Drought Information Statement
Issued by NWS Atlanta, GA

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AXUS72 KFFC 231545
DGTFFC
GAC009-011-013-015-021-023-035-045-047-053-055-057-059-063-067-077-
079-081-083-085-089-091-093-097-107-111-113-115-117-121-123-125-129-
133-135-139-141-143-145-149-151-153-157-159-163-167-169-171-175-187-
193-195-197-199-207-209-211-213-215-217-219-221-223-225-227-231-233-
235-237-247-249-255-259-261-263-265-269-271-279-281-283-285-289-291-
293-295-297-301-303-307-309-311-313-315-317-319-242300-

DROUGHT INFORMATION STATEMENT FOR NORTH AND CENTRAL GEORGIA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PEACHTREE CITY GA
1045 AM EDT WED NOV 23 2016

...EXCEPTIONAL DROUGHT EXPANDS ACROSS MORE OF NORTH GEORGIA...
...A SEVERE TO EXTREME DROUGHT CONTINUES OVER MOST OF CENTRAL
   GEORGIA...

ONLY A FEW LIGHT SHOWERS DEVELOPED ACROSS EXTREME NORTH AND
PPORTIONS OF EAST CENTRAL GEORGIA DURING THE PAST 14 DAYS. WELL
BELOW NORMAL RAINFALL OF LESS THAN ONE QUARTER OF AN INCH OCCURRED.
A FEW LOCATIONS EAST OF ATHENS TO NEAR AUGUSTA RECEIVED A HALF INCH
OF RAIN.  MOST OF NORTH AND CENTRAL GEORGIA RECEIVED NO RAIN AT ALL.
RAINFALL DEFICITS CONTINUED TO GRADUALLY WORSEN IN ALL AREAS DURING
THE PAST SIX MONTHS.

DUE TO RECENT ABNORMALLY WARM TEMPERATURES IN THE 70S WITH HIGH
EVAPORATION RATES...THE SOIL MOISTURE CONTINUED TO DECLINE ACROSS
NORTH AND CENTRAL GEORGIA DURING THE PAST TWO WEEKS. CONSEQUENTLY...
THE EXCEPTIONAL DROUGHT EXPANDED ACROSS MORE OF NORTH GEORGIA MAINLY
FROM TRENTON TO CLAYTON AND WASHINGTON TO MACON AND COLUMBUS.  THIS
INCLUDES THE ATLANTA METRO AREA.  A SEVERE TO EXTREME DROUGHT
CONTINUES TO OVER ALL OF CENTRAL GEORGIA.

SOME SIGNIFICANT HYDROLOGICAL IMPACTS TO WATER SUPPLY ARE OCCURRING
OR DEVELOPING AND STREAM FLOWS AND GROUND WATER TABLES ARE DECLINING
OVER ALL OF NORTH AND CENTRAL GEORGIA. THIS INCLUDES THE LAKE LANIER
POOL ELEVATION WHICH HAS FALLEN ALMOST ANOTHER FOOT DURING THE PAST
TWO WEEKS.

SEE HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/FFC/RAINDEF FOR THE LATEST U.S. DROUGHT
MONITOR IMAGE AND OTHER DROUGHT RELATED INFORMATION.

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CLIMATE IMPACTS

GENERALLY ZERO TO 25 PERCENT OF NORMAL RAINFALL OCCURRED OVER NORTH
AND CENTRAL GEORGIA DURING THE PAST 14 DAYS.

