Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Gaylord, MI

Home | Current Version | Previous Version | Text Only | Print | Product List | Glossary On
Versions: 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
000
FNUS53 KAPX 261908
FWFAPX

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR NORTHERN LOWER MICHIGAN
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GAYLORD MI
308 PM EDT Sun Mar 26 2017

...Active weather expected this week...

.DISCUSSION...rain ends overnight as a storm system tracks across
and out of michigan. Two more storm systems are expected this
week...one Monday and another Thursday. While only a chance of
rain is possible Monday...Thursdays storm will bring a better
chance to all of northern Michigan.

MIZ016-017-019-021>023-270815-
EMMET...CHEBOYGAN...CHARLEVOIX...ANTRIM...OTSEGO AND MONTMORENCY
COUNTIES-
308 PM EDT Sun Mar 26 2017

.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (90-100 PERCENT). RAIN SHOWERS UNTIL
                    2300. RAIN SHOWERS LIKELY AFTER 2300 UNTIL
                    0200, THEN CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS. AREAS OF FOG
                    AFTER 2000.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....36-41.
   24 HR TREND......6 DEGREES WARMER.
MAX HUMIDITY........95-100 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......1 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH IN THE EVENING
                    BECOMING LIGHT. GUSTS UP TO 20 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........2 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (40).
MIXING HEIGHT.......500 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST AROUND 9 MPH SHIFTING TO THE WEST
                    AROUND 6 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT.
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.09-0.18 IN.

.MONDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (85-95 PERCENT). AREAS OF FOG UNTIL
                    0900. PATCHY FOG AFTER 0900 UNTIL 1100. CHANCE
                    OF RAIN SHOWERS UNTIL 1100.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....44-49...EXCEPT 33-38 NEAR THE COAST.
   24 HR TREND......3 DEGREES COOLER...EXCEPT 9 DEGREES COOLER NEAR
                    THE COAST.
MIN HUMIDITY........76-81 PERCENT...EXCEPT 92-97 PERCENT ALONG THE
                    COAST.
   24 HR TREND......7 PERCENT DRIER...EXCEPT 1 PERCENT DRIER ALONG
                    THE COAST.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH .
HAINES INDEX........2 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (100).
MIXING HEIGHT.......1400 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST AROUND 6 MPH.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE TO 0.01 IN.

.MONDAY NIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (85-95 PERCENT).
MIN TEMPERATURE.....29-34.
   24 HR TREND......5 DEGREES COOLER.
MAX HUMIDITY........94-99 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH .
HAINES INDEX........2 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (50).
MIXING HEIGHT.......600 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH AROUND 6 MPH.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.

.TUESDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (45-55 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....46-51...EXCEPT 38-43 NEAR THE COAST.
   24 HR TREND......5 DEGREES WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........49-54 PERCENT...EXCEPT 62-67 PERCENT ALONG THE
                    COAST.
   24 HR TREND......27 PERCENT DRIER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH .
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....GOOD (380).
MIXING HEIGHT.......3100 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH AROUND 12 MPH.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.


$$

MIZ018-024-030-036-042-270815-
PRESQUE ISLE...ALPENA...ALCONA...IOSCO AND ARENAC
COUNTIES...INCLUDING EASTERN HURON NF-
308 PM EDT Sun Mar 26 2017

.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (90-100 PERCENT). RAIN SHOWERS UNTIL
                    2300. RAIN SHOWERS LIKELY AFTER 2300 UNTIL
                    0200, THEN CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS. AREAS OF FOG
                    AFTER 1900.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....39-44.
   24 HR TREND......8 DEGREES WARMER.
MAX HUMIDITY........94-99 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......2 PERCENT DRIER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH IN THE EVENING
                    BECOMING LIGHT. GUSTS UP TO 20 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........2 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (10).
MIXING HEIGHT.......400 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST AROUND 9 MPH SHIFTING TO THE
                    SOUTHWEST AROUND 6 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT.
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.11-0.18 IN.

.MONDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (85-95 PERCENT). AREAS OF FOG UNTIL
                    0900. PATCHY FOG AFTER 0900 UNTIL 1100. CHANCE
                    OF RAIN SHOWERS UNTIL 0800. SLIGHT CHANCE OF
                    RAIN SHOWERS AFTER 0800 UNTIL 1100.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....51-56...EXCEPT AROUND 40 NEAR THE COAST.
   24 HR TREND......4 DEGREES WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........72-77 PERCENT...EXCEPT 89-94 PERCENT ALONG THE
                    COAST.
   24 HR TREND......11 PERCENT DRIER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......WEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH .
HAINES INDEX........2 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (120).
MIXING HEIGHT.......1800 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST AROUND 6 MPH.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE TO 0.02 IN.

