3500 MSL)
$$
AZZ152-031300-
Arizona Fire Weather Zone 152
Eastern half Desert Grasslands FDRA including elevations up to
5500 feet in Southwest Graham County and Eastern two thirds of
Cochise County-Southern San Carlos Reservation-
Southern Greenlee County below 5000 feet-TDC-
303 PM MST Thu May 2 2024
.TONIGHT...
* Sky/Weather..............Mostly clear.
* Min Temperature..........46 to 56 degs.
* 24 hr Trend...........Down 2 to 5 degs.
* Max Humidity.............38 to 48 pct.
* 24 hr Trend...........Little change.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..West 10 to 15 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........Southwest 10 to 15 mph.
* Chance of Precip.........0 pct.
* LAL......................1.
* Haines Index.............4 or low.
.FRIDAY...
* Sky/Weather..............Sunny.
* Max Temperature..........78 to 88 degs.
* 24 hr Trend...........Little change.
* Min Humidity.............9 to 19 pct.
* 24 hr Trend...........Little change.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..South around 10 mph shifting to the
southwest in the afternoon.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........Southwest 10 to 15 mph.
* Chance of Precip.........0 pct.
* LAL......................1.
* Haines Index.............5 or moderate.
* Mixing Height............11479 ft agl.
* Transport Winds..........Southwest 10 to 16 knots.
* Ventilation Category.....Excellent (183664 knot-ft).
.FRIDAY NIGHT...
* Sky/Weather..............Mostly clear.
* Min Temperature..........47 to 57 degs.
* 24 hr Trend...........Little change.
* Max Humidity.............32 to 42 pct.
* 24 hr Trend...........Down 3 to 7 pct.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..Southwest 10 to 15 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........Southwest 10 to 15 mph.
* Chance of Precip.........0 pct.
* LAL......................1.
* Haines Index.............5 or moderate.
.SATURDAY...
* Sky/Weather..............Partly cloudy then becoming mostly
sunny.
* Max Temperature..........79 to 89 degs.
* 24 hr Trend...........Little change.
* Min Humidity.............7 to 16 pct.
* 24 hr Trend...........Down 1 to 4 pct.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..South around 10 mph increasing to
southwest around 20 mph in the afternoon.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........South 10 to 15 mph.
* Chance of Precip.........0 pct.
* LAL......................1.
* Haines Index.............5 or moderate.
* Mixing Height............11508 ft agl.
* Transport Winds..........Southwest 11 to 19 knots.
* Ventilation Category.....Excellent (218652 knot-ft).
.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
WINDS IN DAYS 3 THROUGH 5 ARE SURFACE 20 FT/10-MIN AVG
.SUNDAY...Mostly clear. Patchy blowing dust. Lows 46 to 56. Highs
79 to 89. Southwest wind around 30 mph. Minimum Humidity 7 to
16 pct.
.MONDAY...Clear. Lows 45 to 55. Highs 76 to 86. West wind around
20 mph. Minimum Humidity 10 to 18 pct.
.TUESDAY...Clear. Lows 45 to 55. Highs 78 to 88. West wind around
20 mph. Minimum Humidity 8 to 14 pct.
.WEDNESDAY...Clear. Lows 46 to 56. Highs 79 to 89.
.THURSDAY...Mostly clear. Lows 46 to 56. Highs 79 to 89.
NOTE TO USERS - ZONE 152 VENTILATION CATEGORY...MIXING HEIGHT AND
TRANSPORT WINDS ARE BASED ON THE CHIRICAHUA N.M. LOCATION (5400 MSL)
$$
AZZ153-031300-
Arizona Fire Weather Zone 153
Northern Graham County-Northern Greenlee County-
White and Gila Mountains-Apache Sitgreaves NF-
Southern San Carlos Reservation above 5000 feet-SDC-
303 PM MST Thu May 2 2024
.TONIGHT...
* Sky/Weather..............Mostly clear.
* Min Temperature..........42 to 52 degs.
* 24 hr Trend...........Little change.
* Max Humidity.............36 to 46 pct.
* 24 hr Trend...........Little change.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..Northwest 10 to 15 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........West 15 to 20 mph.
* Chance of Precip.........0 pct.
* LAL......................1.
* Haines Index.............5 or moderate.
.FRIDAY...
* Sky/Weather..............Mostly sunny.
* Max Temperature..........67 to 77 degs.
* 24 hr Trend...........Little change.
* Min Humidity.............11 to 21 pct.
* 24 hr Trend...........Little change.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..Southwest 10 to 15 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........Southwest 10 to 15 mph.
* Chance of Precip.........0 pct.
* LAL......................1.
* Haines Index.............5 or moderate.
* Mixing Height............9547 ft agl.
* Transport Winds..........West 11 to 14 knots.
* Ventilation Category.....Excellent (133658 knot-ft).
.FRIDAY NIGHT...
* Sky/Weather..............Mostly clear.
* Min Temperature..........43 to 53 degs.
* 24 hr Trend...........Little change.
* Max Humidity.............35 to 45 pct.
