Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS State College, PA

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000
FNUS51 KCTP 211607
FWFCTP

Fire Weather Planning Forecast for Central Pennsylvania
National Weather Service State College PA
1107 AM EST Sun Jan 21 2018

.DISCUSSION...

RH will remain high with some drizzle or light rain possible over
the north today and tonight. Some drying is expected in the south
on Monday as a warm front lifts across the state. Scattered showers
are then expected until a cold front blasts through on Tuesday morning.
Colder weather is expected and some snow showers are also possible in the
north and west Tuesday into Wed.


PAZ004>006-010-011-212130-
Warren-McKean-Potter-Elk-Cameron-
Including the cities of Warren, Bradford, Coudersport, St. Marys,
Ridgway, and Emporium
1107 AM EST Sun Jan 21 2018

                                Today      Tonight          Mon

Cloud Cover                    Cloudy       Cloudy       Cloudy
Precip Type                      Rain         Rain         Rain
Chance Precip (%)                  40           70           60
Temp (24h trend)              41 (+1)      35 (+1)           49
RH % (24h trend)             74 (+29)     100 (+6)           71
20ft Wnd-Val/AM(mph)          LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR
20ft Wnd-Rdg/PM(mph)            SW  5      LGT/VAR        SE  6
Precip Amount                    0.02         0.10         0.07
Precip Duration                     2            8            6
Precip Begin                     6 AM   Continuing   Continuing
Precip End                 Continuing   Continuing   Continuing
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)           1190          260          490
Transport Wnd (mph)              W  8         S  5         S  6
Vent Rate (kt-ft)               21580          120         7060
Dispersion                          5            1            3
DSI                                 0            0            1
LAL                          NO TSTMS     NO TSTMS     NO TSTMS
Haines Index                        2            2            2
RH Recovery                 Excellent    Excellent    Excellent

REMARKS...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.TUESDAY...Rain with snow showers likely. Lows in the upper 30s.
Highs in the lower 40s. Southwest winds 15 to 20 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly cloudy with a chance of snow showers. Colder.
Lows in the lower 20s. Highs in the upper 20s. West winds 15 to
20 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly cloudy. Lows around 15. Highs in the upper
20s. West winds 10 to 15 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly cloudy. Lows around 17. Highs in the upper 30s.
Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the upper 20s. Highs in the
mid 40s. South winds 5 to 10 mph.

$$

PAZ012-017-018-212130-
Northern Clinton-Clearfield-Northern Centre-
Including the cities of Renovo, DuBois, Clearfield,
and Philipsburg
1107 AM EST Sun Jan 21 2018

                                Today      Tonight          Mon

Cloud Cover                    Cloudy       Cloudy        MCldy
Precip Type                      Rain         Rain         Rain
Chance Precip (%)                  40           70           40
Temp (24h trend)               42 (0)       36 (0)           50
RH % (24h trend)             74 (+31)     100 (+4)           68
20ft Wnd-Val/AM(mph)          LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR
20ft Wnd-Rdg/PM(mph)          LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR        SE  5
Precip Amount                    0.02         0.10         0.04
Precip Duration                     2            8            2
Precip Begin                     6 AM   Continuing   Continuing
Precip End                 Continuing   Continuing   Continuing
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)           1100          180          490
Transport Wnd (mph)              W  8        SW  3         S  3
Vent Rate (kt-ft)               14660            0         5210
Dispersion                          4            1            3
DSI                                 0            0            1
LAL                          NO TSTMS     NO TSTMS     NO TSTMS
Haines Index                        2            2            2
RH Recovery                 Excellent    Excellent    Excellent

REMARKS...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.TUESDAY...Breezy, rain. Lows around 40. Highs in the lower 40s.
Southwest winds 20 to 25 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Breezy. Mostly cloudy with a chance of snow showers.
Colder. Lows in the mid 20s. Highs in the lower 30s. West winds
20 to 25 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly cloudy. Lows around 18. Highs around 30.
Northwest winds 15 to 20 mph.
.FRIDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows around 19. Highs around 40.
Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the upper 20s. Highs in the
mid 40s. South winds 5 to 10 mph.

$$

PAZ024-033-212130-
Cambria-Somerset-
Including the cities of Johnstown and Somerset
1107 AM EST Sun Jan 21 2018

