Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Detroit/Pontiac, MI

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FNUS53 KDTX 200742
FWFDTX

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR SOUTHEAST MICHIGAN
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DETROIT/PONTIAC MI
342 AM EDT SUN APR 20 2014

.DISCUSSION...
HIGH TEMPERATURES WILL WARM TO NEAR 70 SUNDAY AND INTO THE LOW 70S ON
MONDAY AHEAD OF AN APPROACHING LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM AND COLD FRONT.
SHOWER CHANCES WILL INCREASE LATE MONDAY INTO MONDAY NIGHT WITH THE
PASSAGE OF THIS SYSTEM. RH VALUES WILL APPROACH 30 PERCENT THIS
AFTERNOON AND WITH WITH SHOWERS HOLDING OFF UNTIL MONDAY EVENING IN
MOST AREAS...RH VALUES ARE EXPECTED TO FALL TO BETWEEN 40 AND 50
PERCENT MONDAY AFTERNOON.

MIZ047-048-053-060-061-202100-
MIDLAND-BAY-SAGINAW-SHIAWASSEE-GENESEE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...MIDLAND-BAY CITY-SAGINAW-OWOSSO-FLINT
342 AM EDT SUN APR 20 2014

.TODAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (35-45 PERCENT) UNTIL NOON...THEN
                    MOSTLY SUNNY (35-45 PERCENT) UNTIL 4 PM...THEN
                    PARTLY CLOUDY (40-50 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....65-70.
   24 HR TREND......14 DEGREES WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........30-40 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......6 PERCENT DRIER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTH 5 TO 10 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......4980-5480 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 5 TO 10 MPH...BECOMING SOUTHWEST AROUND
                    15 MPH BY AFTERNOON.
VENTILATION INDEX...`EXCELLENT` (820).
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.

.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (55-65 PERCENT). A SLIGHT CHANCE
                    OF SHOWERS AFTER 3 AM UNTIL 7 AM. POP...20
                    PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....46-51.
   24 HR TREND......15 DEGREES WARMER.
MAX HUMIDITY........75-85 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......1 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTH 5 TO 10 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......140-340 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 5 TO 10 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...`POOR` (0).
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.01-0.05 IN.

.MONDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (60-70 PERCENT). A SLIGHT CHANCE
                    OF SHOWERS UNTIL 2 PM...THEN CHANCE OF
                    SHOWERS. POP...40 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....66-71.
   24 HR TREND......3 DEGREES WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........46-56 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......16 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST 10 TO 15 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......9040-9540 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST AROUND 10 MPH...INCREASING TO 15 TO
                    20 MPH BY AFTERNOON.
VENTILATION INDEX...`EXCELLENT` (1610).
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.11-0.25 IN.


$$

MIZ049-054-055-062-202100-
HURON-TUSCOLA-SANILAC-LAPEER-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...BAD AXE-CARO-SANDUSKY-LAPEER
342 AM EDT SUN APR 20 2014

.TODAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (35-45 PERCENT) UNTIL 4 PM...THEN
                    PARTLY CLOUDY (35-45 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....60-65.
   24 HR TREND......15 DEGREES WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........31-41 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......9 PERCENT DRIER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTH 5 TO 10 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......4180-4680 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 5 TO 10 MPH...INCREASING TO AROUND 15 MPH
                    BY AFTERNOON.
VENTILATION INDEX...`GOOD` (590).
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.

.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (55-65 PERCENT).
MIN TEMPERATURE.....43-48.
   24 HR TREND......15 DEGREES WARMER.
MAX HUMIDITY........78-88 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......4 PERCENT DRIER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTH 5 TO 10 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......120-320 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 5 TO 10 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...`POOR` (0).
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.

.MONDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (60-70 PERCENT). A SLIGHT CHANCE
                    OF SHOWERS UNTIL 3 PM...THEN CHANCE OF
                    SHOWERS. POP...40 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....64-69.
   24 HR TREND......3 DEGREES WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........46-56 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......18 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST 10 TO 15 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......7650-8150 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST AROUND 5 MPH...INCREASING TO AROUND
                    15 MPH BY AFTERNOON.
VENTILATION INDEX...`EXCELLENT` (1220).
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.06-0.10 IN.


$$

MIZ063-068>070-075-076-082-083-202100-
ST CLAIR-LIVINGSTON-OAKLAND-MACOMB-WASHTENAW-WAYNE-LENAWEE-MONROE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...
PORT HURON-HOWELL-PONTIAC-WARREN-ANN ARBOR-DETROIT-ADRIAN-MONROE
342 AM EDT SUN APR 20 2014

.TODAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (25-35 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....67-72.
   24 HR TREND......13 DEGREES WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........26-36 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......2 PERCENT DRIER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHEAST 5 TO 10 MPH...BECOMING SOUTH BY
                    AFTERNOON.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......3570-4070 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST AROUND 5 MPH...BECOMING SOUTH.
VENTILATION INDEX...`GOOD` (420).
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.

.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR (30-40 PERCENT).
MIN TEMPERATURE.....43-48.
   24 HR TREND......15 DEGREES WARMER.
MAX HUMIDITY........79-89 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......4 PERCENT DRIER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTH 5 TO 10 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......100-300 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH AROUND 5 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...`POOR` (0).
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.

.MONDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (55-65 PERCENT). A SLIGHT CHANCE
                    OF SHOWERS AFTER 2 PM UNTIL 4 PM...THEN
                    CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND A SLIGHT CHANCE OF
                    THUNDERSTORMS. POP...30 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....69-74.
   24 HR TREND......4 DEGREES WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........41-49 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......15 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST 5 TO 10 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......6100-6600 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST AROUND 5 MPH...INCREASING TO AROUND
                    15 MPH BY AFTERNOON.
VENTILATION INDEX...`EXCELLENT` (1010).
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.01-0.05 IN.


$$


.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...

.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SHOWERS LIKELY AND A SLIGHT CHANCE OF
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S.
NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 15 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN
THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 50S. NORTH WINDS AROUND 10 MPH.
.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN
THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND
10 MPH.
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S.
HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S.
.SATURDAY...COOLER. MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN
THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 50S.

$$

DG






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