Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Detroit/Pontiac, MI

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FNUS53 KDTX 270813
FWFDTX

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR SOUTHEAST MICHIGAN
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DETROIT/PONTIAC MI
413 AM EDT WED MAY 27 2015

.DISCUSSION...RH VALUES WILL REMAIN ELEVATED INTO TODAY AS WARM AND
MOIST SOUTH TO SOUTHWEST FLOW PERSISTS. WITH THIS AIRMASS IN
PLACE...EXPECT A GOOD CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS YET AGAIN
TODAY. DRIER WEATHER WILL RETURN ON THURSDAY WITH MINIMUM RH VALUES
DROPPING BELOW 40 PERCENT BY AFTERNOON.

MIZ047-048-053-060-061-272115-
MIDLAND-BAY-SAGINAW-SHIAWASSEE-GENESEE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...MIDLAND-BAY CITY-SAGINAW-OWOSSO-FLINT
413 AM EDT WED MAY 27 2015

.TODAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (60-70 PERCENT) UNTIL 8 AM...THEN
                    MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80 PERCENT) UNTIL 10 AM...THEN
                    PARTLY CLOUDY (55-65 PERCENT). A SLIGHT CHANCE
                    OF SHOWERS UNTIL 2 PM. A SLIGHT CHANCE OF
                    THUNDERSTORMS AFTER 8 AM UNTIL 2 PM...THEN
                    CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. POP...40
                    PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....72-77.
   24 HR TREND......7 DEGREES COOLER.
MIN HUMIDITY........57 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......4 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......WEST 10 TO 15 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......7490-7990 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST AROUND 20 MPH...INCREASING TO 30 TO
                    35 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...`EXCELLENT` (2720).
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.06-0.10 IN.

.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (35-45 PERCENT). A SLIGHT CHANCE
                    OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS UNTIL 9 PM.
                    POP...20 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....52-57.
   24 HR TREND......11 DEGREES COOLER.
MAX HUMIDITY........96 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......4 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......WEST 5 TO 10 MPH...BECOMING SOUTH LATE.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......100-300 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST AROUND 15 MPH...BECOMING SOUTHWEST AROUND
                    5 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT...THEN...BECOMING SOUTH
                    LATE.
VENTILATION INDEX...`POOR` (0).
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.

.THURSDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (20-30 PERCENT). POP...20 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....70-75.
   24 HR TREND......4 DEGREES WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........38-48 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......16 PERCENT DRIER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTH 5 TO 10 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......9800-10300 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST AROUND 5 MPH...INCREASING TO AROUND
                    15 MPH BY AFTERNOON.
VENTILATION INDEX...`EXCELLENT` (1530).
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.11-0.25 IN.


$$

MIZ049-054-055-062-272115-
HURON-TUSCOLA-SANILAC-LAPEER-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...BAD AXE-CARO-SANDUSKY-LAPEER
413 AM EDT WED MAY 27 2015

.TODAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (60-70 PERCENT). A SLIGHT CHANCE
                    OF SHOWERS UNTIL 2 PM. A SLIGHT CHANCE OF
                    THUNDERSTORMS AFTER 8 AM UNTIL 2 PM...THEN
                    CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. POP...40
                    PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....72-77.
   24 HR TREND......6 DEGREES COOLER.
MIN HUMIDITY........54-64 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......4 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST 10 TO 15 MPH...INCREASING TO 20 TO 25
                    MPH BY AFTERNOON.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......7880-8380 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 20 TO 25 MPH...INCREASING TO 35 TO 40
                    MPH BY AFTERNOON.
VENTILATION INDEX...`EXCELLENT` (2950).
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.06-0.10 IN.

.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (45-55 PERCENT). A SLIGHT CHANCE
                    OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS UNTIL 9 PM.
                    POP...20 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....49-54.
   24 HR TREND......12 DEGREES COOLER.
MAX HUMIDITY........97 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......4 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......WEST 5 TO 10 MPH...BECOMING SOUTHWEST LATE.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......100-300 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST AROUND 25 MPH...DECREASING TO 5 TO 10 MPH
                    AFTER MIDNIGHT.
VENTILATION INDEX...`POOR` (0).
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.

.THURSDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (25-35 PERCENT). A SLIGHT CHANCE
                    OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS AFTER 1 PM UNTIL
                    3 PM...THEN CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS. POP...30 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....72-77.
   24 HR TREND......1 DEGREE WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........40-50 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......13 PERCENT DRIER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......EAST AROUND 5 MPH...BECOMING SOUTHEAST 10 TO 15
                    MPH BY AFTERNOON.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......9610-10110 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST AROUND 5 MPH...BECOMING SOUTHWEST
                    AROUND 15 MPH BY AFTERNOON.
VENTILATION INDEX...`EXCELLENT` (1510).
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.11-0.25 IN.


$$

MIZ063-068>070-075-076-082-083-272115-
ST CLAIR-LIVINGSTON-OAKLAND-MACOMB-WASHTENAW-WAYNE-LENAWEE-MONROE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...
PORT HURON-HOWELL-PONTIAC-WARREN-ANN ARBOR-DETROIT-ADRIAN-MONROE
413 AM EDT WED MAY 27 2015

.TODAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (60-70 PERCENT). A SLIGHT CHANCE
                    OF SHOWERS UNTIL 5 AM. A SLIGHT CHANCE OF
                    SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS AFTER 10 AM UNTIL
                    1 PM...THEN CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS. POP...50 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....76-81.
   24 HR TREND......2 DEGREES COOLER.
MIN HUMIDITY........55 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......2 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST 10 TO 15 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......8610-9110 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST AROUND 15 MPH...INCREASING TO 30 TO
                    35 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...`EXCELLENT` (3040).
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.11-0.25 IN.

.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (40-50 PERCENT). A SLIGHT CHANCE
                    OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS UNTIL 9 PM.
                    POP...30 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....53-58.
   24 HR TREND......9 DEGREES COOLER.
MAX HUMIDITY........89-96 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......1 PERCENT DRIER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHWEST 5 TO 10 MPH THROUGH
                    MIDNIGHT...BECOMING LIGHT OVERNIGHT.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......100-300 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST AROUND 20 MPH...BECOMING NORTHWEST 5 TO 10
                    MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT.
VENTILATION INDEX...`POOR` (0).
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.

.THURSDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (30-40 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....77-82.
   24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED.
MIN HUMIDITY........36-46 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......17 PERCENT DRIER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST AROUND 5 MPH...BECOMING SOUTH BY
                    AFTERNOON.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......8420-8920 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST AROUND 5 MPH...BECOMING SOUTHWEST 10 TO 15
                    MPH BY AFTERNOON.
VENTILATION INDEX...`EXCELLENT` (1100).
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.


$$


.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...

.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID 80S. SOUTH WINDS AROUND
10 MPH.
.SATURDAY...NOT AS WARM. SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. LOWS
IN THE UPPER 60S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S. WEST WINDS AROUND
10 MPH.
.SUNDAY...COOLER. PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S.
NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH.
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER
60S.
.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID
70S.

$$

CB



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