Flood Potential Outlook
Issued by NWS Newport/Morehead, NC
FGUS72 KMHX 181802 CCA
National Weather Service Newport/Morehead City NC
418 PM EST Fri Feb 17 2017
...THE SPRING FLOOD OUTLOOK CALLS FOR NORMAL POTENTIAL OF RIVER
FLOODING ACROSS NORTH CAROLINA THROUGH EARLY SPRING...
Each winter and early spring, The National Weather Service office
in Newport/Morehead City, NC issues a series of flood potential
outlooks. These outlooks estimate the potential for river
flooding across the Newport/Morehead City forecast office`s
Hydrologic Service Area (HSA). The outlook is based on the
current assessment of hydrometeorological factors which contribute
to river flooding. These factors include, but are not limited to
recent precipitation, soil moisture, snow cover and snow water
equivalent, stream flows, and expected future weather conditions.
Historically for the Carolinas the river flood season begins in
early to mid January with the number of flood events increasing
through late winter with a peak in early to mid March...ending in
late April for the region.
Precipitation over the past 30 days has been below normal and
stream flows are also running below normal over Coastal Carolina.
Reservoirs...most of the reservoirs in the region are near their
Snow conditions...there is currently no snow on the ground.
Future rainfall is forecast to be below normal for the area with
little or no precipitation expected. Beyond next week, shows a
better opportunity to receive at least normal rainfall.
Based on the above data the river flood outlook through the
remainder of winter and into early spring is considered normal.
The next outlook will be issued on March 2 2017.
Corrected for shorter expiration time.