Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Detroit/Pontiac, MI

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000
FNUS53 KDTX 171936
FWFDTX

Fire Weather Planning Forecast for Southeast Michigan
National Weather Service Detroit/Pontiac MI
336 PM EDT Thu Aug 17 2017

.DISCUSSION...A very moist airmass behind an advancing warm front,
will continue to push into the area this afternoon as several rounds
of rain and thunderstorms develop. A cold front will then track
across the region late this evening. Slightly cooler and drier air
will filter into the area Friday into Saturday in the wake of this
front.

MIZ047-048-053-060-061-181200-
Midland-Bay-Saginaw-Shiawassee-Genesee-
Including the cities of Midland-Bay City-Saginaw-Owosso-Flint
336 PM EDT Thu Aug 17 2017

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (75-85 percent) until 10 pm then
                    partly cloudy (65-75 percent) until midnight then
                    mostly cloudy (70-80 percent). Chance of
                    showers and thunderstorms until 11 pm then a
                    slight chance of thunderstorms until 2 am. A
                    slight chance of showers after 11 pm. Chance of
                    precipitation 50 percent.
Min temperature.....63-68.
   24 hr trend......1 degree warmer.
Max humidity........95 percent.
   24 hr trend......7 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......580-780 ft agl.
Transport winds.....Southwest 15 to 20 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (10).
Pcpn amount.........0.11-0.25 in.

.FRIDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (75-85 percent). A slight chance
                    of showers until 2 pm. Chance of precipitation
                    20 percent.
Max temperature.....72-77.
   24 hr trend......4 degrees cooler.
Min humidity........65-70 percent.
   24 hr trend......11 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......West winds 10 to 15 mph.
Haines Index........2 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......4440-4940 ft agl.
Transport winds.....West around 25 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Excellent (1160).
Pcpn amount.........None.

.FRIDAY NIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (70-80 percent) until 8 pm then
                    partly cloudy (50-60 percent). A slight chance
                    of showers after 2 am. Chance of precipitation
                    20 percent.
Min temperature.....56-61.
   24 hr trend......7 degrees cooler.
Max humidity........98 percent.
   24 hr trend......3 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......West winds 5 to 10 mph.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......100-300 ft agl.
Transport winds.....West around 25 mph decreasing to 5 to 10 mph in
                    the late evening and overnight.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (0).
Pcpn amount.........0.01-0.05 in.

.SATURDAY...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (50-60 percent). A slight chance
                    of showers. A slight chance of thunderstorms
                    after 8 am. Chance of precipitation 30 percent.
Max temperature.....76-81.
   24 hr trend......3 degrees warmer.
Min humidity........49-56 percent.
   24 hr trend......13 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......West winds 5 to 10 mph.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......7640-8140 ft agl.
Transport winds.....West around 0 mph becoming northwest
                    around 15 mph in the late morning and
                    afternoon.
Smoke dispersal.....Excellent (1230).
Pcpn amount.........0.01-0.05 in.


$$

MIZ049-054-055-062-181200-
Huron-Tuscola-Sanilac-Lapeer-
Including the cities of Bad Axe-Caro-Sandusky-Lapeer
336 PM EDT Thu Aug 17 2017

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (75-85 percent) until 2 am then
                    partly cloudy (65-75 percent) until 4 am then
                    mostly cloudy (65-75 percent). Chance of
                    showers and thunderstorms until 1 am then a
                    slight chance of thunderstorms until 2 am. A
                    slight chance of showers after 1 am. Chance of
                    precipitation 50 percent.
Min temperature.....63-68.
   24 hr trend......3 degrees warmer.
Max humidity........96 percent.
   24 hr trend......9 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......580-780 ft agl.
Transport winds.....Southwest 15 to 20 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (10).
Pcpn amount.........0.11-0.25 in.

.FRIDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (70-80 percent). A slight chance
                    of showers. Chance of precipitation 20 percent.
Max temperature.....72-77.
   24 hr trend......1 degree cooler.
Min humidity........65-73 percent.
   24 hr trend......14 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......West winds 10 to 15 mph.
Haines Index........2 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......4180-4680 ft agl.
Transport winds.....West 25 to 30 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Excellent (1220).
Pcpn amount.........None.