* 24 hr Trend...........Little change.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..Northwest 10 to 15 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........Southwest 10 to 15 mph.
* Chance of Precip.........0 pct.
* LAL......................1.
* Haines Index.............4 or low.
.SATURDAY...
* Sky/Weather..............Mostly sunny.
* Max Temperature..........68 to 78 degs.
* 24 hr Trend...........Little change.
* Min Humidity.............9 to 18 pct.
* 24 hr Trend...........Down 1 to 4 pct.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..Southeast around 10 mph shifting to the
southwest in the afternoon.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........South 10 to 15 mph.
* Chance of Precip.........0 pct.
* LAL......................1.
* Haines Index.............5 or moderate.
* Mixing Height............10306 ft agl.
* Transport Winds..........South 10 to 17 knots.
* Ventilation Category.....Excellent (175202 knot-ft).
.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
WINDS IN DAYS 3 THROUGH 5 ARE SURFACE 20 FT/10-MIN AVG
.SUNDAY...Mostly clear. Lows 42 to 52. Highs 67 to 77. Southwest
wind around 30 mph. Minimum Humidity 9 to 19 pct.
.MONDAY...Clear. Lows 40 to 50. Highs 65 to 75. West wind around
20 mph. Minimum Humidity 11 to 20 pct.
.TUESDAY...Clear. Lows 39 to 49. Highs 67 to 77. West wind around
20 mph. Minimum Humidity 9 to 16 pct.
.WEDNESDAY...Clear. Lows 41 to 51. Highs 68 to 78.
.THURSDAY...Mostly clear. Lows 40 to 50. Highs 68 to 78.
NOTE TO USERS - ZONE 153 VENTILATION CATEGORY...MIXING HEIGHT AND
TRANSPORT WINDS ARE BASED ON THE POINT OF PINES LOCATION (6040 MSL)
$$
AZZ154-031300-
Arizona Fire Weather Zone 154
Forest Woodlands FDRA including the Sky Islands of Southeast
Arizona above 5500 feet-Coronado NF-TDC-
303 PM MST Thu May 2 2024
.TONIGHT...
* Sky/Weather..............Mostly clear.
* Min Temperature..........44 to 54 degs.
* 24 hr Trend...........Little change.
* Max Humidity.............38 to 48 pct.
* 24 hr Trend...........Down 4 to 8 pct.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..West 15 to 20 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........Southwest 10 to 15 mph.
* Chance of Precip.........0 pct.
* LAL......................1.
* Haines Index.............4 or low.
.FRIDAY...
* Sky/Weather..............Sunny.
* Max Temperature..........68 to 78 degs.
* 24 hr Trend...........Up 1 to 4 degs.
* Min Humidity.............10 to 20 pct.
* 24 hr Trend...........Down 1 to 4 pct.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..Southwest 15 to 20 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........Southwest 10 to 15 mph.
* Chance of Precip.........0 pct.
* LAL......................1.
* Haines Index.............5 or moderate.
* Mixing Height............11850 ft agl.
* Transport Winds..........Southwest 11 to 17 knots.
* Ventilation Category.....Excellent (165900 knot-ft).
.FRIDAY NIGHT...
* Sky/Weather..............Mostly clear.
* Min Temperature..........45 to 55 degs.
* 24 hr Trend...........Little change.
* Max Humidity.............30 to 40 pct.
* 24 hr Trend...........Down 6 to 10 pct.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..West 10 to 15 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........Southwest 10 to 15 mph.
* Chance of Precip.........0 pct.
* LAL......................1.
* Haines Index.............5 or moderate.
.SATURDAY...
* Sky/Weather..............Mostly sunny.
* Max Temperature..........68 to 78 degs.
* 24 hr Trend...........Little change.
* Min Humidity.............8 to 17 pct.
* 24 hr Trend...........Little change.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..Southwest 15 to 20 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........Southwest 10 to 15 mph.
* Chance of Precip.........0 pct.
* LAL......................1.
* Haines Index.............5 or moderate.
* Mixing Height............11855 ft agl.
* Transport Winds..........Southwest 13 to 20 knots.
* Ventilation Category.....Excellent (195607 knot-ft).
.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
WINDS IN DAYS 3 THROUGH 5 ARE SURFACE 20 FT/10-MIN AVG
.SUNDAY...Clear. Lows 44 to 54. Highs 68 to 78. Southwest wind
around 30 mph. Minimum Humidity 8 to 18 pct.
.MONDAY...Clear. Lows 42 to 52. Highs 66 to 76. West wind around
20 mph. Minimum Humidity 13 to 23 pct.
.TUESDAY...Clear. Lows 42 to 52. Highs 68 to 78. Southwest wind
around 20 mph. Minimum Humidity 10 to 18 pct.
.WEDNESDAY...Clear. Lows 44 to 54. Highs 69 to 79.
.THURSDAY...Mostly clear. Lows 44 to 54. Highs 70 to 80.
NOTE TO USERS - ZONE 154 VENTILATION CATEGORY...MIXING HEIGHT AND
TRANSPORT WINDS ARE BASED ON THE AVERAGE ACROSS THE ZONE
$$
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