LOCATION   TOTAL RAINFALL    NORMAL    DEPARTURE     PERCENT
            LAST 180 DAYS    VALUE     FROM NORMAL   OF NORMAL

ATLANTA         13.57        24.46      -10.89         55%
ATHENS          17.53        22.91       -5.38         77%
COLUMBUS         9.15        21.27      -12.12         43%
MACON            8.64        22.35      -13.71         39%
CARTERSVILLE    13.82        22.87       -9.05         60%
NE ATLANTA      12.22        25.77      -13.55         47%
WEST ATLANTA     9.79        25.04      -15.25         39%
GAINESVILLE     10.82        25.68      -14.86         42%
PEACHTREE CITY   8.66        23.95      -15.29         36%
ROME            10.40        23.77      -13.37         44%

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RESERVOIRS/STREAM LEVELS

CURRENT LAKE LEVELS AT USACE PROJECTS WERE MAINLY BELOW SEASONAL
POOL LEVELS FROM NEAR 3 FEET AT WEST POINT TO NEAR 12 FEET AT
CARTERS.  THE EXCEPTION WAS AROUND 4.5 FEET ABOVE NORMAL AT
ALLATOONA.  THE POOL LEVELS ARE PROJECTED TO SLOWLY FALL DURING
THE NEXT FOUR WEEKS DUE TO THE LACK OF EXPECTED RAIN AND
DROPPING TO WINTER POOL LEVELS BY DECEMBER 15.  THE USACE DOES
THIS ANNUALLY TO PROVIDE FLOOD STORAGE THROUGH THE SPRING.

LAKE       SEASONAL POOL  CURRENT LEVEL    DEPARTURE
                                           IN FEET
ALLATOONA       828          832.73         +4.73
CARTERS        1073         1060.89        -12.11
HARTWELL        657          650.00         -7.00
LANIER         1070         1060.99         -9.01
THURMOND        327          320.04         -6.96
WEST POINT      630          626.62         -3.38

AVERAGE STREAM LEVELS FOR THE PAST 7 DAYS WERE GENERALLY 1 TO 29
PERCENT OF NORMAL FLOW IN MOST OF NORTH AND CENTRAL GEORGIA DUE TO
AREAS OF RECENT RAINFALL OR THE LACK THEREOF. SEVERAL LOW WATER
RECORDS ARE BEING ESTABLISHED ESPECIALLY IN NORTH GEORGIA.

PLEASE NOTE THAT CREEKS AND SMALLER RIVERS CAN CHANGE QUICKLY DUE TO
RUNOFF FROM HEAVY RAIN IF IT OCCURS.

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FIRE DANGER LEVELS

THE LATEST FIRE DANGER ASSESSMENT INDICATES A HIGH TO EXTREME
RISK ACROSS NORTH AND CENTRAL GEORGIA. THIS IS DUE TO ALL FUEL
MOISTURES BEING CRITICALLY DRY. THESE CONDITIONS WILL ALLOW ANY
WILDFIRE THAT STARTS TO QUICKLY SPREAD.

PLEASE NOTE THAT THIS ASSESSMENT CAN CHANGE RAPIDLY DUE TO CHANGES
IN MOISTURE LEVELS AND RAINFALL RECEIVED.

--------------------------------------------------------------------
TEMPERATURE AND PRECIPITATION OUTLOOK

FOR DECEMBER...THE OUTLOOK FOR NORTH AND CENTRAL GEORGIA...NEAR
EQUAL CHANCES OF ABOVE OR BELOW NORMAL TEMPERATURES ARE FORECAST.
NO SPECIFIC TREND INDICATED. BELOW NORMAL RAINFALL IS EXPECTED. THE
DROUGHT CONDITIONS WILL PERSIST OR WORSEN.

90 DAY OUTLOOK...FOR DECEMBER THROUGH FEBRUARY...ABOVE NORMAL
TEMPERATURES AND BELOW NORMAL RAINFALL IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE.

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THIS DATA WAS FURNISHED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN
COOPERATION WITH THE U.S. GEOLOGICAL SURVEY...THE GEORGIA STATE
CLIMATOLOGIST IN ATLANTA...THE GEORGIA ENVIRONMENTAL PROTECTION
DIVISION...AND THE U.S. ARMY CORPS OF ENGINEERS. CURRENT FIRE DANGER
ASSESSMENTS WERE PROVIDED BY THE GEORGIA FORESTRY COMMISSION.

THE NEXT DROUGHT INFORMATION STATEMENT IS SCHEDULED FOR WEDNESDAY
...DECEMBER 8 2016.

$$

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