Flood Potential Outlook
Issued by NWS Charleston, WV

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FGUS71 KRLX 201518
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WINTER/SPRING FLOOD POTENTIAL OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHARLESTON WV
1118 AM EDT THU MAR 20 2014

KYC019-043-089-127-OHC009-053-079-087-105-115-127-163-167-VAC027-
051-WVC001-005-007-011-013-015-017-019-021-033-035-039-041-043-
045-047-053-059-067-073-075-079-081-083-085-087-091-095-097-099-
101-105-107-109-210330-
1118 AM EDT THU MAR 20 2014

...THE FLOOD POTENTIAL IS EXPECTED TO BE NEAR NORMAL...

THE FLOOD POTENTIAL FOR THE NEXT TWO WEEKS WILL BE CONSIDERED NEAR
NORMAL FOR THE STREAMS IN THE CHARLESTON HYDROLOGIC SERVICE AREA
(HSA). A NEAR NORMAL FLOOD POTENTIAL GENERALLY MEANS MINOR
FLOODING IS POSSIBLE. THIS AREA INCLUDES EASTERN
KENTUCKY...SOUTHEAST OHIO...BUCHANAN AND DICKENSON COUNTIES IN
SOUTHWEST VIRGINIA...AND MUCH OF WEST VIRGINIA.

FOR THE LONG RANGE RIVER OUTLOOKS AND THE PROBABILITY OF EXCEEDING
FLOOD STAGE OR THE CHANCES OF FLOODING RELATIVE TO NORMAL AT
SPECIFIC FORECAST POINTS DURING THE NEXT 90 DAYS...REFER TO
WWW.WEATHER.GOV/OHRFC AND CLICK ON THE 90 DAY RIVER OUTLOOK IN THE
LEFT HAND COLUMN. CLICK ON FLOOD CHC VS NORMAL TO SEE THE RISK OF
FLOODING WITH RESPECT TO NORMAL.

FLOOD OUTLOOKS ARE ISSUED BIWEEKLY BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE
IN THE WINTER AND EARLY SPRING TO SUMMARIZE BASIN HYDRO
METEOROLOGICAL CONDITIONS AND TO ASSESS THE POTENTIAL FOR SPRING
FLOODING. THE OUTLOOKS ARE BASED ON CURRENT AND EXPECTED
CONDITIONS...REALIZING THAT ACTUAL CONDITIONS MAY CHANGE DURING
THE OUTLOOK PERIOD.


PRECIPITATION...
WET TO NORMAL CONDITIONS HAVE EXISTED OVER THE HSA. PRECIPITATION
HAS AVERAGED 100 TO 125 PERCENT OF NORMAL IN SOME AREAS. NORMAL
ELSEWHERE.


SOIL CONDITIONS...
SOIL MOISTURE IS NEAR NORMAL ACROSS THE REGION.


SNOW COVER AND SNOW WATER EQUIVALENT...
A SNOW PACK OF 2 TO 6 INCHES WAS NOTED ACROSS THE HIGHEST
ELEVATIONS OF THE NORTHERN MOUNTAINS OF WEST VIRGINIA. SNOW WATER
EQUIVALENTS WERE GENERALLY 0 TO 2 INCHES ON AVERAGE IN THE
HEAVIEST SNOW PACK.


RESERVOIR CAPACITY...
RESERVOIR LEVELS ARE NORMAL FOR THIS TIME OF YEAR.


RIVER ICE CONDITIONS...
NO ICE WAS NOTED ON THE MAIN STEM RIVERS AND TRIBUTARIES.


STREAM FLOWS...
STREAM FLOWS ARE NORMAL ACROSS THE HSA.


THE HYDROLOGIC OUTLOOK...
THE OUTLOOK FOR THE REMAINDER OF MARCH CALLS FOR BELOW NORMAL
TEMPERATURES AND NEAR TO SLIGHTLY ABOVE NORMAL PRECIPITATION. THE
OUTLOOK FOR APRIL CALLS FOR BELOW NORMAL TEMPERATURES AND NORMAL
TO ABOVE NORMAL RAINFALL.


RAINFALL IS THE PRIMARY FACTOR LEADING TO FLOODING. HEAVY OR
EXCESSIVE RAINFALL CAN CAUSE FLOODING ANY TIME OF THE YEAR...EVEN
WHERE THE FLOOD POTENTIAL IS BELOW NORMAL.

$$






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