Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Detroit/Pontiac, MI

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000
FNUS53 KDTX 300729
FWFDTX

Fire Weather Planning Forecast for Southeast Michigan
National Weather Service Detroit/Pontiac MI
329 AM EDT Sun Apr 30 2017

.DISCUSSION...Periods of rain are expected today through early Monday
as a frontal boundary lifts through the area. Rain will be heavy at
times, particularly over the saginaw valley and northern Thumb where
total rainfall May reach betwe  Monday afternoon. Steadier rain will
taper off early Monday, but scattered showers will still impact
the area into Tuesday as low pressure tracks across the northern
Great Lakes. Windy conditions will also develop Monday and Tuesday.
Dry weather is expected on Wednesday.

MIZ047-048-053-060-061-301915-
Midland-Bay-Saginaw-Shiawassee-Genesee-
Including the cities of Midland-Bay City-Saginaw-Owosso-Flint
329 AM EDT Sun Apr 30 2017

.TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Cloudy (95-100 percent). Isolated thunderstorms
                    until 8 am. Periods of showers. Chance of
                    precipitation 100 near percent.
Max temperature.....46-51.
   24 hr trend......10 degrees cooler.
Min humidity........77-83 percent.
   24 hr trend......29 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......East winds 15 to 20 mph.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......1500-2000 ft agl.
Transport winds.....East around 30 mph decreasing to around 20 mph
                    early in the afternoon.
Smoke dispersal.....Excellent (700).
Pcpn amount.........1.01-1.50 in.

.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Cloudy (95-100 percent). Periods of showers.
                    numerous thunderstorms after 8 pm. Chance of
                    precipitation 100 near percent.
Min temperature.....45-50.
   24 hr trend......2 degrees warmer.
Max humidity........97 percent.
   24 hr trend......6 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......Northeast winds 10 to 15 mph becoming east
                    after midnight.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......520-720 ft agl.
Transport winds.....East 10 to 15 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (10).
Pcpn amount.........0.76-1.00 in.

.MONDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (75-85 percent). Periods of
                    showers and numerous thunderstorms until
                    noon then chance of showers and
                    thunderstorms. Chance of precipitation 100 near
                    percent.
Max temperature.....60-65.
   24 hr trend......21 degrees warmer.
Min humidity........54-61 percent.
   24 hr trend......22 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......Southeast winds around 10 mph increasing to
                    southwest 20 to 25 mph in the late morning and
                    afternoon.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......6820-7320 ft agl.
Transport winds.....Southeast around 15 mph becoming southwest
                    30 to 35 mph in the late morning and afternoon.
Smoke dispersal.....Excellent (2470).
Pcpn amount.........0.26-0.50 in.


$$

MIZ049-054-055-062-301915-
Huron-Tuscola-Sanilac-Lapeer-
Including the cities of Bad Axe-Caro-Sandusky-Lapeer
329 AM EDT Sun Apr 30 2017

.TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Cloudy (95-100 percent). Periods of showers.
                    Chance of precipitation 90 near percent.
Max temperature.....47-52.
   24 hr trend......Unchanged.
Min humidity........77 percent.
   24 hr trend......23 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......East winds 15 to 20 mph.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......1410-1910 ft agl.
Transport winds.....East 25 to 30 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Good (580).
Pcpn amount.........0.76-1.00 in.

.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Cloudy (95-100 percent). Periods of showers.
                    numerous thunderstorms after 8 pm. Chance of
                    precipitation 100 near percent.
Min temperature.....46-51.
   24 hr trend......10 degrees warmer.
Max humidity........88-98 percent.
   24 hr trend......4 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......East winds 5 to 10 mph increasing to around 15
                    mph after midnight.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......400-600 ft agl.
Transport winds.....Southeast around 10 mph becoming east in the
                    late evening and overnight.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (10).
Pcpn amount.........0.76-1.00 in.

.MONDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (70-80 percent). Periods of
                    showers and numerous thunderstorms until
                    noon then chance of showers and
                    thunderstorms. Chance of precipitation 100 near
                    percent.
Max temperature.....64-69.
   24 hr trend......17 degrees warmer.
Min humidity........54-64 percent.
   24 hr trend......23 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......Southeast winds around 15 mph becoming
                    southwest 20 to 25 mph in the late morning and
                    afternoon.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......6240-6740 ft agl.
Transport winds.....Southeast around 15 mph becoming south 30
                    to 35 mph in the late morning and afternoon.
Smoke dispersal.....Excellent (2430).
Pcpn amount.........0.26-0.50 in.


$$

MIZ063-068>070-075-076-082-083-301915-
St Clair-Livingston-Oakland-Macomb-Washtenaw-Wayne-Lenawee-Monroe-
Including the cities of Port Huron-Howell-Pontiac-Warren-Ann
Arbor-Detroit-Adrian-Monroe
329 AM EDT Sun Apr 30 2017

.TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Cloudy (90-100 percent). Periods of showers and
                    scattered thunderstorms. Chance of
                    precipitation 90 near percent.
Max temperature.....59-64.
   24 hr trend......10 degrees warmer.
Min humidity........67-77 percent.
   24 hr trend......17 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......East winds 15 to 20 mph becoming southeast
                    early in the afternoon.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......1010-1510 ft agl.
Transport winds.....East 20 to 25 mph decreasing to around 15 mph
                    early in the afternoon.
Smoke dispersal.....Good (430).
Pcpn amount.........0.26-0.50 in.

.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Cloudy (90-100 percent). Scattered
                    thunderstorms until 8 pm. Periods of showers.
                    numerous thunderstorms after 8 pm. Chance of
                    precipitation 90 near percent.
Min temperature.....56-61.
   24 hr trend......18 degrees warmer.
Max humidity........85-95 percent.
   24 hr trend......9 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......South winds 10 to 15 mph.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......360-560 ft agl.
Transport winds.....Southeast 10 to 15 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (0).
Pcpn amount.........0.51-0.75 in.

.MONDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (70-80 percent). Periods of
                    showers and numerous thunderstorms until
                    8 am then chance of thunderstorms until 4 pm.
                    chance of showers after 8 am. Chance of
                    precipitation 90 near percent.
Max temperature.....63-68.
   24 hr trend......3 degrees warmer.
Min humidity........53-59 percent.
   24 hr trend......21 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......Southwest winds 15 to 20 mph.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......6610-7110 ft agl.
Transport winds.....South around 20 mph becoming southwest 35
                    to 40 mph in the late morning and afternoon.
Smoke dispersal.....Excellent (2800).
Pcpn amount.........0.26-0.50 in.


$$


.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...

.TUESDAY...Mostly cloudy with chance of showers. Lows in the lower
40s. Highs in the mid 50s. Southwest winds around 15 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 30s. Highs in the mid
50s. Northwest winds around 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 30s. Highs in the upper
50s. East winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers. Lows around 40. Highs
around 60.
.SATURDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers. Lows in the lower 40s.
Highs in the lower 60s.

$$

SC



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