Flood Potential Outlook
Issued by NWS Wilmington, OH

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WINTER/SPRING FLOOD POTENTIAL OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON OH
1110 AM EDT THU MAR 20 2014

...SPRING FLOOD POTENTIAL OUTLOOK...

...FLOOD POTENTIAL THROUGH APRIL 3RD IS NEAR NORMAL...

THIS OUTLOOK IS THE SIXTH IN A BIWEEKLY SERIES OF OUTLOOKS FOR
THE WINTER AND EARLY SPRING.

NORMAL FLOOD POTENTIAL MEANS AT LEAST SOME MINOR FLOODING IS
POSSIBLE. ABOVE NORMAL FLOOD POTENTIAL MEANS AT LEAST A CHANCE OF
MORE WIDESPREAD FLOODING WITH SOME POINTS POSSIBLY REACHING
MODERATE OR MAJOR FLOOD LEVELS.

THE FLOOD OUTLOOK IS ISSUED BY LOCAL NWS OFFICES IN WINTER AND
EARLY SPRING TO SUMMARIZE BASIN CONDITIONS AND TO ASSESS THE
POTENTIAL FOR FLOODING. THE OUTLOOKS ARE BASED ON CURRENT AND
FORECAST HYDROMETEOROLOGICAL CONDITIONS.

THE FACTORS CONSIDERED WHEN DETERMINING FLOOD POTENTIAL INCLUDE
CURRENT STREAMFLOW AND RESERVOIR LEVELS COMPARED TO NORMAL FOR
THE PERIOD...WATER EQUIVALENT IN ANY SNOW PACK...SOIL MOISTURE
AND EXPECTED PRECIPITATION.

...SNOW COVER AND SNOW WATER EQUIVALENT...
THERE IS NO LONGER A SNOWPACK OVER THE AREA.

...STREAMFLOW...
STREAMFLOW VALUES WERE NEAR NORMAL FOR MID MARCH...WITH SOME
LOCATIONS EVEN SLIGHTLY BELOW NORMAL...BASED ON THE 14-DAY MEAN
STREAMFLOW FROM THE U.S. GEOLOGICAL SURVEY.

...ICE...
NO ICE ACCUMULATION EXISTS ON AREA RIVERS.

...SOIL MOISTURE...
SOILS WERE NEARLY SATURATED THROUGH THE AREA...OPTIMIZING ANY
FUTURE RUNOFF.

...RESERVOIR CAPACITY... AREA RESERVOIRS ARE EITHER AT OR EVEN
BELOW WINTER POOL...ALLOWING FOR A GREATER FLOOD CONTROL CAPACITY.

...WEATHER TRENDS AND PRECIPITATION...
FOR THE FIRST WEEK OF THE OUTLOOK PERIOD...ONLY LIGHT
PRECIPITATION AMOUNTS ARE EXPECTED. THERE IS NOT CURRENTLY A
PROJECTED RAIN EVENT SIGNIFICANT ENOUGH TO PROMPT FLOOD CONCERNS.

THE 8-14 DAY OUTLOOK FOR WEEK TWO OF THE OUTLOOK PERIOD IS
FOR BELOW NORMAL TEMPERATURES AND ABOVE NORMAL PRECIPITATION.

REAL TIME RIVER INFORMATION AND FORECASTS FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS
ALONG RIVERS ACROSS CENTRAL AND SOUTHERN OHIO...NORTHERN KENTUCKY
AND SOUTHEAST INDIANA CAN BE FOUND AT (ALL IN LOWERCASE):
WEATHER.GOV/ILN/ AND THEN CLICK ON THE RIVERS AND LAKES TAB.


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