                                Today      Tonight          Mon

Cloud Cover                    Cloudy       Cloudy        MCldy
Precip Type                      Rain         Rain         Rain
Chance Precip (%)                  40           50           30
Temp (24h trend)              46 (+2)       39 (0)           54
RH % (24h trend)             72 (+30)      100 (0)           66
20ft Wnd-Val/AM(mph)            SW  6                      S  5
20ft Wnd-Rdg/PM(mph)            SW  8        SW  7     S  7 G17
Precip Amount                    0.03         0.07         0.02
Precip Duration                     2            8            2
Precip Begin                     6 AM   Continuing   Continuing
Precip End                 Continuing   Continuing   Continuing
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)            860          190          650
Transport Wnd (mph)             SW  9        SW  6         S 12
Vent Rate (kt-ft)               24770            0        22200
Dispersion                          5            1            5
DSI                                 0            0            1
LAL                          NO TSTMS     NO TSTMS     NO TSTMS
Haines Index                        2            2            3
RH Recovery                 Excellent    Excellent    Excellent

REMARKS...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.TUESDAY...Breezy, rain. Lows around 40. Highs in the lower 40s.
Southwest winds 15 to 25 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Breezy. Mostly cloudy. A chance of snow showers.
Colder. Lows in the mid 20s. Highs around 30. West winds 20 to
25 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly cloudy. Lows around 20. Highs in the lower
30s. West winds 15 to 20 mph.
.FRIDAY...Partly cloudy. Not as cool. Lows in the lower 20s.
Highs in the lower 40s. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows around 30. Highs in the upper
40s. South winds 5 to 10 mph.

$$

PAZ019-025>028-034-035-212130-
Southern Centre-Blair-Huntingdon-Mifflin-Juniata-Bedford-Fulton-
Including the cities of State College, Altoona, Huntingdon,
Mount Union, Lewistown, Mifflintown, Bedford, and McConnellsburg
1107 AM EST Sun Jan 21 2018

                                Today      Tonight          Mon

Cloud Cover                    Cloudy       Cloudy        MCldy
Precip Type                      Rain         Rain         Rain
Chance Precip (%)                  30           50           20
Temp (24h trend)              49 (+1)      37 (-2)           54
RH % (24h trend)             65 (+29)      100 (0)           62
20ft Wnd-Val/AM(mph)          LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR
20ft Wnd-Rdg/PM(mph)          LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR
Precip Amount                    0.01         0.06         0.02
Precip Duration                     2            2            2
Precip Begin                     7 AM   Continuing   Continuing
Precip End                 Continuing   Continuing   Continuing
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)            960           70          700
Transport Wnd (mph)              W  6        SW  2        SE  9
Vent Rate (kt-ft)               10770            0        23590
Dispersion                          4            1            5
DSI                                 0            0            1
LAL                          NO TSTMS     NO TSTMS     NO TSTMS
Haines Index                        2            2            3
RH Recovery                 Excellent    Excellent    Excellent

REMARKS...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.TUESDAY...Breezy, rain. Lows in the lower 40s. Highs in the mid
40s. Southwest winds 15 to 25 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Breezy. Mostly cloudy. Colder. Lows in the upper
20s. Highs in the mid 30s. West winds 20 to 25 mph.
.THURSDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 20s. Highs in the
mid 30s. Northwest winds 15 to 20 mph.
.FRIDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 20s. Highs in the
lower 40s. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 20s. Highs in the
mid 40s. South winds 5 to 10 mph.

$$

PAZ037-041-042-212130-
Tioga-Northern Lycoming-Sullivan-
Including the cities of Mansfield, Wellsboro, Trout Run,
and Laporte
1107 AM EST Sun Jan 21 2018

                                Today      Tonight          Mon

Cloud Cover                    Cloudy       Cloudy       Cloudy
Precip Type                      Rain         Rain         Rain
Chance Precip (%)                  30           60           50
Temp (24h trend)               42 (0)      34 (+4)           45
RH % (24h trend)             71 (+28)      100 (0)           73
20ft Wnd-Val/AM(mph)          LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR
20ft Wnd-Rdg/PM(mph)          LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR        SE  6
Precip Amount                    0.01         0.09         0.05
Precip Duration                     2            8            3
Precip Begin                     7 AM   Continuing   Continuing
Precip End                 Continuing   Continuing   Continuing
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)           1570           60          320
Transport Wnd (mph)              W  7         S  3         S  7
Vent Rate (kt-ft)               16050            0         4630
Dispersion                          5            1            3
DSI                                 0            0            1
LAL                          NO TSTMS     NO TSTMS     NO TSTMS
Haines Index                        2            2            2
RH Recovery                 Excellent    Excellent    Excellent