.FRIDAY NIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (70-80 percent) until 8 pm then
                    partly cloudy (55-65 percent). A slight chance
                    of showers until 8 pm. Chance of precipitation
                    20 percent.
Min temperature.....Around 60.
   24 hr trend......7 degrees cooler.
Max humidity........93-98 percent.
   24 hr trend......1 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......West winds 5 to 10 mph.
Haines Index........2 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......160-360 ft agl.
Transport winds.....West around 25 mph decreasing to around 15 mph
                    in the late evening and overnight.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (0).
Pcpn amount.........None.

.SATURDAY...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (50-60 percent). A slight chance
                    of showers and thunderstorms after 8 am. Chance
                    of precipitation 30 percent.
Max temperature.....73-78.
   24 hr trend......2 degrees warmer.
Min humidity........54-64 percent.
   24 hr trend......12 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......West winds 5 to 10 mph.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......6970-7470 ft agl.
Transport winds.....Northwest around 5 mph increasing to around 20
                    mph in the late morning and afternoon.
Smoke dispersal.....Excellent (1200).
Pcpn amount.........0.01-0.05 in.


$$

MIZ063-068>070-075-076-082-083-181200-
St Clair-Livingston-Oakland-Macomb-Washtenaw-Wayne-Lenawee-Monroe-
Including the cities of Port Huron-Howell-Pontiac-Warren-Ann
Arbor-Detroit-Adrian-Monroe
336 PM EDT Thu Aug 17 2017

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (75-85 percent) until 10 pm then
                    partly cloudy (55-65 percent). Chance of
                    showers and thunderstorms until 10 pm then a
                    slight chance of thunderstorms until 2 am. A
                    slight chance of showers after 10 pm. Chance of
                    precipitation 50 percent.
Min temperature.....64-69.
   24 hr trend......Unchanged.
Max humidity........92-98 percent.
   24 hr trend......6 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph diminishing to
                    around 5 mph after midnight.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......460-660 ft agl.
Transport winds.....Southwest around 25 mph decreasing to around 15
                    mph in the late evening and overnight.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (0).
Pcpn amount.........0.06-0.10 in.

.FRIDAY...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (60-70 percent). A slight chance
                    of showers until 2 pm. Chance of precipitation
                    20 percent.
Max temperature.....74-79.
   24 hr trend......4 degrees cooler.
Min humidity........57-67 percent.
   24 hr trend......15 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......West winds 10 to 15 mph.
Haines Index........2 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......6080-6580 ft agl.
Transport winds.....West 20 to 25 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Excellent (1540).
Pcpn amount.........None.

.FRIDAY NIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (50-60 percent). A slight chance
                    of showers after 2 am. Chance of precipitation
                    30 percent.
Min temperature.....58-63.
   24 hr trend......6 degrees cooler.
Max humidity........91-100 percent.
   24 hr trend......3 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......West winds 5 to 10 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......160-360 ft agl.
Transport winds.....West around 25 mph decreasing to around 10 mph
                    in the late evening and overnight.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (0).
Pcpn amount.........0.01-0.05 in.

.SATURDAY...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (50-60 percent). A slight chance
                    of showers until 8 am then chance of showers
                    and thunderstorms until 2 pm then a slight
                    chance of showers and thunderstorms. Chance of
                    precipitation 40 percent.
Max temperature.....75-80.
   24 hr trend......2 degrees warmer.
Min humidity........49-59 percent.
   24 hr trend......7 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......West winds 5 to 10 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......6740-7240 ft agl.
Transport winds.....Northwest around 5 mph becoming west
                    around 15 mph in the late morning and
                    afternoon.
Smoke dispersal.....Excellent (1060).
Pcpn amount.........0.11-0.25 in.


$$


.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...

.SUNDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 50s. Highs in the lower
80s. West winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 60s. Highs in the mid 80s.
Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY...Partly cloudy. Showers and thunderstorms likely. Lows in
the upper 60s. Highs in the lower 80s. Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly cloudy. Showers and thunderstorms likely. Lows
in the lower 60s. Highs in the upper 70s.
.THURSDAY...Mostly clear. A slight chance of showers. Lows in the
mid 50s. Highs in the mid 70s.

$$

MR


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