Drought Information Statement
Issued by NWS Dodge City, KS

Home | Current Version | Previous Version | Text Only | Print | Product List | Glossary On
Versions: 1
000
AXUS73 KDDC 071800 CCA
DGTDDC

DROUGHT INFORMATION STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DODGE CITY KS
100 PM CDT MON APR 7 2014

...WORSENING DROUGHT EXPANDS EAST...

OVERVIEW...

THE LATEST DROUGHT MONITOR ISSUED BY THE U.S. DEPARTMENT OF
AGRICULTURE ON APRIL 1ST SHOWS A CONTINUING DROUGHT ACROSS MUCH OF
SOUTHWEST AND SOUTH CENTRAL KANSAS. AREAS ALONG AND WEST FROM SCOTT
COUNTY TO SEWARD COUNTY ARE IN D3 (EXTREME) DROUGHT. AREAS EAST OF
THIS LINE ARE IN D2 (SEVERE) DROUGHT CONDITIONS. YEARLY
PRECIPITATION DEFICITS ARE 2.28 INCHES AT GARDEN CITY...2.04 INCHES
AT DODGE CITY...AND 2.98 INCHES AT MEDICINE LODGE. THESE VALUES ARE
REPRESENTATIVE OF THE REST OF THE REGION.

CURRENT ENSO STATE...

EQUATORIAL SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES ARE NEAR NEUTRAL ACROSS THE
PACIFIC OCEAN. MODELS SUGGEST THAT ENSO NEUTRAL CONDITIONS WILL
CONTINUE THROUGH SPRING 2014. THERE IS INCREASING CONFIDENCE OF EL
NINO CONDITIONS STARTING THIS SUMMER AND AN EL NINO WATCH HAS BEEN
ISSUED BY CPC. SOME LOCAL RESEARCH SUGGESTS THE POTENTIAL FOR COOLER
AND WETTER CONDITIONS DURING THE SUMMER IN ASSOCIATION WITH EL NINO
ACROSS SOUTHWEST KANSAS...HOWEVER...OTHER ATMOSPHERIC CIRCULATIONS
COULD POTENTIALLY LEAD TO DIFFERENT RESULTS. THE NET RESULT IS A LOW
CONFIDENCE FORECAST IN TEMPERATURE AND PRECIPITATION TRENDS OVER THE
NEXT THREE MONTHS.

HYDROLOGIC IMPACTS...

CURRENTLY THERE IS NO WATER FLOWING IN THE STREAM AND CREEK BEDS
FOR THE LOCATIONS IMPACTED BY THIS DROUGHT. ANY ADDITIONAL FLOWS
ALONG THE ARKANSAS RIVER IN EXTREME WESTERN KANSAS ARE THE RESULT OF
RELEASES FROM JOHN MARTIN RESERVOIR.

FIRE DANGER IMPACTS...

FUELS ARE VERY SUPPORTIVE FOR ACTIVE FIRE BEHAVIOR WITH CONTINUED
WILDFIRE ISSUES.

AGRICULTURAL IMPACTS...

SOIL MOISTURE DEFICITS ARE NEAR 1.1 INCHES FOR WESTERN KANSAS PER
CPC THROUGH MARCH 2014. WHEAT IS STARTING TO SHOW SIGNS OF DROUGHT
STRESS. NO SIGNIFICANT ECONOMIC IMPACTS HAVE BEEN NOTED SO FAR...BUT
UNLESS DROUGHT CONDITIONS CHANGE...THE PRICE PER BUSHEL COULD
INCREASE OVER THE FEW MONTHS.

OUTLOOK...

THE DROUGHT IS EXPECTED TO PERSIST OR CONTINUE TO WORSEN OVER THE
NEXT MONTH AS COOL AND RELATIVELY DRY CONDITIONS PERSIST. THERE MAY
BE SOME IMPROVEMENT DURING THE LATE SPRING TO EARLY SUMMER PERIOD AS
WE ENTER OUR WETTER MONTHS. IMPROVEMENT COULD BE SPOTTY WITH HIT OR
MISS THUNDERSTORMS DURING THE WARM SEASON.

$$





USA.gov is the U.S. government's official web portal to all federal, state and local government web resources and services.