.MONDAY NIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (85-95 PERCENT).
MIN TEMPERATURE.....34-39.
   24 HR TREND......6 DEGREES COOLER.
MAX HUMIDITY........94-99 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......1 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH .
HAINES INDEX........2 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (90).
MIXING HEIGHT.......900 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH AROUND 9 MPH.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE TO 0.01 IN.

.TUESDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (50-60 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....47-52...EXCEPT 38-43 NEAR THE COAST.
   24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED.
MIN HUMIDITY........50-55 PERCENT...EXCEPT 65-70 PERCENT ALONG THE
                    COAST.
   24 HR TREND......28 PERCENT DRIER...EXCEPT 21 PERCENT DRIER
                    ALONG THE COAST.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH .
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....GOOD (440).
MIXING HEIGHT.......3300 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH AROUND 15 MPH.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.


$$

MIZ020-025>027-270815-
LEELANAU...BENZIE...GRAND TRAVERSE AND KALKASKA
COUNTIES...INCLUDING THE SLEEPING BEAR DUNES NL-
308 PM EDT Sun Mar 26 2017

.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (95-100 PERCENT). RAIN SHOWERS UNTIL
                    2000. RAIN SHOWERS LIKELY AFTER 2000 UNTIL
                    0200. CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS AFTER 0200. PATCHY
                    FOG AFTER 1900 UNTIL 2100. AREAS OF FOG AFTER
                    2100.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....35-40.
   24 HR TREND......3 DEGREES WARMER.
MAX HUMIDITY........95-100 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH IN THE EVENING
                    BECOMING LIGHT. GUSTS UP TO 20 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........2 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (40).
MIXING HEIGHT.......600 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH AROUND 6 MPH SHIFTING TO THE WEST AFTER
                    MIDNIGHT.
PCPN AMOUNT.........AROUND 0.11 IN.

.MONDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (85-95 PERCENT). AREAS OF FOG UNTIL
                    0900. PATCHY FOG AFTER 0900 UNTIL 1100. CHANCE
                    OF RAIN SHOWERS UNTIL 0800. SLIGHT CHANCE OF
                    RAIN SHOWERS AFTER 0800 UNTIL 1100.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....42-47...EXCEPT 32-37 NEAR THE COAST.
   24 HR TREND......6 DEGREES COOLER.
MIN HUMIDITY........76-81 PERCENT...EXCEPT 89-94 PERCENT ALONG THE
                    COAST.
   24 HR TREND......5 PERCENT DRIER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......LIGHT WINDS BECOMING NORTHWEST AROUND 5 MPH IN
                    THE AFTERNOON.
HAINES INDEX........2 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (100).
MIXING HEIGHT.......1600 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST AROUND 6 MPH.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE TO 0.01 IN.

.MONDAY NIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (80-90 PERCENT).
MIN TEMPERATURE.....30-35.
   24 HR TREND......4 DEGREES COOLER.
MAX HUMIDITY........94-99 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......1 PERCENT DRIER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH .
HAINES INDEX........2 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (80).
MIXING HEIGHT.......800 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH AROUND 9 MPH.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.

.TUESDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (45-55 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....47-52...EXCEPT AROUND 41 NEAR THE COAST.
   24 HR TREND......4 DEGREES WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........50-55 PERCENT...EXCEPT 65-70 PERCENT ALONG THE
                    COAST.
   24 HR TREND......29 PERCENT DRIER...EXCEPT 20 PERCENT DRIER
                    ALONG THE COAST.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH .
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....GOOD (350).
MIXING HEIGHT.......2600 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH AROUND 12 MPH.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.


$$

MIZ031>033-270815-
MANISTEE...WEXFORD AND MISSAUKEE COUNTIES...INCLUDING THE
NORTHERN QUARTER OF MANISTEE NF-
308 PM EDT Sun Mar 26 2017

.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (95-100 PERCENT). RAIN SHOWERS UNTIL
                    2000. RAIN SHOWERS LIKELY AFTER 2000 UNTIL
                    0200. CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS AFTER 0200. PATCHY
                    FOG AFTER 1900 UNTIL 2000. AREAS OF FOG AFTER
                    2000.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....36-41.
   24 HR TREND......5 DEGREES WARMER...EXCEPT 1 DEGREE COOLER NEAR
                    THE COAST.
MAX HUMIDITY........94-99 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH IN THE EVENING
                    BECOMING LIGHT.
HAINES INDEX........2 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (20).
MIXING HEIGHT.......400 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST AROUND 6 MPH SHIFTING TO THE WEST
                    AFTER MIDNIGHT.
PCPN AMOUNT.........AROUND 0.10 IN.

.MONDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (90-100 PERCENT). AREAS OF FOG UNTIL
                    0900. PATCHY FOG AFTER 0900 UNTIL 1100. CHANCE
                    OF RAIN SHOWERS UNTIL 0800. SLIGHT CHANCE OF
                    RAIN SHOWERS AFTER 0800 UNTIL 1100.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....46-51...EXCEPT 38-43 NEAR THE COAST.
   24 HR TREND......3 DEGREES COOLER...EXCEPT 10 DEGREES COOLER
                    NEAR THE COAST.
MIN HUMIDITY........71-76 PERCENT...EXCEPT 86-91 PERCENT ALONG THE
                    COAST.
   24 HR TREND......10 PERCENT DRIER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......LIGHT WINDS BECOMING NORTHWEST AROUND 5 MPH IN
                    THE AFTERNOON.
HAINES INDEX........2 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (80).
MIXING HEIGHT.......1700 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST AROUND 6 MPH.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE TO 0.01 IN.

.MONDAY NIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (80-90 PERCENT).
MIN TEMPERATURE.....31-36.
   24 HR TREND......5 DEGREES COOLER.
MAX HUMIDITY........94-99 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......1 PERCENT DRIER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH .
HAINES INDEX........2 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (80).
MIXING HEIGHT.......800 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH AROUND 9 MPH.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.

.TUESDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (45-55 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....48-53.
   24 HR TREND......4 DEGREES WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........48-53 PERCENT...EXCEPT 63-68 PERCENT ALONG THE
                    COAST.
   24 HR TREND......23 PERCENT DRIER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH .
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....GOOD (400).
MIXING HEIGHT.......3000 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH AROUND 12 MPH.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.


$$

MIZ028-029-034-035-041-270815-
CRAWFORD...OSCODA...ROSCOMMON...OGEMAW AND GLADWIN
COUNTIES...INCLUDING WESTERN HURON NF-
308 PM EDT Sun Mar 26 2017

.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (90-100 PERCENT). RAIN SHOWERS UNTIL
                    2300. CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS AFTER 2300. AREAS
                    OF FOG AFTER 1900.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....39-44.
   24 HR TREND......9 DEGREES WARMER.
MAX HUMIDITY........94-99 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......2 PERCENT DRIER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH IN THE EVENING
                    BECOMING LIGHT.
HAINES INDEX........2 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (10).
MIXING HEIGHT.......300 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST AROUND 6 MPH SHIFTING TO THE WEST
                    AFTER MIDNIGHT.
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.10-0.16 IN.

.MONDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (85-95 PERCENT). AREAS OF FOG UNTIL
                    0900. PATCHY FOG AFTER 0900 UNTIL 1100. CHANCE
                    OF RAIN SHOWERS UNTIL 0800. SLIGHT CHANCE OF
                    RAIN SHOWERS AFTER 0800 UNTIL 1100.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....51-56.
   24 HR TREND......3 DEGREES WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........68-73 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......17 PERCENT DRIER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......WEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH .
HAINES INDEX........2 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (120).
MIXING HEIGHT.......2100 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST AROUND 6 MPH.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE TO 0.01 IN.

.MONDAY NIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (85-95 PERCENT).
MIN TEMPERATURE.....34-39.
   24 HR TREND......7 DEGREES COOLER.
MAX HUMIDITY........92-97 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH .
HAINES INDEX........2 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (100).
MIXING HEIGHT.......1000 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 6 TO 9 MPH.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE TO 0.01 IN.

.TUESDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (45-55 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....49-54.
   24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED.
MIN HUMIDITY........46-51 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......22 PERCENT DRIER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH .
HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....GOOD (570).
MIXING HEIGHT.......4300 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH AROUND 12 MPH.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.


$$

.EXTENDED...

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE
MID 40S. NORTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER
20S. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S. EAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH SNOW SHOWERS LIKELY AND CHANCE OF
SHOWERS. LOWS AROUND 30. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S. EAST WINDS AROUND
10 MPH.
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW SHOWERS.
LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S. NORTH WINDS AROUND
5 MPH.
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS
IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S. WEST WINDS AROUND
5 MPH.

$$

KJF


USA.gov is the U.S. government's official web portal to all federal, state and local government web resources and services.