Flood Potential Outlook
Issued by NWS St. Louis, MO

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HYDROLOGIC OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ST LOUIS MO
436 AM CST TUE MAR 8 2016

...HEAVY RAINFALL AND FLOODING POSSIBLE THIS WEEK...

A PROLONGED PERIOD OF MODERATE-HEAVY RAINFALL IS POSSIBLE FOR
PARTS OF THE AREA THIS WEEK...MAINLY FROM WEDNESDAY THROUGH
THURSDAY. RAINFALL AMOUNTS FOR THIS TIME PERIOD FOR NEARLY THE
ENTIRE AREA ARE EXPECTED TO BE IN THE 2-4 INCH RANGE WITH LOCALLY
HIGHER AMOUNTS POSSIBLE. THERE IS STILL SOME UNCERTAINTY AS TO
WHERE THE HEAVIEST RAINFALL TOTALS WILL OCCUR...BUT IT CURRENTLY
APPEARS THAT SOUTHEAST AND EAST CENTRAL MISSOURI MAY HAVE THE
GREATEST AMOUNTS OF 3 TO 4 INCHES.

CHANCES OF MEASURABLE RAINFALL CONTINUE THROUGH THE WEEKEND WITH
ADDITIONAL AMOUNTS OF 1-2 INCHES POSSIBLE. HOWEVER...FORECAST
UNCERTAINTY IS HIGHER FOR LATE THIS WEEK INTO THE WEEKEND.

THE SOIL MOISTURE ACROSS THE REGION IS ABOVE AVERAGE...WHILE
LOCAL RIVERS AND CREEKS ARE AT NEAR NORMAL LEVELS AND FLOW. THERE
ALSO REMAINS A LACK OF VEGETATION AS WE TRANSITION OUT OF THE
WINTER SEASON...WHICH INCREASES THE POTENTIAL FOR RUNOFF FROM
EXCESSIVE RAINFALL. THESE ANTECEDENT CONDITIONS...COMBINED WITH
THE POTENTIAL OF VERY HIGH RAINFALL TOTALS...COULD LEAD TO RIVER
FLOODING AS WELL AS FLASH FLOODING IN FLOOD PRONE AREAS.

THOSE WITH INTERESTS ALONG AREA RIVERS SHOULD STAY TUNED TO THE
LATEST WEATHER AND RIVER FORECASTS FROM THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE IN ST. LOUIS.

$$

GKS



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