REMARKS...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.TUESDAY...Rain. Lows around 40. Highs in the lower 40s.
Southwest winds 15 to 20 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly cloudy. Colder. Lows in the mid 20s. Highs
around 30. West winds 15 to 20 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly cloudy. Lows around 17. Highs in the upper
20s. Northwest winds 15 to 20 mph.
.FRIDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows around 18. Highs in the mid 30s.
Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 20s. Highs in the
mid 40s. South winds 5 to 10 mph.

$$

PAZ045-046-049>053-058-212130-
Southern Clinton-Southern Lycoming-Union-Snyder-Montour-
Northumberland-Columbia-Schuylkill-
Including the cities of Lock Haven, Williamsport, Lewisburg,
Selinsgrove, Danville, Sunbury, Shamokin, Bloomsburg, Berwick,
and Pottsville
1107 AM EST Sun Jan 21 2018

                                Today      Tonight          Mon

Cloud Cover                    Cloudy       Cloudy        MCldy
Precip Type                      Rain         Rain         Rain
Chance Precip (%)                  30           70           40
Temp (24h trend)              45 (-1)      34 (+5)           48
RH % (24h trend)             66 (+26)      100 (0)           74
20ft Wnd-Val/AM(mph)          LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR
20ft Wnd-Rdg/PM(mph)          LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR
Precip Amount                    0.01         0.09         0.03
Precip Duration                     2            8            2
Precip Begin                     7 AM   Continuing   Continuing
Precip End                 Continuing   Continuing   Continuing
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)            640           70          520
Transport Wnd (mph)             NW  3         S  1        SE  7
Vent Rate (kt-ft)               10760            0         7400
Dispersion                          4            1            3
DSI                                 0            0            1
LAL                          NO TSTMS     NO TSTMS     NO TSTMS
Haines Index                        2            2            2
RH Recovery                 Excellent    Excellent    Excellent

REMARKS...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.TUESDAY...Rain. Lows in the lower 40s. Highs in the upper 40s.
Southwest winds 15 to 20 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly cloudy. Colder. Lows in the upper 20s. Highs
in the mid 30s. West winds 15 to 20 mph.
.THURSDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 20s. Highs in the
lower 30s. Northwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.FRIDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows around 20. Highs in the upper 30s.
Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 20s. Highs in the
mid 40s. South winds 5 to 10 mph.

$$

PAZ036-056-057-059-063>066-212130-
Franklin-Perry-Dauphin-Lebanon-Cumberland-Adams-York-Lancaster-
Including the cities of Chambersburg, Newport, Harrisburg,
Hershey, Lebanon, Carlisle, Gettysburg, York, and Lancaster
1107 AM EST Sun Jan 21 2018

                                Today      Tonight          Mon

Cloud Cover                    Cloudy        MCldy        MCldy
Precip Type                      Rain         Rain         Rain
Chance Precip (%)                  10           40           10
Temp (24h trend)              49 (-3)      36 (+3)           54
RH % (24h trend)             58 (+24)      100 (0)           66
20ft Wnd-Val/AM(mph)          LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR
20ft Wnd-Rdg/PM(mph)          LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR
Precip Amount                    0.00         0.05         0.01
Precip Duration                     1            2            1
Precip Begin                     1 PM   Continuing   Continuing
Precip End                 Continuing   Continuing         1 PM
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)            330           50          540
Transport Wnd (mph)             SW  3         S  2         S  7
Vent Rate (kt-ft)                4580            0         8090
Dispersion                          3            1            4
DSI                                 0            0            1
LAL                          NO TSTMS     NO TSTMS     NO TSTMS
Haines Index                        3            3            3
RH Recovery                 Excellent    Excellent    Excellent

REMARKS...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.TUESDAY...Rain. Lows in the mid 40s. Highs around 50. Southwest
winds 15 to 20 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly cloudy. Colder. Lows in the lower 30s. Highs
in the upper 30s. West winds 15 to 20 mph.
.THURSDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 20s. Highs in the mid
30s. Northwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.FRIDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 20s. Highs in the
lower 40s. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 20s. Highs in the
mid 40s. South winds 5 to 10 mph.

$$

.OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS...
Temperatures above normal.  Precipitation above normal.

$$



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